LKQ Corporation (LKQ) AI Stock Analysis
LKQ AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchLKQ Corporation is a global distributor of vehicle replacement parts, components, and accessories for automotive repair and maintenance. In FY2025, the company generated $13.92B in revenue and $607.0M in net income, while its trailing twelve months revenue stood at $13.69B. LKQ trades at a forward P/E of 7.9x and offers an annual forward dividend yield of 5.40%.
- Market cap
- $5.62B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $13.69B
- P/E
- 12.5x fwd 7.9x
- 1Y return
- -22.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $32.12 44.5% vs last close
Bull case
- LKQ trades at a forward P/E of 7.9x and EV to EBITDA of 8.4x, well below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical medians of 14.1x and 11.1x.
- The company generates solid cash, delivering $847.0M in free cash flow in FY2025 to support an attractive 5.40% dividend yield.
- Wall Street analysts hold a mean price target of $32.12, pointing to 44.5% upside above the recent price of $22.23.
Bear case
- Quarterly earnings fell 29.0% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, alongside a 3.0% decline in revenue.
- Operating margins have dropped from 11.3% in FY2021 to 7.8% in FY2025, driving annual net income down from $1.09B to $607.0M.
- LKQ carries substantial leverage with total debt of $5.31B and net debt of $5.01B against cash holdings of $301.0M.
What LKQ does
LKQ Corporation distributes replacement parts, components, and systems used in vehicle repair and maintenance. Operating through North America, Europe, and Specialty segments, the company provides bumper covers, body panels, automotive glass, engines, transmissions, and mechanical and collision parts to repair shops, dealerships, and retail consumers. LKQ also distributes aftermarket accessories such as towing hitches, truck bed covers, vehicle protection items, suspension components, recreational vehicle appliances, air conditioners, wheels, tires, automotive fluids, and electrical products. Founded in 1998 and based in Chicago, Illinois, the company employs 44,000 people and maintains operations across the United States, Canada, several European countries, and Taiwan.
Growth and profitability
LKQ achieved a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 3.7% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $13.09B in FY2021 to a peak of $14.36B in FY2024 before decreasing 3.1% to $13.92B in FY2025. Gross margin contracted from 40.7% in FY2021 to 38.0% in FY2025, while operating margin fell from 11.3% to 7.8%. Net income declined from $1.09B in FY2021 to $607.0M in FY2025, reducing diluted EPS from $3.96 to $3.09. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 3.0% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings decreased 29.0% year-over-year, bringing trailing twelve months net margin to 3.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, LKQ held $301.0M in cash and short-term investments against $5.31B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $5.01B. Total assets were $15.03B and shareholders' equity was $6.45B, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.82 and a current ratio of 1.58. During FY2025, operating cash flow was $1.06B and free cash flow reached $847.0M. The company directed capital toward $216.0M in capital expenditures, $310.0M in dividend payments, and $159.0M in share buybacks, which helped reduce 5-year share count by 12.5%.
Valuation and performance
LKQ trades at a trailing P/E of 12.5x and a forward P/E of 7.9x, both below the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers at 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 8.4x compared to the peer median of 11.1x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 0.4x against the peer group median of 0.7x. The stock has underperformed broader equities, declining 22.2% over the past year and 53.7% over five years, while the S&P 500 benchmark gained 16.8% and 83.0% over those respective horizons.
LKQ dividend
LKQ pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $1.20 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 5.40%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 6 years and maintains a payout ratio of 43.3%. Its most recent ex-dividend date occurred on August 20, 2026, following FY2025 total dividend distributions of $310.0M.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 2 Hold recommendations, with zero Sell ratings. The mean price target of $32.12 represents 44.5% potential upside from the last closing price of $22.23. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.67 on revenue of $13.59B. Over the last four quarters, LKQ exceeded earnings estimates 1 time, with next earnings scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Net debt stands at $5.01B, which could limit capital deployment flexibility if operating cash flow weakens further from $1.06B.
- Operating margin of 7.0% over the trailing twelve months lags the peer median of 8.8%, showing ongoing margin pressure.
- Earnings execution has been inconsistent, with LKQ beating analyst consensus estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this LKQ AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of LKQ Corporation (LKQ). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: LKQ income statement, LKQ balance sheet, LKQ key metrics, LKQ analyst forecast, LKQ chart. See the LKQ stock overview for the latest quote and news.
LKQ AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does LKQ pay?
LKQ pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.20 annually, representing a dividend yield of 5.40% and a payout ratio of 43.3%.
What are analysts' price targets for LKQ?
The consensus mean price target from analysts is $32.12, which represents a 44.5% premium to the last closing price of $22.23.
How much debt does LKQ have?
As of June 30, 2026, LKQ had $5.31B in total debt and $301.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $5.01B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.82.
When is LKQ's next earnings report?
LKQ Corporation is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 29, 2026.