Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: MODAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MOD AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Modine Manufacturing Company provides engineered heat transfer systems and thermal management solutions for automotive, industrial, and data center markets. In FY2026, the company generated $3.18B in revenue with diluted earnings per share of $5.02. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue expanded 28.0% year-over-year while operating margin reached 9.0%.

Market cap
$7.91B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.37B
P/E
56.0x
fwd 26.0x
1Y return
-7.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$302.12
103.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue accelerated 28.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, supported by 44.2% quarterly earnings growth.
  • Analysts project earnings per share to climb 29.8% to $6.51 in FY2027 and expand an additional 55.9% to $10.16 in FY2028.
  • Modine generated $105.4M in free cash flow in FY2026 while maintaining a solid liquidity profile with a current ratio of 2.04.

Bear case

  • Modine trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 56.0x, well above the 18.0x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
  • The stock is down 7.2% over the trailing 12 months and trades 31.0% below its 200-day moving average.
  • Net margin contracted to 3.8% in FY2026 from 7.1% in FY2025 as net income decreased from $184.0M to $121.8M.

What Modine Manufacturing does

Modine Manufacturing Company, headquartered in Racine, Wisconsin, provides engineered heat transfer systems and components for on- and off-highway original equipment manufacturers. Operating through Climate Solutions and Performance Technologies, its portfolio includes heating, cooling, and ventilation solutions such as unit heaters, duct furnaces, and perimeter heating products. It also provides advanced heat transfer components like microchannel coils, motor cooling coils, and remote condensers, alongside powertrain cooling systems such as radiators, charge air coolers, and oil coolers. Modine additionally delivers specialized solutions including precision air conditioning units for data centers and battery thermal management systems across North America, South America, Europe, and Asia.

Growth and profitability

Modine delivered a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 12.0% from FY2021 to FY2026. Annual revenue expanded from $2.05B in FY2022 to $3.18B in FY2026, marking 23.1% revenue growth in FY2026. Operating margin rose from 5.8% in FY2022 to 11.0% in both FY2025 and FY2026, while gross margin was 23.0% in FY2026. Annual net income was $121.8M in FY2026, with earnings per share reaching $5.02. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $3.37B with a 4.3% profit margin. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 28.0% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 44.2%.

MOD income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Modine held $95.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $669.9M, resulting in net debt of $574.6M. Shareholders' equity totaled $1.20B across $2.80B in total assets. The company maintained a current ratio of 2.04 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56. During FY2026, operating cash flow reached $248.7M and free cash flow stood at $105.4M. Capital expenditures used $143.3M in cash, and share buybacks accounted for $7.0M.

MOD balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Modine carries a market capitalization of $7.91B and an enterprise value of $10.69B. It trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 56.0x and a forward multiple of 26.0x, compared to medians of 18.0x and 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. The enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio is 34.6x versus the peer median of 11.1x, while price-to-sales is 2.3x compared to 0.7x. Over the past year, Modine's stock fell 7.2% against a 16.8% return for the S&P 500, though its 5-year return of 1130.2% outpaced the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

MOD key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 8 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy rating, and no Hold or Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $302.12, representing a 103.0% premium over the last close of $148.86. For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates forecast revenue of $3.43B and earnings per share of $6.51, representing 29.8% earnings growth. Modine has beaten consensus earnings estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings announcement scheduled for October 27, 2026.

MOD forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company maintains net debt of $574.6M with total debt standing at $669.9M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Modine's stock carries a high beta of 1.71, reflecting significant volatility relative to the broader market.
  • Short interest stands at 5.9% of float, indicating lingering market skepticism despite positive analyst sentiment.
  • Capital intensity remains elevated, with FY2026 capital expenditures reaching $143.3M against $248.7M in operating cash flow.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MOD AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MOD income statement, MOD balance sheet, MOD key metrics, MOD analyst forecast, MOD chart. See the MOD stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MOD AI stock analysis FAQ

What was Modine's revenue growth in FY2026?

Modine reported revenue of $3.18B in FY2026, representing a 23.1% increase compared to $2.58B in FY2025.

What is the consensus analyst target for MOD stock?

The mean analyst price target is $302.12, which represents a 103.0% upside compared to the last close of $148.86.

Does Modine pay a dividend?

Modine does not currently pay a dividend; in FY2026, capital deployment included $143.3M in capital expenditures and $7.0M in share buybacks.

How does Modine's valuation compare to sector peers?

Modine trades at a trailing P/E of 56.0x and an EV/EBITDA of 34.6x, compared to US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer medians of 18.0x and 11.1x, respectively.

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