Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc. (NECB) AI Stock Analysis
NECB AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNortheast Community Bancorp, Inc. (NECB) is a regional bank holding company based in White Plains, New York. Over the trailing twelve months, it delivered $103.1M in revenue alongside a net profit margin of 41.1%. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 8.9x and offers a 3.61% forward dividend yield.
- Market cap
- $380.4M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $103.1M
- P/E
- 8.9x fwd 15.7x
- 1Y return
- 46.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $30.00 8.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Trailing twelve month operating margin reached 56.5%, well above the 37.7% median of its US-listed Financial Services peers.
- The trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 8.9x represents a discount to the sector peer median of 12.1x.
- Free cash flow generation expanded from $15.1M in FY2021 to $50.8M in FY2025.
Bear case
- Revenue in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, contracted 5.8% year-over-year.
- Quarterly net earnings fell 12.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The company's forward price-to-earnings multiple of 15.7x sits above the peer group median of 10.8x.
What Northeast Community Bancorp does
Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc. serves as the holding company for NorthEast Community Bank, founded in 1934 and based in White Plains, New York. It provides personal and business banking products, such as checking, savings, money market, and non-interest-bearing accounts. The institution's lending operations emphasize construction loans, commercial and industrial financing, multifamily and mixed-use real estate loans, and consumer loans. Additionally, it invests in U.S. Treasury obligations, municipal securities, and certificates of deposit, while offering financial planning, investment advisory services, life insurance, and fixed-rate annuities.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2020 and FY2025, Northeast Community Bancorp grew revenue at a compound annual rate of 25.0%. Annual revenue advanced from $50.8M in FY2021 to $159.8M in FY2024 before decreasing 1.6% to $157.4M in FY2025. Over the same period, net income moved from $11.9M in FY2021 to $44.4M in FY2025, while diluted earnings per share reached $3.23. Operating margin stood at 39.6% in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 5.8% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings declined 12.2%. Trailing twelve month earnings per share were $3.11 on $103.1M of revenue.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Northeast Community Bancorp reported $9.5M in cash and short-term investments, total debt of $194.9M, and net debt of $185.4M. Shareholders' equity totaled $362.6M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54, with total assets of $2.12B. During FY2025, the company generated operating cash flow of $52.6M and free cash flow of $50.8M. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $1.7M in capital expenditures, $1.6M in share buybacks, and $13.3M in dividend payments. Over the past five years, the share count declined 12.7%.
Valuation and performance
At $27.63, Northeast Community Bancorp has a market capitalization of $380.4M. The company trades at a trailing P/E of 8.9x, which is lower than the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its forward P/E of 15.7x compares to the peer median of 10.8x, while its price-to-book ratio is 1.0x. Over the past year, the stock returned 46.2%, outpacing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 206.6% compared to an 83.0% return for the S&P 500.
NECB dividend
Northeast Community Bancorp pays a forward annual dividend of $1.00 per share, representing a 3.61% dividend yield. Dividends are paid quarterly with a payout ratio of 28.9%. The company has paid dividends for 20 consecutive years, achieving an annualized five-year dividend growth rate of 53.4%. Its most recent ex-dividend date was October 9, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy and 1 Hold rating. The mean price target is $30.00, which sits 8.6% above the last close of $27.63. Consensus estimates for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, call for revenue of $106.6M and EPS of $3.25. For the subsequent fiscal year, 1 analyst projects revenue of $126.0M and EPS of $3.99. The company has beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date scheduled for October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Earnings per share missed consensus estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.
- Cash and short-term investments stood at $9.5M against total debt of $194.9M as of June 30, 2026.
- Analyst coverage is limited to 2 published ratings, with only 1 analyst providing estimates for the next fiscal year.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NECB AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc. (NECB). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NECB income statement, NECB balance sheet, NECB key metrics, NECB analyst forecast, NECB chart. See the NECB stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NECB AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Northeast Community Bancorp's dividend yield?
Northeast Community Bancorp offers a dividend yield of 3.61%, based on a forward annual dividend of $1.00 per share. It has maintained dividend payments for 20 consecutive years.
How did Northeast Community Bancorp perform in its latest quarter?
For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue decreased 5.8% year-over-year. Quarterly earnings also fell 12.2% compared to the prior-year period.
What are analysts forecasting for NECB?
For FY2026, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $106.6M and EPS of $3.25. The mean price target among analysts is $30.00, representing an 8.6% premium to its last close of $27.63.
How does NECB's valuation compare to its peers?
NECB trades at a trailing P/E of 8.9x, below the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. However, its forward P/E of 15.7x is above the peer median of 10.8x.