Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) AI Stock Analysis
JEF AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchJefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) is a global investment banking, capital markets, and asset management firm. In FY2025, revenue grew 2.9% to $10.82B while net income was $710.5M, supporting trailing twelve months EPS of $3.75. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 11.9x and offers a 3.57% forward dividend yield.
- Market cap
- $10.29B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.51B
- P/E
- 11.9x fwd 10.3x
- 1Y return
- -5.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $55.67 24.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Jefferies delivered 17.9% year-over-year quarterly earnings growth in the quarter ended August 31, 2026.
- The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 4.8x, lower than the 11.7x median for US-listed Financial Services peers.
- Wall Street analysts maintain a mean price target of $55.67, representing 24.3% upside above the last close of $44.80.
Bear case
- The company generated negative free cash flow of -$1.71B and negative operating cash flow of -$1.50B in FY2025.
- Jefferies shares fell 26.1% year-to-date and 5.4% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 one-year return of 16.8%.
- Total debt reached $39.75B against cash and short-term investments of $16.9M as of August 31, 2026.
What Jefferies Financial does
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. operates globally across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia, specializing in investment banking, capital markets, and asset management services. Founded in 1962 and based in New York City, the company operates via two primary segments: Investment Banking and Capital Markets, and Asset Management. The Investment Banking segment provides advisory services on mergers, acquisitions, restructurings, and private capital transactions, alongside equity and debt underwriting, corporate lending, and prime brokerage. Its sales and trading operations cover corporate bonds, government securities, municipal bonds, mortgage-backed securities, leveraged loans, foreign exchange, and derivatives. In Asset Management, Jefferies manages and invests in alternative asset management platforms.
Growth and profitability
Jefferies recorded a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.2% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $8.95B in FY2021 to $10.82B in FY2025, with revenue growth reaching 41.3% in FY2024 before moderating to 2.9% in FY2025. Operating margin declined from 39.4% in FY2021 to 6.3% in FY2025, while net margin fell from 18.7% to 6.6%, generating FY2025 net income of $710.5M and EPS of $2.94. For the trailing twelve months ended August 31, 2026, revenue was $8.51B with an operating margin of 15.8% and net profit margin of 11.0%. In the quarter ended August 31, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 8.5% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 17.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of August 31, 2026, Jefferies reported total assets of $81.30B and shareholders' equity of $10.71B. Cash and short-term investments stood at $16.9M against total debt of $39.75B, leaving net debt at $39.73B with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.71 and a current ratio of 1.28. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$1.50B and free cash flow was -$1.71B. Cash uses in FY2025 included $207.5M for capital expenditures, $58.5M for share buybacks, and $374.1M for dividends paid, with shares outstanding decreasing 23.8% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At $44.80, Jefferies trades at a market capitalization of $10.29B and an enterprise value of $22.99B. Its trailing P/E of 11.9x and forward P/E of 10.3x sit slightly below the medians of 12.1x and 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. The firm trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 1.2x compared to the peer median of 3.2x, and an EV/EBITDA of 4.8x compared to the peer median of 11.7x. Over the past year, JEF returned -5.4%, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY). Over 5 years, JEF returned 34.1% against 83.0% for the benchmark.
JEF dividend
Jefferies pays a forward annual dividend of $1.60 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.57% and a payout ratio of 42.3%. Distributions are paid on a quarterly schedule, and the company has recorded 17 consecutive years of dividend payments. The last ex-dividend date was November 16, 2026.
What analysts expect
Jefferies is covered by 6 analysts, who assign 2 Strong Buy and 4 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $55.67 sits 24.3% above the last close of $44.80. For the fiscal year ending November 30, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $8.56B and EPS of $3.72, representing 23.7% EPS growth. For the following fiscal year, 4 analysts estimate revenue of $9.15B and EPS of $4.52. Jefferies has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters.
Key risks and what to watch
- A debt-to-equity ratio of 3.71 and net debt of $39.73B create elevated financial leverage risk.
- Operating margin dropped from 44.8% in FY2024 to 6.3% in FY2025, demonstrating substantial earnings variability.
- Free cash flow has remained negative for three consecutive years, recording -$1.93B in FY2023, -$459.8M in FY2024, and -$1.71B in FY2025.
- A beta of 1.54 exposes shareholders to higher volatility than the broader equity market.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this JEF AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: JEF income statement, JEF balance sheet, JEF key metrics, JEF analyst forecast, JEF chart. See the JEF stock overview for the latest quote and news.
JEF AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Jefferies' dividend yield and distribution history?
Jefferies pays a forward annual dividend of $1.60 per share, which equates to a 3.57% dividend yield. Dividends are paid quarterly, supported by a 42.3% payout ratio and 17 consecutive years of payments.
How is Jefferies valued relative to its industry peers?
Jefferies trades at a trailing P/E of 11.9x and a forward P/E of 10.3x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x for US-listed Financial Services peers. Its EV/EBITDA ratio of 4.8x also sits below the peer median of 11.7x.
What are analysts forecasting for Jefferies' revenue and earnings?
For the fiscal year ending November 30, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $8.56B and EPS of $3.72, reflecting 23.7% EPS growth. For the subsequent fiscal year, 4 analysts forecast revenue of $9.15B and EPS of $4.52.
What does Jefferies' balance sheet look like?
As of August 31, 2026, Jefferies held $16.9M in cash and short-term investments alongside $39.75B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $39.73B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.71.