NextNav Inc (NN) AI Stock Analysis
NN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNextNav Inc (NN) provides GPS and 3D geolocation solutions, operating in markets across the United States. In FY2025, revenue fell 19.3% to $4.6M alongside a net income of -$189.3M. The company held net cash of $215.7M as of June 30, 2026, while its price-to-sales ratio stood at 407.1x.
- Market cap
- $1.62B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.0M
- P/E
- —
- 1Y return
- -26.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $33.67 251.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Pinnacle 3D geolocation coverage spans approximately 4,400 cities and towns across the United States.
- NextNav maintains a solid liquidity cushion with net cash of $215.7M and a current ratio of 25.63 as of June 30, 2026.
- All 3 covering analysts rate the stock a Strong Buy with a mean price target of $33.67, pointing to 251.1% upside from the last close of $9.59.
Bear case
- Revenue contracted 19.3% in FY2025 to $4.6M and fell another 4.3% year-over-year in the quarter ending June 30, 2026.
- Operating cash flow was -$50.7M and free cash flow was -$50.8M in FY2025 as net losses expanded to -$189.3M.
- The stock trades at an elevated valuation of 407.1x price-to-sales compared to the 2.8x median of its US-listed Technology peers.
What NextNav does
NextNav Inc. specializes in advanced global positioning system (GPS) and 3D geolocation services, providing solutions for positioning, navigation, and timing. Its flagship Pinnacle 3D geolocation service is operational across approximately 4,400 cities and towns in the United States. Its TerraPoiNT solution utilizes an encrypted terrestrial-based network deployed across 51 markets nationwide to support secure geolocation data transmission. Established in 2007 and headquartered in McLean, Virginia, NextNav serves telecommunications, emergency services, transportation, and augmented reality applications through direct sales and strategic partnerships.
Growth and profitability
NextNav generated revenue of $763,000 in FY2021, which grew 414.5% to $3.9M in FY2022 before slipping 1.6% to $3.9M in FY2023. Revenue expanded 46.8% to $5.7M in FY2024, but declined 19.3% to $4.6M in FY2025. Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue achieved a 5-year CAGR of 51.7%. Operating margins remained deeply negative across this period, recording -1535.8% in FY2025 as net income dropped to -$189.3M, or -$1.55 per share. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue was $4.0M with quarterly revenue growth falling 4.3% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, NextNav held $228.8M in cash and short-term investments and $13.2M in total debt, yielding net cash of $215.7M. Total assets stood at $389.1M against shareholders' equity of $334.5M. The company maintains a current ratio of 25.63 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$50.7M and free cash flow was -$50.8M, with capital expenditures of $50,000. Over five years, the company's share count increased 48.3%.
Valuation and performance
NextNav trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 407.1x, substantially above the 2.8x median of its US-listed Technology peers. Its enterprise value of $2.21B reflects an EV-to-revenue multiple of 556.6x and an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 136.5x, compared to the peer median EV-to-EBITDA of 16.6x. The stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 7.3x. Over the past year, shares of NN declined 26.6% and are down 42.4% year-to-date, lagging the S&P 500 (SPY), which gained 16.8% over the trailing 12 months.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 3 Strong Buy ratings, with zero Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $33.67, representing a 251.1% premium to the last closing price of $9.59 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $4.1M and an EPS of -$0.46. Over the last four quarters, NextNav beat EPS estimates twice. The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating margin for the trailing twelve months was -1752.1%, underscoring ongoing operational losses relative to top-line scale.
- The company experienced an ongoing cash burn with free cash flow of -$50.8M in FY2025, which may pressure cash reserves over time.
- The share count increased 48.3% over the past 5 years, highlighting potential shareholder dilution.
- Short interest represents 15.8% of the float, reflecting market skepticism amid a 42.4% year-to-date share price decline.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of NextNav Inc (NN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NN income statement, NN balance sheet, NN key metrics, NN analyst forecast, NN chart. See the NN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NN AI stock analysis FAQ
What are NextNav's core commercial products?
NextNav offers Pinnacle, a 3D geolocation service operational across approximately 4,400 cities and towns, and TerraPoiNT, an encrypted terrestrial network deployed across 51 markets nationwide.
Does NextNav generate positive earnings or cash flow?
No, NextNav reported a net income of -$189.3M and free cash flow of -$50.8M in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months, its diluted EPS was -$0.94.
How much cash and debt does NextNav have?
As of June 30, 2026, NextNav had $228.8M in cash and short-term investments alongside $13.2M in total debt, leaving it with net cash of $215.7M.
What is NextNav's consensus price target?
Wall Street analysts have set a mean price target of $33.67, which is 251.1% above its last closing price of $9.59.