ING Groep N.V. (ING) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: INGAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ING AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

ING Groep N.V. (ING) is a global financial institution headquartered in Amsterdam providing retail and wholesale banking services. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated $25.21B in revenue with an operating margin of 49.1%. The stock closed at $33.45 on October 16, 2026, delivering a 1-year return of 46.2%.

Market cap
$95.03B
Revenue (TTM)
$25.21B
P/E
12.5x
fwd 11.8x
1Y return
46.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$36.50
9.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • ING demonstrated earnings momentum in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, with quarterly earnings growing 22.1% year-over-year and quarterly revenue increasing 11.1%.
  • The company delivered strong capital returns to shareholders in FY2025, distributing $3.88B in dividends and repurchasing $3.71B of its shares.
  • The stock has significantly outperformed the broader market over the past year, recording a 46.2% return compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow has remained negative across five consecutive fiscal years, including -$6.73B in FY2025 and -$22.88B in FY2024.
  • Annual revenue fell 65.3% in FY2025 to $23.04B, contributing to a 5-year revenue CAGR of -3.1% from FY2020 to FY2025.
  • The company maintains a high debt burden, with total debt of $185.08B as of June 30, 2026, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.68.

What ING Groep does

Founded in 1762 and headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, ING Groep N.V. provides banking products and services across multiple global markets. The company operates through six segments: Retail Netherlands, Retail Belgium, Retail Germany, Retail Other, Wholesale Banking, and Corporate Line Banking. Its retail banking units offer current and savings accounts, residential mortgage loans, consumer loans, and investment and insurance options. Wholesale banking delivers debt capital markets, corporate finance solutions, treasury and risk management, and specialized lending. ING operates across Europe, North America, Latin America, Asia, and Australia, providing digital banking capabilities, payments, cash management, and trade services to small and medium enterprises, mid-corporates, and institutional clients.

Growth and profitability

ING recorded revenue of $25.78B in FY2021 and $18.59B in FY2022, before expanding to $58.90B in FY2023 and $66.41B in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue fell 65.3% to $23.04B, while net income reached $6.33B with a net margin of 27.5% and an operating margin of 39.7%. From FY2020 to FY2025, the 5-year revenue CAGR stood at -3.1%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $25.21B with a profit margin of 34.5% and EPS of $2.67. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 11.1% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 22.1%.

ING income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, ING held $189.09B in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $185.08B, resulting in net cash of $4.01B. Total assets stood at $1.16T against shareholders' equity of $50.24B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.68 and a current ratio of 0.21. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was -$6.38B, and free cash flow was -$6.73B. Capital expenditures were $351.0M in FY2025. The company deployed cash toward capital returns, spending $3.71B on share buybacks and $3.88B on dividends paid.

ING balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $33.45 on October 16, 2026, ING has a market cap of $95.03B and an enterprise value of $111.29B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 12.5x, slightly above the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers, and a forward P/E of 11.8x compared to the peer median of 10.8x. Its price-to-sales multiple of 3.8x also exceeds the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, ING shares returned 46.2%, outperforming the 16.8% return of the S&P 500, while its 5-year return reached 218.7% compared to 83.0% for the index.

ING key metrics →

ING dividend

ING pays a semiannual dividend with an annual forward payout of $1.32 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.95% as of October 16, 2026. The payout ratio stands at 74.4%, with dividends paid consecutively for 6 years. The last ex-dividend date was August 10, 2026.

ING dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Buy and 2 Hold ratings, with 0 Strong Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $36.50, representing a 9.1% upside from the October 16, 2026 close of $33.45. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $24.70B and EPS of $2.83, reflecting 11.8% EPS growth. ING has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 29, 2026.

ING forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Cash generation remains an ongoing challenge, as operating cash flow was negative at -$6.38B in FY2025.
  • Liquidity metrics reflect short-term obligations, with a current ratio of 0.21 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Dividend sustainability could be pressured if earnings slow, given a relatively high payout ratio of 74.4%.
  • The stock's valuation shows a premium, with a forward P/E of 11.8x compared to the 10.8x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ING AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of ING Groep N.V. (ING). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ING income statement, ING balance sheet, ING key metrics, ING analyst forecast, ING chart. See the ING stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ING AI stock analysis FAQ

What is ING's dividend yield and payout schedule?

ING offers an annual forward dividend of $1.32, which equates to a dividend yield of 3.95% as of October 16, 2026. Dividends are distributed on a semiannual schedule, with a payout ratio of 74.4%.

How did ING perform in its latest reported quarter?

For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, ING delivered 11.1% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth. Quarterly earnings expanded 22.1% year-over-year.

What are analysts' price targets for ING stock?

Analysts have established a mean price target of $36.50 for ING, which represents a 9.1% upside compared to the closing price of $33.45 on October 16, 2026. The coverage consists of 1 Buy and 2 Hold ratings.

How does ING's valuation compare to its peer group?

ING trades at a trailing P/E of 12.5x and a forward P/E of 11.8x, both above the US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio is 3.8x against a peer median of 3.2x.

When does ING report its next earnings?

ING is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 29, 2026. The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.

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