Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: MLCOAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MLCO AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) develops and operates integrated casino resorts and entertainment destinations across Macau, the Philippines, and Cyprus. While the company achieved full-year profitability in FY2025 with net income of $185.0M on revenue of $5.16B, it carries a heavy debt burden with net debt of $6.40B as of June 30, 2026. Shares closed at $4.15 on October 16, 2026, down 49.4% over the past year.

Market cap
$1.58B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.22B
P/E
7.0x
fwd 6.0x
1Y return
-49.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$6.50
56.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Melco generated $476.1M in free cash flow and $818.1M in operating cash flow in FY2025.
  • Valuation multiples are low relative to peers, including a forward P/E of 6.0x compared to the median of 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
  • Analysts project EPS to rebound by 46.9% to $0.67 in the next fiscal year on revenue of $5.39B.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet carries high leverage, with total debt of $7.31B and negative shareholders' equity of -$1.64B as of June 30, 2026.
  • Quarterly revenue fell 5.7% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, with full-year FY2026 EPS projected to drop 35.4% to $0.45.
  • The stock has experienced significant downside, falling 45.2% year-to-date and 49.4% over the past year to trade near its 52-week low of $4.06.

What Melco Resorts & Entertainment does

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casino gaming and resort destinations in Asia and Europe. In Macau, its flagship integrated resort is City of Dreams, which features over 500 gaming tables, 570 gaming machines, and 770 rooms and suites. The company also operates Altira Macau, Studio City in Cotai, Mocha Clubs, and the Grand Dragon casino on Taipa Island. Internationally, Melco operates City of Dreams Manila in the Philippines and an integrated resort in Limassol, Cyprus, alongside three satellite casinos in Nicosia, Ayia Napa, and Paphos.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue grew from $2.01B in FY2021 to $5.16B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 24.5% from FY2020 to FY2025. After reporting net losses of -$811.8M in FY2021, -$930.5M in FY2022, and -$326.9M in FY2023, the company returned to positive profitability in FY2024 with net income of $43.5M and expanded it to $185.0M in FY2025. In FY2025, gross margin reached 36.7% and operating margin was 11.6%. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $5.22B with an operating margin of 10.2% and EPS of $0.59. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 5.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 35.7%.

MLCO income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Melco held $912.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $7.31B, resulting in net debt of $6.40B. Shareholders' equity was negative at -$1.64B, and the current ratio stood at 1.01. Free cash flow for FY2025 was $476.1M, supported by $818.1M in operating cash flow. In FY2025, capital expenditures were $342.0M, share buybacks totaled $166.0M, and dividends paid were $78,000. The share count was reduced by 18.4% over five years.

MLCO balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $4.15 on October 16, 2026, Melco had a market cap of $1.58B and an enterprise value of $6.44B. The stock traded at a trailing P/E of 7.0x and an EV/EBITDA of 5.3x, both lower than the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers, which stood at 18.0x and 11.1x, respectively. Its price-to-sales was 0.3x compared to the peer median of 0.7x. Over the prior year, MLCO returned -49.4%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8%.

MLCO key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 7 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $6.50, representing a 56.6% premium over the last close of $4.15. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $5.20B and EPS of $0.45, reflecting an estimated EPS decline of 35.4%. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

MLCO forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $6.40B against cash of $912.9M leaves the company with substantial financial obligations.
  • Shareholders' equity remains negative at -$1.64B as of June 30, 2026.
  • Revenue growth turned negative at -5.7% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades 25.2% below its 200-day moving average, hovering close to its 52-week low of $4.06.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MLCO AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MLCO income statement, MLCO balance sheet, MLCO key metrics, MLCO analyst forecast, MLCO chart. See the MLCO stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MLCO AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Melco Resorts & Entertainment's ticker and exchange?

Melco Resorts & Entertainment trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol MLCO.

Does MLCO pay a regular dividend?

Melco paid $78,000 in dividends in FY2025 and does not maintain a standard regular dividend yield.

What is the mean price target for MLCO stock?

The mean analyst price target is $6.50, which is 56.6% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $4.15.

How much debt does Melco Resorts have?

As of June 30, 2026, Melco had $7.31B in total debt and $912.9M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $6.40B.

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