Morgan Stanley (MS) AI Stock Analysis
MS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMorgan Stanley (MS) is a global financial holding company operating across Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $79.79B in revenue with a profit margin of 25.6% and an operating margin of 39.9%. Over the past five years, the stock has gained 107.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark return of 83.0%.
- Market cap
- $283.60B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $79.79B
- P/E
- 14.3x fwd 14.9x
- 1Y return
- 15.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $213.27 18.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Diluted EPS increased to $10.21 in FY2025 alongside $46.10B in annual free cash flow.
- The company maintained a 22.4% annualized 5-year dividend growth rate while reducing share count by 12.0% over 5 years.
- Analysts project current fiscal year EPS growth of 25.5% to reach $12.81, supported by 4 consecutive quarters of earnings beats.
Bear case
- The forward P/E multiple of 14.9x trades at a premium to the S&P 500 Financial Services peer median of 12.2x.
- Free cash flow has shown historical volatility, dipping negative to -$36.95B in FY2023 and -$2.10B in FY2024.
- The stock has trailed the broader market over the past year, returning 15.4% versus 16.8% for the S&P 500.
What Morgan Stanley does
Morgan Stanley is a New York-based financial holding company providing financial products and services worldwide. It operates via three core segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. Institutional Securities delivers capital raising, financial advisory, underwriting, M&A advice, restructuring, project finance, sales and trading in equities and fixed income, commodities, foreign exchange, and prime brokerage. Wealth Management provides financial advisor-led brokerage, investment advisory, wealth planning, lending, residential real estate loans, banking, and retirement solutions. Investment Management offers equity, fixed income, liquidity, and alternative investment products.
Growth and profitability
Revenue expanded from $57.78B in FY2021 to $114.98B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 18.3%. Operating margins were 34.0% in FY2021, 22.6% in FY2022, 13.4% in FY2023, 17.1% in FY2024, and 19.1% in FY2025. Annual net income moved from $15.03B in FY2021 to $16.86B in FY2025, with diluted EPS rising to $10.21. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $79.79B and EPS stood at $12.61. In the latest quarter ending September 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 10.8% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 8.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of September 30, 2026, Morgan Stanley held $120.10B in cash and short-term investments alongside total assets of $1.69T. Operating cash flow totaled $49.00B in FY2025, generating $46.10B in free cash flow after capital expenditures of $2.90B. In FY2025, the firm allocated capital toward $5.83B in share buybacks and $6.59B in dividends paid. Over the past 5 years, share count decreased by 12.0%.
Valuation and performance
Morgan Stanley trades at a trailing P/E of 14.3x, compared to the median of 14.2x for its S&P 500 Financial Services peers. Its forward P/E stands at 14.9x, above the peer median of 12.2x. The price-to-sales ratio is 3.6x compared to the peer median of 3.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 15.4%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, its return of 107.3% topped the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
MS dividend
Morgan Stanley pays an annual forward dividend of $4.60 per share, representing a 2.55% dividend yield with a payout ratio of 27.9%. Dividends are distributed quarterly and have been paid for 34 consecutive years. The annualized 5-year dividend growth rate is 22.4%, and the last ex-dividend date was October 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 9 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 14 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $213.27, representing an 18.1% upside compared to the last close of $180.57. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $12.81 on revenue of $82.18B. The firm has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.
Key risks and what to watch
- A stock beta of 1.21 reflects higher price volatility relative to the broader market.
- Annual gross margin compressed from 97.6% in FY2021 to 57.1% in FY2025.
- The share price of $180.57 sits 6.5% below its 200-day moving average and down from its 52-week high of $232.25.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Morgan Stanley (MS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MS income statement, MS balance sheet, MS key metrics, MS analyst forecast, MS chart. See the MS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MS AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Morgan Stanley's dividend yield and payout history?
Morgan Stanley offers a 2.55% dividend yield based on an annual forward dividend of $4.60. It has paid dividends for 34 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 27.9%.
What are Wall Street's expectations for Morgan Stanley's earnings?
Analysts forecast FY2026 EPS of $12.81, representing 25.5% growth over the prior year, followed by $13.66 in FY2027. The average price target is $213.27, which is 18.1% above the last close.
How does Morgan Stanley's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Morgan Stanley trades at a trailing P/E of 14.3x and forward P/E of 14.9x, compared to S&P 500 Financial Services peer medians of 14.2x and 12.2x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 3.6x versus the 3.1x peer median.
What is Morgan Stanley's current liquidity position?
As of September 30, 2026, Morgan Stanley held $120.10B in cash and short-term investments within its total asset base of $1.69T.