Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) AI Stock Analysis
SAN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchBanco Santander, S.A. (NYSE: SAN) is a global retail and commercial banking institution headquartered in Spain with total assets of $1.95T. Over the trailing twelve months, the bank generated revenue of $48.53B and an operating margin of 43.4%. While net income reached $14.10B in FY2025, free cash flow was negative at -$22.49B.
- Market cap
- $192.28B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $48.53B
- P/E
- 12.9x fwd 10.3x
- 1Y return
- 37.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $14.79 11.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Net income reached $14.10B in FY2025, reflecting steady net margin expansion to 11.8%.
- Shareholder returns remain supported by a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 13.9% and a -22.4% reduction in share count over 5 years.
- Trailing twelve months return on equity is 13.1%, paired with an operating margin of 43.4%.
Bear case
- Annual free cash flow was negative for three consecutive years, reaching -$22.49B in FY2025.
- Total debt stood at $450.66B as of June 30, 2026, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.12.
- Full-year revenue declined 7.7% in FY2025 to $119.89B.
What Banco Santander does
Banco Santander, S.A., established in 1856 and based in Madrid, Spain, operates an extensive network of 9,879 branches globally. It offers retail and commercial banking services to individuals, small and medium-sized enterprises, and corporations. Key offerings include deposits, savings accounts, mortgages, consumer finance, and syndicated corporate loans. The bank also provides structured financing, cash management, trade solutions, and corporate finance. In addition, Banco Santander delivers insurance, asset and wealth management, private banking, treasury, risk hedging, custody, and investment banking services.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2020 and FY2025, Banco Santander posted a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 14.7%. Revenue expanded from $61.50B in FY2021 to $129.91B in FY2024 before falling 7.7% to $119.89B in FY2025. Despite the revenue decline in FY2025, net income rose to $14.10B with a net margin of 11.8% and EPS of $1.05. Over the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $48.53B with a profit margin of 33.5%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 10.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 8.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Banco Santander held $137.95B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $450.66B, resulting in net debt of $312.71B. Shareholders' equity was $109.30B, translating to a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.12. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$14.84B and free cash flow was -$22.49B, with capital expenditures of $7.66B. Capital return in FY2025 included $4.08B in share buybacks and $3.34B in dividends paid, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -22.4%.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $13.30, Banco Santander had a market capitalization of $192.28B and an enterprise value of $286.51B. Its trailing P/E ratio of 12.9x sits above the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers, while its forward P/E of 10.3x is below the peer median of 10.8x. The stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 1.7x and a price-to-sales multiple of 4.0x. Over the past year, the stock returned 37.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and its 5-year return of 307.5% outpaced SPY's 83.0%.
SAN dividend
Banco Santander pays a semiannual dividend with an annualized forward rate of $0.28 per share, yielding 2.09%. Its payout ratio is 35.2%, and it has paid dividends for 40 consecutive years. The dividend grew at a 5-year annualized rate of 13.9%, and its last ex-dividend date was October 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Buy rating and 2 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $14.79, representing an 11.2% upside compared to the last close of $13.30. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.28 and revenue of $63.82B. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts project EPS of $1.43 and revenue of $69.26B. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating cash flow remained negative at -$14.84B in FY2025, which may impact liquidity and capital allocation.
- Net debt of $312.71B and total debt of $450.66B present leverage risk relative to shareholders' equity of $109.30B.
- Earnings consistency has been mixed, with only 1 EPS beat recorded across the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SAN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SAN income statement, SAN balance sheet, SAN key metrics, SAN analyst forecast, SAN chart. See the SAN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SAN AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Banco Santander's dividend yield and payout schedule?
Banco Santander carries a forward dividend yield of 2.09% based on an annual forward payout of $0.28 per share. The dividend is distributed on a semiannual basis.
What are analysts' price targets for SAN stock?
The mean analyst price target is $14.79, which sits 11.2% above the last closing price of $13.30. The analyst consensus consists of 1 Buy and 2 Hold ratings.
How much debt does Banco Santander hold?
As of June 30, 2026, the bank held $450.66B in total debt and $137.95B in cash and short-term investments, leading to net debt of $312.71B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.12.
When does Banco Santander report its next earnings?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 4, 2026.