Moelis & Company (MC) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: MCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Moelis & Company (MC) is an investment banking advisory firm that provides strategic guidance on mergers and acquisitions, restructurings, and capital markets transactions. In FY2025, the firm generated $1.52B in revenue and $233.0M in net income, continuing a rebound from lower advisory levels in FY2023. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $1.57B, while the stock closed at $54.55 with a forward P/E of 13.4x.

Market cap
$4.04B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.57B
P/E
19.0x
fwd 13.4x
1Y return
-15.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$67.50
23.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve-month revenue expanded to $1.57B, supported by 12.0% quarterly revenue growth and 17.1% quarterly earnings growth for the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow reached $540.0M in FY2025, funding $208.7M in dividends paid and $74.6M in share repurchases.
  • Analysts project FY2027 revenue to grow 17.6% to $2.03B with EPS expected to rise 26.4% to $3.89.

Bear case

  • The stock fell 15.4% over the past year and is down 18.2% year-to-date, underperforming the S&P 500 one-year return of 16.8%.
  • Moelis & Company's trailing operating margin of 17.8% remains well below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 37.7%.
  • The dividend payout ratio is elevated at 88.4%, while annualized dividend growth over the past 5 years declined 6.5%.

What Moelis & does

Moelis & Company operates as an investment banking advisory firm, providing guidance on mergers and acquisitions, recapitalizations and restructurings, capital markets transactions, and corporate finance. The firm serves public multinational corporations, middle market private companies, financial sponsors, entrepreneurs, governments, and sovereign wealth funds. Founded in 2007 and headquartered in New York, New York, it operates globally across North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Australia. Its international reach includes strategic alliances with Alfaro, Dvila y Scherer, S.C. in Mexico and MA Moelis Australia in Australia to support client cross-border transactions.

Growth and profitability

Moelis & Company generated revenue of $1.54B in FY2021 before advisory activity slowed, reducing revenue by 36.0% to $985.3M in FY2022 and 13.2% to $854.7M in FY2023. The firm recorded an operating margin of -4.7% and a net loss of -$24.7M in FY2023. Results recovered in FY2024 as revenue grew 39.8% to $1.19B with net income of $136.0M. In FY2025, revenue rose 27.0% to $1.52B with net income of $233.0M and an operating margin of 18.1%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 12.0% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 17.1%. Trailing twelve-month revenue stood at $1.57B with a profit margin of 14.5%.

MC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Moelis & Company held $207.7M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $262.8M, resulting in net debt of $55.0M. Shareholders' equity was $505.8M against total assets of $1.41B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52 and a current ratio of 20.27. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $576.3M and free cash flow was $540.0M. During FY2025, cash usage included $36.3M in capital expenditures, $74.6M in share buybacks, and $208.7M in dividends paid.

MC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Moelis & Company holds a market cap of $4.04B and an enterprise value of $4.37B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 19.0x and a forward P/E of 13.4x, compared to 12.1x and 10.8x for the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its EV/EBITDA multiple of 14.4x sits above the peer median of 11.7x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 2.6x is lower than the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, the stock fell 15.4% while the S&P 500 returned 16.8%. Over five years, the stock fell 3.3% versus an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.

MC key metrics →

MC dividend

Moelis & Company pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $2.60 per share, representing a 4.77% dividend yield. The payout ratio stands at 88.4%. The firm has paid dividends for 13 consecutive years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth is -6.5%. The last ex-dividend date was August 10, 2026.

MC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 2 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings on the stock. The mean price target is $67.50, representing a 23.7% premium over the last close of $54.55. For FY2026, analysts estimate revenue of $1.73B and EPS of $3.08, up 2.9%. Ten analysts covering FY2027 project revenue of $2.03B and EPS of $3.89, reflecting 26.4% earnings growth. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 4, 2026.

MC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Advisory revenue has demonstrated cyclical volatility, dropping 36.0% in FY2022 and 13.2% in FY2023 when net income fell to -$24.7M.
  • The stock has a beta of 1.90, indicating nearly twice the price volatility of the broader equity market.
  • Short interest represents 8.1% of float while institutional ownership stands at 109.4%, which can contribute to share price swings.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Moelis & Company (MC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MC income statement, MC balance sheet, MC key metrics, MC analyst forecast, MC chart. See the MC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MC AI stock analysis FAQ

What services does Moelis & Company provide?

Moelis & Company is an investment banking advisory firm that provides guidance on mergers and acquisitions, recapitalizations, restructurings, and capital markets transactions to corporations, financial sponsors, and governments worldwide.

What is Moelis & Company's dividend yield?

Moelis & Company offers an annualized forward dividend of $2.60 per share, which equals a dividend yield of 4.77% with an 88.4% payout ratio.

How does Moelis & Company's valuation compare to sector peers?

The stock trades at a forward P/E of 13.4x and an EV/EBITDA of 14.4x, both trading above the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 10.8x and 11.7x, respectively.

When does Moelis & Company report earnings?

The firm is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 4, 2026, after beating analyst EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

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