Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) AI Stock Analysis
NDAQ AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) is a global technology provider that operates securities exchanges and offers data, analytics, and market technology solutions. In FY2025, revenue grew 11.1% to $8.22B, accompanied by $1.79B in net income and $1.99B in free cash flow. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated an operating margin of 49.3% and quarterly revenue growth of 14.9%.
- Market cap
- $52.53B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.61B
- P/E
- 27.4x fwd 23.6x
- 1Y return
- 8.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $108.75 15.7% vs last close
Bull case
- In FY2025, revenue increased 11.1% to $8.22B while operating cash flow expanded to $2.25B and free cash flow reached $1.99B.
- Trailing twelve months operating margin was 49.3%, well above the median of its S&P 500 Financial Services peers of 33.1%.
- Nasdaq beat EPS expectations in each of its last 4 quarters, and analysts project current fiscal year EPS to grow 18.4% to $4.12.
Bear case
- The balance sheet carries total debt of $9.24B and net debt of $6.46B as of June 30, 2026, alongside a current ratio of 0.48.
- NDAQ trades at a trailing P/E of 27.4x and a price-to-sales ratio of 9.4x, well above the S&P 500 Financial Services peer medians of 14.2x and 3.1x.
- The stock has lagged broader market performance, returning 8.3% over the past year and 48.8% over five years, versus S&P 500 returns of 16.8% and 83.0%, respectively.
What Nasdaq does
Nasdaq, Inc. operates as a technology provider serving global capital markets and various industries. The Market Technology segment delivers anti-financial crime technology, including Nasdaq Trade Surveillance, Nasdaq Automated Investigator, and the Verafin SaaS platform, while managing portfolios ranging from cash equities to digital currencies. The Investment Intelligence segment sells real-time and historical market data, develops Nasdaq-branded indexes and financial products, and delivers investment insights. Corporate Platforms operates listing platforms with 4,178 listed companies as of December 31, 2021, and provides investor relations intelligence. Market Services provides trading and clearing for equity derivatives, cash equities, fixed income, commodities, and trade management.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2020 and FY2025, Nasdaq recorded a 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.9%. Revenue rose from $5.89B in FY2021 to $6.23B in FY2022, contracted 2.6% to $6.06B in FY2023, and then expanded 22.0% to $7.40B in FY2024 and 11.1% to $8.22B in FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 37.9% in FY2021 to 47.9% in FY2025, while operating margin rose to 28.4%. Net income reached $1.79B in FY2025, yielding diluted EPS of $3.48. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 14.9% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 14.1%. Trailing twelve months revenue stands at $5.61B with an operating margin of 49.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Nasdaq held $2.79B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $9.24B, resulting in net debt of $6.46B. The company recorded a current ratio of 0.48 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77 based on $11.99B in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $2.25B and free cash flow was $1.99B. Capital allocation in FY2025 included capital expenditures of $266.0M, share buybacks of $616.0M, and dividends paid of $601.0M, alongside a 5-year share count change of 11.5%.
Valuation and performance
At a closing price of $93.97, Nasdaq trades at a trailing P/E of 27.4x and a forward P/E of 23.6x, both higher than the median of its S&P 500 Financial Services peers of 14.2x and 12.2x, respectively. The company carries an enterprise value to EBITDA ratio of 17.5x versus the peer median of 15.1x, and a price-to-sales multiple of 9.4x compared to the peer median of 3.1x. Over the past year, NDAQ returned 8.3%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 48.8% versus 83.0% for SPY.
NDAQ dividend
Nasdaq pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.16 per share, yielding 1.23%. The company maintains a payout ratio of 30.0% and has paid dividends for 15 consecutive years. Over the trailing five years, its annualized dividend growth rate was 10.2%. The last ex-dividend date occurred on September 11, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analyst ratings comprise 8 Strong Buy, 6 Buy, 3 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $108.75, which sits 15.7% above the last close of $93.97. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $4.12 on revenue of $5.90B. For the following fiscal year, 17 analysts forecast EPS of $4.68 on revenue of $6.40B. Nasdaq surpassed EPS estimates in 4 of its last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A current ratio of 0.48 as of June 30, 2026, points to working capital constraints relative to short-term obligations.
- The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.77, supported by total debt of $9.24B against $11.99B in shareholders' equity.
- Annual top-line performance has experienced volatility, including a 2.6% revenue decline in FY2023.
- The company's share count increased 11.5% over the past five years despite $616.0M allocated to share repurchases in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NDAQ AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NDAQ income statement, NDAQ balance sheet, NDAQ key metrics, NDAQ analyst forecast, NDAQ chart. See the NDAQ stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NDAQ AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Nasdaq, Inc.'s dividend yield and dividend record?
Nasdaq pays an annual forward dividend of $1.16 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 1.23% on a quarterly schedule. The company has paid dividends for 15 consecutive years with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.2% and a payout ratio of 30.0%.
When does Nasdaq, Inc. report its next quarterly earnings?
Nasdaq's next earnings date is October 22, 2026. The company exceeded analyst EPS estimates in all 4 of its last 4 reported quarters.
How much debt does Nasdaq, Inc. carry on its balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, Nasdaq reported total debt of $9.24B and cash and short-term investments of $2.79B, which leaves net debt at $6.46B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.77.
What is the consensus analyst target price for NDAQ?
The mean analyst price target is $108.75, representing a 15.7% premium over the last closing price of $93.97. Current recommendations include 8 Strong Buy, 6 Buy, 3 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings.