Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: BYDAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

BYD AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) is a regional gaming and hospitality operator managing 28 properties across Nevada and regional US markets. Revenue reached $4.09B in FY2025, while trailing twelve-month profit margin stood at 44.3%. The company holds $3.26B in total debt and returned significant capital through $778.3M in share buybacks in FY2025.

Market cap
$5.09B
Revenue (TTM)
$4.10B
P/E
3.1x
fwd 8.4x
1Y return
-13.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$93.94
34.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Boyd Gaming's valuation multiples trade well below peer medians, including an EV to EBITDA of 3.0x versus 11.1x for the median US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer.
  • Capital returns remain high, highlighted by $778.3M in share repurchases in FY2025 and a 34.4% reduction in share count over 5 years.
  • Trailing twelve-month return on equity reached 93.1%, supported by $4.10B in TTM revenue and a 20.9% operating margin.

Bear case

  • Gross margins have steadily decreased from 57.5% in FY2021 to 42.1% in FY2025.
  • Total debt stands at $3.26B with net debt of $2.94B, resulting in a current ratio of 0.77 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Consensus estimates expect EPS to decline 4.3% in FY2026 to $7.08 after quarterly earnings dropped 4.9% year-over-year in the latest quarter.

What Boyd Gaming does

Boyd Gaming Corporation, founded in 1975 and headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada, operates as a diversified gaming company across multiple jurisdictions. The company operates through three primary segments: Las Vegas Locals, Downtown Las Vegas, and Midwest & South. Its network includes 28 gaming entertainment properties across Nevada, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. In addition to casino gaming and hospitality services, Boyd Gaming owns and operates a travel agency, providing supplementary services across its customer base.

Growth and profitability

Revenue expanded from $3.37B in FY2021 to $4.09B in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 13.4% from FY2020. Annual revenue grew 4.1% in FY2025, though gross margin contracted from 57.5% in FY2021 to 42.1% in FY2025. Operating margin also compressed from 26.7% in FY2021 to 21.4% in FY2025. Net income reached $1.84B in FY2025 with a net margin of 45.0% and EPS of $7.42. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $4.10B with an operating margin of 20.9% and EPS of $22.91, while quarterly earnings fell 4.9% year-over-year.

BYD income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Boyd Gaming held $322.7M in cash and short-term investments against $3.26B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $2.94B. Shareholders' equity was $2.50B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.30 and a current ratio of 0.77. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $976.7M and free cash flow was $388.5M. The company used its cash for $588.2M in capital expenditures, $778.3M in share buybacks, and $58.2M in dividends, reducing share count by 34.4% over five years.

BYD balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Boyd Gaming trades at a trailing P/E of 3.1x and a forward P/E of 8.4x, compared to medians of 18.0x and 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV to EBITDA multiple is 3.0x versus the peer median of 11.1x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 1.2x compared to the peer median of 0.7x. The stock fell 13.9% over the past year, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 11.1% compared to an 83.0% return for the S&P 500.

BYD key metrics →

BYD dividend

Boyd Gaming pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $0.80 per share, representing a 1.14% dividend yield. The payout ratio stands at 10.5%. The company has paid dividends for 5 consecutive years, and its last ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.

BYD dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 7 Strong Buy and 12 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $93.94, representing a 34.1% upside over the last close of $70.04. For FY2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $7.08 (a 4.3% decline) on revenue of $4.09B. For FY2027, 17 analysts forecast EPS to grow 7.9% to $7.64 with revenue rising 2.2% to $4.18B. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 22, 2026.

BYD forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Balance sheet liquidity is constrained with a current ratio of 0.77 and cash of $322.7M against $3.26B in debt.
  • Free cash flow dropped from $811.0M in FY2021 to $388.5M in FY2025 as capital expenditures increased to $588.2M.
  • Short interest represents 8.5% of the float, reflecting market skepticism despite a 1.13 beta.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this BYD AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: BYD income statement, BYD balance sheet, BYD key metrics, BYD analyst forecast, BYD chart. See the BYD stock overview for the latest quote and news.

BYD AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Boyd Gaming pay?

Boyd Gaming pays a quarterly dividend totaling $0.80 annually per share, which equals a dividend yield of 1.14% and a payout ratio of 10.5%.

What are analysts' forecasts for Boyd Gaming's earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts expect EPS of $7.08 on revenue of $4.09B. In FY2027, consensus projections call for EPS of $7.64 on $4.18B in revenue.

How much debt does Boyd Gaming carry?

As of June 30, 2026, the company had $3.26B in total debt and $322.7M in cash and short-term investments, leading to net debt of $2.94B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.30.

When is Boyd Gaming's next earnings report?

Boyd Gaming's next earnings report is scheduled for October 22, 2026.

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