O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) AI Stock Analysis
ORLY AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchO'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) is an automotive aftermarket retailer and distributor catering to commercial service providers and DIY customers. The company generated $18.57B in trailing twelve-month revenue with an operating margin of 20.2%. Annual net income grew from $2.16B in FY2021 to $2.54B in FY2025, supported by steady store expansion.
- Market cap
- $72.22B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $18.57B
- P/E
- 28.3x fwd 23.4x
- 1Y return
- -11.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $107.35 20.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin of 20.2% remains well above the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Cyclical peers of 13.6%.
- Diluted EPS grew steadily from $2.14 in FY2021 to $2.96 in FY2025, driven in part by a 14.6% reduction in share count over 5 years.
- Analysts project continued EPS expansion of 10.5% in the current fiscal year to $3.28 and 11.2% in the next fiscal year to $3.65.
Bear case
- The stock posted a 1-year return of -11.8%, significantly trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%.
- Annual free cash flow declined from $2.76B in FY2021 to $1.59B in FY2025 as capital expenditures expanded to $1.17B.
- The balance sheet carries net debt of $9.33B alongside negative shareholders' equity of -$1.84B as of June 30, 2026.
What O'Reilly Automotive does
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, functions as a prominent retailer and distributor within the automotive aftermarket sector across the United States. Catering to both do-it-yourself enthusiasts and professional service providers, the company offers a comprehensive range of automotive parts, tools, equipment, and accessories. Its product lineup includes new and remanufactured hard parts and maintenance essentials such as alternators, batteries, brake components, and fluids. Stores also offer services such as battery recycling, check engine light diagnostics, loaner tool programs, and drum resurfacing, operating 5,759 stores in the United States and 25 stores in Mexico as of December 31, 2021.
Growth and profitability
O'Reilly Automotive grew annual revenue from $13.33B in FY2021 to $17.78B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.9%. Over that period, net income rose from $2.16B to $2.54B, while EPS increased from $2.14 to $2.96. Operating margin stood at 22.0% in FY2021 and 19.5% in FY2025, alongside gross margin shifting from 52.7% to 51.6%. In the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue reached $18.57B with an operating margin of 20.2% and EPS of $3.15. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 8.1% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 10.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, O'Reilly Automotive held $262.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $9.59B, resulting in net debt of $9.33B. Total assets stood at $17.39B, with a current ratio of 0.75 and shareholders' equity of -$1.84B. In FY2025, the company produced $2.76B in operating cash flow and $1.59B in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $1.17B for capital expenditures and $2.10B for share buybacks, which contributed to a 14.6% reduction in share count over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $89.27 on October 16, 2026, O'Reilly Automotive traded at a trailing P/E of 28.3x and a forward P/E of 23.4x, compared to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Cyclical peers of 39.8x and 27.0x, respectively. Its EV/EBITDA multiple of 18.8x is below the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Cyclical peers of 21.7x, while its price-to-sales ratio matches the peer median at 3.9x. Over the past year, the stock returned -11.8%, lagging the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY), though its 5-year return of 112.9% outpaced the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 18 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 6 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $107.35, representing 20.2% upside compared to the last close of $89.27. Consensus estimates project current fiscal year revenue of $19.13B and EPS of $3.28, followed by next fiscal year revenue of $20.29B and EPS of $3.65. The company beat EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 28, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company ended the quarter on June 30, 2026, with a current ratio of 0.75 and cash reserves of $262.2M relative to total debt of $9.59B.
- Operating cash flow softened from $3.21B in FY2021 to $2.76B in FY2025, which may constrain future share repurchases after spending $2.10B on buybacks in FY2025.
- Quarterly revenue growth of 8.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter trails the 14.9% median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Cyclical peers.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this ORLY AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: ORLY income statement, ORLY balance sheet, ORLY key metrics, ORLY analyst forecast, ORLY chart. See the ORLY stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ORLY AI stock analysis FAQ
What was O'Reilly Automotive's revenue in the trailing twelve months?
The company reported trailing twelve-month revenue of $18.57B as of June 30, 2026. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue grew 8.1% year-over-year.
Does O'Reilly Automotive pay a dividend?
The company does not pay a dividend, returning cash to shareholders primarily through share buybacks, which totaled $2.10B in FY2025.
What is O'Reilly Automotive's debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, O'Reilly Automotive carried total debt of $9.59B and cash and short-term investments of $262.2M, leaving net debt at $9.33B.
When is O'Reilly Automotive's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings report is scheduled for October 28, 2026.
What are Wall Street analysts forecasting for ORLY stock?
Analysts have a mean price target of $107.35 for ORLY, with 18 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 6 Hold recommendations. Consensus expectations project FY2026 EPS of $3.28 on revenue of $19.13B.