Merchants Bancorp (MBIN) AI Stock Analysis
MBIN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMerchants Bancorp (MBIN) operates as a diversified bank holding company focused on multi-family mortgage banking, mortgage warehousing, and general banking services. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $632.3M in revenue with an operating margin of 61.1% and diluted EPS of $4.98. While annual revenue declined 5.7% in FY2025, MBIN delivered strong quarterly earnings growth of 146.7% for the period ended June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $2.24B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $632.3M
- P/E
- 9.8x
- 1Y return
- 57.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $64.00 31.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings jumped 146.7% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, supported by 37.1% revenue growth.
- The trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8x provides a discount relative to the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 12.1x.
- MBIN beat consensus EPS estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, and analysts project 43.8% EPS growth for FY2026.
Bear case
- Cash flow generation was negative in FY2025, with free cash flow of -$170.3M and operating cash flow of -$149.4M.
- Full-year revenue declined 5.7% in FY2025 while operating margins contracted to 19.3% from 29.2% in FY2024.
- The balance sheet carries $4.28B in total debt against cash and short-term investments of only $17.9M as of June 30, 2026.
What Merchants Bancorp does
Merchants Bancorp, founded in 1990 and based in Carmel, Indiana, operates as a diversified bank holding company across three main segments: Multi-family Mortgage Banking, Mortgage Warehousing, and Banking. The Multi-family Mortgage Banking segment originates and services government-sponsored mortgages for multi-family and healthcare facilities, including independent living, assisted living, memory care, and skilled nursing projects, while also syndicating low-income housing tax credits and debt funds. The Mortgage Warehousing segment provides financing for agency-eligible residential loans and commercial loans to non-depository financial institutions. The Banking segment delivers consumer and commercial banking products and financial services.
Growth and profitability
MBIN expanded its top line from $461.6M in FY2021 to a peak of $1.45B in FY2024, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 27.8% through FY2025. In FY2025, revenue contracted 5.7% to $1.37B, and net income fell to $218.8M compared to $320.4M in FY2024, bringing operating margin down to 19.3%. Over the trailing twelve months, MBIN posted revenue of $632.3M and an operating margin of 61.1%. Performance rebounded sharply in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, where quarterly revenue grew 37.1% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 146.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Merchants Bancorp held $17.9M in cash and short-term investments alongside total assets of $21.23B. Total debt stood at $4.28B, yielding net debt of $4.26B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.79 against shareholders' equity of $2.39B. Its current ratio was 0.02. In FY2025, the company recorded operating cash flow of -$149.4M and free cash flow of -$170.3M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $20.9M spent on capital expenditures and $59.4M paid in dividends.
Valuation and performance
MBIN trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8x, which sits below the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 3.5x, slightly above the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 1.3x and enterprise value stands at $6.30B. Over the past year, MBIN shares delivered a return of 57.8%, outpacing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year horizon, MBIN returned 84.5% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.
MBIN dividend
Merchants Bancorp pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $0.44 per share, offering a dividend yield of 0.90%. The company has paid dividends for 10 consecutive years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 13.4%. Its payout ratio stands at 8.6%, and the last ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 3 analysts, with 1 Buy rating and 2 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $64.00, representing an upside of 31.2% over the last close of $48.77. Consensus calls for current fiscal year EPS of $5.44, up 43.8%, on revenue of $721.9M for the period ending December 31, 2026. MBIN beat earnings expectations in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 28, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The current ratio stood at 0.02 as of June 30, 2026, reflecting tight short-term liquidity.
- A high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.79 and net debt of $4.26B expose the firm to funding costs and leverage risks.
- The stock displays higher market sensitivity, evidenced by a beta of 1.21 alongside a 7.8% short interest as a percentage of float.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MBIN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Merchants Bancorp (MBIN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MBIN income statement, MBIN balance sheet, MBIN key metrics, MBIN analyst forecast, MBIN chart. See the MBIN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MBIN AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Merchants Bancorp's dividend yield and payout policy?
MBIN provides a forward dividend yield of 0.90% based on an annual forward payout of $0.44 per share. It distributes dividends quarterly with a modest payout ratio of 8.6% and has maintained payouts for 10 consecutive years.
When does Merchants Bancorp report its next quarterly earnings?
Merchants Bancorp is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 28, 2026.
What is the Wall Street analyst price target for MBIN stock?
The mean analyst price target is $64.00, which is 31.2% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $48.77. Coverage consists of 1 Buy and 2 Hold ratings.
How did Merchants Bancorp perform against the broader market?
Over the past 1-year period, MBIN returned 57.8%, outpacing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over 5 years, MBIN returned 84.5% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.