Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) AI Stock Analysis
RGR AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) designs, manufactures, and distributes firearms and castings. The company generated $577.2M in trailing twelve-month revenue, but net income dropped to -$4.4M in FY2025. It maintains a strong liquidity position with $116.0M in net cash and almost no debt.
- Market cap
- $693.1M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $577.2M
- P/E
- 57.8x fwd 8.6x
- 1Y return
- -4.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $43.00 -0.9% vs last close
Bull case
- The company carries minimal debt of $1.5M against $117.5M in cash and short-term investments, providing net cash of $116.0M.
- Forward P/E is 8.6x, well below the 17.2x median of US-listed Industrials peers.
- Latest quarterly revenue for the period ended June 30, 2026, expanded 19.3% year-over-year.
Bear case
- Full-year net income slipped into negative territory at -$4.4M in FY2025, alongside an operating margin of -2.1%.
- Quarterly earnings fell 98.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The 5-year annualized dividend growth rate stands at -37.5%.
What Sturm, Ruger & does
Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes firearms under the Ruger brand across the United States. It operates through two segments: Firearms and Castings. The Firearms segment offers single-shot, autoloading, bolt-action, and sporting rifles, rimfire and centerfire autoloading pistols, single-action and double-action revolvers, accessories, replacement parts, and lever-action rifles under the Marlin brand. The Castings segment produces steel investment castings and metal injection molding parts. Products are distributed primarily through independent wholesale distributors for the commercial sporting market, with castings sold directly or via representatives, alongside global exports.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue contracted from $730.7M to $546.1M, yielding a 5-year revenue CAGR of -0.8%. Operating margin declined from 27.8% in FY2021 to -2.1% in FY2025, when the company recorded net income of -$4.4M and EPS of $1.23. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $577.2M with a profit margin of 2.1% and operating margin of 5.3%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 19.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 98.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Sturm, Ruger & Company held $117.5M in cash and short-term investments against $1.5M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $116.0M. The company reported a current ratio of 3.35 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01. In FY2025, it generated $54.3M in operating cash flow and $38.5M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $15.8M, while $26.1M was spent on share buybacks and $10.1M went toward dividends.
Valuation and performance
At $43.38 per share, RGR trades at a trailing P/E of 57.8x, compared to 24.8x for the median of its US-listed Industrials peers. Its forward P/E stands at 8.6x versus the peer median of 17.2x. The enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 15.6x, compared to the peer median of 13.9x, and price-to-sales is 1.2x. Over the past year, the stock returned -4.5%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
RGR dividend
Sturm, Ruger & Company pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $0.84, delivering a dividend yield of 1.94%. Its payout ratio is 38.3%. The company has paid dividends for 18 consecutive years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth is -37.5%. The last ex-dividend date was August 14, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 0 Buys, 1 Hold, and 0 Sells. The mean price target is $43.00, representing -0.9% versus the last close of $43.38. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $583.7M and EPS of $1.59. Over the last four quarters, the company beat EPS estimates 1 time. The next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Profitability has compressed significantly, with gross margin falling from 38.3% in FY2021 to 16.4% in FY2025.
- Earnings consistency is low, with only 1 EPS beat across the last 4 quarters.
- Long-term revenue trends remain muted, showing a 5-year CAGR of -0.8% through FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this RGR AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: RGR income statement, RGR balance sheet, RGR key metrics, RGR analyst forecast, RGR chart. See the RGR stock overview for the latest quote and news.
RGR AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Sturm, Ruger & Company's dividend yield?
RGR offers a forward annual dividend of $0.84 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 1.94%.
How much debt does RGR have?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $1.5M in total debt and $117.5M in cash and short-term investments, leaving net cash of $116.0M.
What are analysts expecting for RGR's full-year earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.59 and revenue of $583.7M.
When does Sturm, Ruger & Company report earnings next?
The company's next scheduled earnings date is November 4, 2026.