Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (LION) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: LIONAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LION AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (LION) is a Miami-based entity formed to execute a merger or business combination. For FY2025, revenue contracted 17.6% to $2.63B while net loss widened to -$198.3M. The company maintains negative shareholders' equity of -$1.20B and total debt of $3.94B as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$3.18B
Revenue (TTM)
$0
P/E
—
fwd 23.3x
1Y return
78.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$15.08
41.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • LION generated positive free cash flow of $11.4M in FY2025, recovering from negative free cash flow of -$120.3M in FY2024.
  • Analyst consensus targets a price of $15.08, indicating 41.0% upside potential over the recent close of $10.70.
  • The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 5.5x, well below the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 11.7x.

Bear case

  • The company holds negative shareholders' equity of -$1.20B alongside a low current ratio of 0.44 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Net losses expanded in FY2025 to -$198.3M, marking three consecutive fiscal years of unprofitability.
  • The forward P/E multiple of 23.3x trades at a substantial premium to the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x.

What Lionsgate Studios does

Lionheart III Corp, operating as Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp., does not have significant operations. It intends to effect a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses or entities. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Miami, Florida.

Growth and profitability

Revenue has fluctuated over recent fiscal years, delivering a 5-year CAGR of 6.6% from FY2020 to FY2025. In FY2024, revenue grew 7.0% to $3.20B, but in FY2025 it fell 17.6% to $2.63B. Gross margin expanded to 39.8% in FY2025 from 30.8% in FY2024, while operating margin rose to 5.6%. However, net losses deepened each year from -$93.5M in FY2023 to -$128.5M in FY2024 and -$198.3M in FY2025, which equated to an EPS of -$0.32. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $0 with an EPS of -$0.17.

LION income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $425.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.94B, resulting in net debt of $3.51B. Total assets stood at $5.33B, while shareholders' equity was -$1.20B, indicating negative equity. The company reported a current ratio of 0.44. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $24.8M and free cash flow was $11.4M, with capital expenditures totaling $13.4M. Its share count increased 1719.7% over the 5-year period.

LION balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

LION shares closed at $10.70 on October 16, 2026, down 6.7% from its 200-day moving average. The stock gained 78.3% over the trailing year, outperforming the 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). At a market cap of $3.18B and enterprise value of $6.83B, the stock trades at a forward P/E of 23.3x, compared to 10.8x for the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its EV/EBITDA stands at 5.5x versus the peer median of 11.7x, and its price-to-sales is 1.1x compared to the peer median of 3.2x.

LION key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts carry 4 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 4 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $15.08, representing a 41.0% premium over the last close of $10.70. For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $3.35B and an EPS of $0.39, reflecting 532.2% EPS growth. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

LION forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Carrying total debt of $3.94B against $425.8M in cash presents substantial balance sheet leverage.
  • A current ratio of 0.44 points to tight short-term liquidity constraints.
  • The 5-year share count expansion of 1719.7% reflects massive historical equity dilution.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LION AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (LION). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LION income statement, LION balance sheet, LION key metrics, LION analyst forecast, LION chart. See the LION stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LION AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp.'s business objective?

The company does not have significant operations and was created to effect a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination.

Does LION pay a dividend?

LION does not pay a dividend.

What is LION's current debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, LION held $425.8M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $3.94B, resulting in net debt of $3.51B.

When is LION's next earnings release?

LION's next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

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