Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: CMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce provides diversified banking and wealth management services across Canada, the U.S., and internationally. In FY2025, net income climbed to $8.43B with an operating margin of 17.6%, despite annual revenue dipping 3.1% to $62.01B. The bank offers a 2.68% forward dividend yield with a 38.1% payout ratio.

Market cap
$102.12B
Revenue (TTM)
$30.01B
P/E
15.0x
fwd 13.7x
1Y return
44.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$119.41
6.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • CIBC demonstrated consistent execution by beating consensus earnings estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.
  • Return on equity reached 15.6% over the trailing twelve months, supported by 14.9% year-over-year quarterly earnings growth.
  • The company returned substantial capital to shareholders in FY2025 via $3.99B in dividends and $3.08B in share buybacks.

Bear case

  • CIBC trades at a forward P/E of 13.7x, reflecting a premium over the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 10.8x.
  • The bank carries $162.55B in net debt with a current ratio of 0.10 as of July 31, 2026.
  • Dividend distributions experienced contraction, marked by a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of -4.6%.

What Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce does

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) is a Toronto-based financial institution established in 1867. The bank operates across several segments, including Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Commercial Banking and Wealth Management, U.S. Commercial Banking and Wealth Management, and Capital Markets. CIBC delivers checking, savings, and loan products such as mortgages, agriculture financing, and credit cards. It also provides private wealth, investment, insurance, foreign exchange, and cash management services to retail, business, public sector, and institutional clients. In addition, CIBC is positioned to adopt digital asset custody, trading platforms, and blockchain solutions.

Growth and profitability

CIBC generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 19.8% from FY2020 through FY2025. Annual revenue peaked at $64.02B in FY2024 before falling 3.1% to $62.01B in FY2025. Over the same period, net income expanded from $7.12B to $8.43B, lifting net margin to 13.6% and diluted EPS to $8.61. Operating cash flow totaled $13.84B in FY2025, delivering $12.73B in free cash flow. In the trailing twelve months ended July 31, 2026, CIBC delivered revenue of $30.01B with a 33.7% profit margin and an operating margin of 40.0%. For the latest quarter, quarterly revenue expanded 16.6% year-over-year while quarterly earnings rose 14.9%.

CM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of July 31, 2026, CIBC held $15.33B in cash and short-term investments against $177.88B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $162.55B. Shareholders' equity stood at $67.23B on total assets of $1.18T, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.65 and a current ratio of 0.10. In FY2025, the bank used its cash flow for $1.11B in capital expenditures, $3.99B in dividends paid, and $3.08B in share buybacks, which contributed to a 27.5% share count reduction over 5 years.

CM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $112.48, CIBC holds a market cap of $102.12B and trades at a trailing P/E of 15.0x and a forward P/E of 13.7x, both above the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. The stock's price-to-sales multiple is 3.4x versus the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book sits at 2.4x. CIBC shares gained 44.6% over the trailing 1-year period, outpacing the 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY), and are up 142.3% over 5 years compared to 83.0% for the index.

CM dividend

CIBC offers an annual forward dividend of $3.02 per share, representing a 2.68% dividend yield. The bank has paid dividends for 30 consecutive years with a conservative payout ratio of 38.1%. Its annualized 5-year dividend growth rate stands at -4.6%, and the most recent ex-dividend date occurred on September 28, 2026.

CM dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street sentiment consists of 3 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 9 Hold, and 1 Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $119.41 implies 6.2% upside potential from the last close of $112.48. For the current fiscal year ending October 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $10.57, representing 22.8% annual earnings growth, on revenue of $33.07B. CIBC has beaten earnings estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for December 3, 2026.

CM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $177.88B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.65 leave the balance sheet sensitive to credit cycles.
  • Annual revenue fell 3.1% in FY2025 to $62.01B, signaling potential top-line volatility.
  • Stock price volatility is elevated relative to the broader market, as indicated by a beta of 1.24.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CM income statement, CM balance sheet, CM analyst forecast, CM chart. See the CM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CM AI stock analysis FAQ

What is CIBC's current dividend yield?

CIBC carries an annual forward dividend of $3.02 per share, which corresponds to a 2.68% dividend yield based on a 38.1% payout ratio.

When does CIBC report its next quarterly earnings?

CIBC is scheduled to release its next financial results on December 3, 2026.

How has CIBC stock performed relative to the S&P 500?

Over the trailing 1-year period, CIBC returned 44.6% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500. Over 5 years, the stock returned 142.3% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

What are analysts' price targets for CM shares?

The mean analyst price target is $119.41, which sits 6.2% above the last closing price of $112.48.

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