Lear Corporation (LEA) AI Stock Analysis
LEA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchLear Corporation (LEA) is a major automotive seating and electrical distribution systems supplier with trailing twelve-month revenue of $23.70B. The company trades at a forward P/E of 6.9x, supported by an operating cash flow of $1.09B in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, Lear achieved quarterly earnings growth of 23.9% year-over-year.
- Market cap
- $5.92B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $23.70B
- P/E
- 11.2x fwd 6.9x
- 1Y return
- 22.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $147.43 22.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Lear trades at a forward P/E of 6.9x and EV/EBITDA of 5.4x, both lower than the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer group medians of 14.1x and 11.1x.
- Quarterly earnings surged 23.9% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, alongside an analyst estimate for 17.0% annual EPS growth in FY2026.
- The company maintains solid cash conversion, generating $527.2M in free cash flow and funding $325.2M in buybacks in FY2025.
Bear case
- Annual revenue contracted by 0.7% in FY2024 and 0.2% in FY2025, demonstrating muted top-line expansion.
- The balance sheet carries $2.51B in net debt with total debt standing at $3.52B as of June 30, 2026.
- Lear's trailing twelve months net profit margin remains thin at 2.4%, below the peer group median operating margin of 8.8%.
What Lear does
Lear Corporation operates as a global supplier of automotive seating and electrical distribution systems to original equipment manufacturers. Its Seating segment designs and produces comprehensive seat systems, subsystems, mechanisms, trim covers, foam, and headrests across vehicles ranging from compact cars to heavy-duty trucks. The E-Systems segment specializes in electrical distribution, wire harnesses, terminals, connectors, junction boxes, high-voltage systems, and electronic control modules. Lear also offers software solutions such as Xevo Market for connected services and vehicle cybersecurity, operating under brands including XEVO, Eagle Ottawa, Aventino, and Guilford.
Growth and profitability
Lear's revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 6.4% from FY2020 through FY2025, reaching $23.26B in FY2025 after peaking at $23.46B in FY2023. Gross margin increased to 8.2% in FY2025, up from 7.4% in FY2023, while operating margin expanded to 4.4%. Net income for FY2025 was $436.8M, compared with $506.6M in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $23.70B with an operating margin of 4.2% and EPS of $10.74. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 3.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 23.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Lear held $1.01B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.52B, resulting in net debt of $2.51B. The debt-to-equity ratio was 0.68, and the current ratio was 1.31. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $1.09B and free cash flow was $527.2M. The company deployed this capital into $561.6M of capital expenditures, $325.2M in share buybacks, and $164.8M in dividends paid, contributing to a 15.1% reduction in share count over five years.
Valuation and performance
At a closing price of $120.01, Lear has a market capitalization of $5.92B and an enterprise value of $7.75B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 11.2x and a forward P/E of 6.9x, both below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer group medians of 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. Its EV/EBITDA stands at 5.4x compared to the peer median of 11.1x, while price-to-sales is 0.2x versus 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock returned 22.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of -24.2% trails the index return of 83.0%.
LEA dividend
Lear pays a quarterly dividend totaling $3.08 annually per share, reflecting a dividend yield of 2.57% and a payout ratio of 21.5%. The company has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 24.7%. Its last ex-dividend date occurred on September 2, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts carry 4 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 11 Hold ratings on Lear, with no Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $147.43, representing a 22.8% premium to the last closing price of $120.01. Analysts project FY2026 EPS of $14.97 on revenue of $23.80B, followed by FY2027 EPS of $16.68 on revenue of $24.05B. Lear beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is scheduled for October 30, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Net debt of $2.51B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.68 require disciplined free cash flow management to service obligations.
- With a beta of 1.30, the stock experiences above-average price volatility relative to the broader market.
- Top-line growth faces pressure as FY2027 revenue is estimated to increase just 1.1% to $24.05B.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this LEA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Lear Corporation (LEA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: LEA income statement, LEA balance sheet, LEA key metrics, LEA analyst forecast, LEA chart. See the LEA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
LEA AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Lear Corporation pay?
Lear pays an annualized dividend of $3.08 per share in quarterly installments, which represents a dividend yield of 2.57%. The company has sustained 16 consecutive years of dividend payments with a payout ratio of 21.5%.
When does Lear report its next earnings?
Lear Corporation's next scheduled earnings release date is October 30, 2026.
What are analysts' price targets for LEA?
Analysts have set a mean price target of $147.43 for LEA, which sits 22.8% above its last close of $120.01. The consensus includes 5 Buy or Strong Buy ratings and 11 Hold ratings.
How leveraged is Lear Corporation's balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, Lear held $1.01B in cash and short-term investments and $3.52B in total debt, leading to net debt of $2.51B. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 0.68 and its current ratio stood at 1.31.