Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: KNSLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

KNSL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) is a property and casualty insurance company focusing on specialized commercial lines across the United States. In FY2025, revenue increased 18.0% to $1.87B with net income reaching $503.6M and free cash flow of $990.1M. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $2.00B with an operating margin of 40.7% and return on equity of 30.3%.

Market cap
$8.32B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.00B
P/E
14.8x
fwd 15.1x
1Y return
-16.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$346.22
-5.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded at a 5-year compound annual growth rate of 32.4%, reaching $1.87B in FY2025 and $2.00B over the trailing twelve months.
  • The company generated strong profitability with a trailing twelve-month operating margin of 40.7% and a return on equity of 30.3%.
  • Free cash flow reached $990.1M in FY2025, easily covering $90.0M in share repurchases and $15.8M in dividend distributions.

Bear case

  • Consensus estimates for next fiscal year project revenue to contract by 0.8% to $1.95B, with EPS growth slowing to 1.3%.
  • Kinsale's forward P/E of 15.1x and price-to-sales of 4.2x trade at a premium to the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 10.8x and 3.2x.
  • Analyst sentiment includes 2 Strong Sell ratings and a mean price target of $346.22, which is 5.2% below the last close of $365.24.

What Kinsale Capital does

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc., based in Richmond, Virginia, provides property and casualty insurance products across the United States. Founded in 2009, the company delivers tailored insurance solutions primarily to commercial clients, spanning construction, small business, casualty, property, allied health, life sciences, energy, environmental, healthcare, inland marine, and public entity insurance. Kinsale distributes its products through independent insurance brokers in all 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Its operations emphasize risk assessment and underwriting across product, professional, and management liability insurance to help mitigate client risks.

Growth and profitability

Revenue expanded from $653.5M in FY2021 to $1.87B in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 32.4%. Annual revenue grew 28.4% in FY2022, 46.0% in FY2023, 29.7% in FY2024, and 18.0% in FY2025. Over the same timeframe, net income rose from $152.7M in FY2021 to $503.6M in FY2025, while diluted earnings per share grew from $5.74 to $19.51. Operating margins expanded from 28.9% in FY2021 to 33.8% in FY2025, alongside a gross margin of 52.5% in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 16.8% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 34.0%. TTM revenue stood at $2.00B with diluted EPS of $24.65.

KNSL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Kinsale held $210.5M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $224.5M, resulting in net debt of $14.0M. Shareholders' equity was $2.04B and total assets were $6.43B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 and a current ratio of 0.41. In FY2025, the company generated $1.04B in operating cash flow and $990.1M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $53.7M for capital expenditures, $90.0M for share buybacks, and $15.8M in dividend payments.

KNSL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Kinsale trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 14.8x and a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15.1x, higher than the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio is 4.2x versus the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 3.8x and enterprise value to revenue is 3.9x. Over the past year, the stock fell 16.5%, lagging the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, KNSL returned 122.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

KNSL key metrics →

KNSL dividend

Kinsale pays an annualized forward dividend of $1.00 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 0.27% with a payout ratio of 4.2%. The dividend is paid quarterly and has been distributed for 11 consecutive years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 13.6%. The company's last ex-dividend date was August 28, 2026.

KNSL dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage on Kinsale includes 1 Strong Buy, 9 Holds, and 2 Strong Sells. The mean price target of $346.22 sits 5.2% below the last close of $365.24. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.97B and EPS of $21.41. For the next fiscal year, 11 analysts project revenue of $1.95B and EPS of $21.70. Kinsale beat earnings estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 22, 2026.

KNSL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The stock posted a 1-year return of -16.5%, significantly trailing the S&P 500 gain of 16.8%.
  • Short interest accounts for 10.9% of the float, reflecting meaningful negative positioning among market participants.
  • The current ratio stood at 0.41 as of June 30, 2026, reflecting tight short-term liquidity.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this KNSL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: KNSL income statement, KNSL balance sheet, KNSL key metrics, KNSL analyst forecast, KNSL chart. See the KNSL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

KNSL AI stock analysis FAQ

What were Kinsale Capital Group's revenue and earnings in FY2025?

In FY2025, Kinsale reported revenue of $1.87B, reflecting an 18.0% increase from FY2024. Net income totaled $503.6M, which translated to diluted earnings per share of $19.51.

Does Kinsale Capital Group pay a dividend?

Yes, Kinsale pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.00 per share, offering a dividend yield of 0.27%. The company has paid dividends for 11 consecutive years while maintaining a payout ratio of 4.2%.

How is Kinsale valued compared to its industry peers?

Kinsale trades at a trailing P/E of 14.8x and a forward P/E of 15.1x, above the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x and 10.8x. Its price-to-sales ratio of 4.2x also exceeds the peer median of 3.2x.

When does Kinsale Capital Group report its next earnings?

Kinsale's next earnings date is October 22, 2026. The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of its last 4 quarters.

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