HSBC Holdings plc (HSBC) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: HSBCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

HSBC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

HSBC Holdings plc is a global banking and financial services company with a market capitalization of $323.43B. In the trailing twelve months, the bank generated $67.43B in revenue with a net profit margin of 37.8%. Over the past year, its stock delivered a return of 49.7%, outpacing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

Market cap
$323.43B
Revenue (TTM)
$67.43B
P/E
13.5x
fwd 10.7x
1Y return
49.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$106.08
12.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 25.4% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • HSBC holds $499.87B in net cash, backed by $632.76B in cash and short-term investments against $132.90B in total debt.
  • The company returned substantial capital in FY2025 through $12.66B in share buybacks and maintains a 3.97% dividend yield.

Bear case

  • Revenue fell 6.4% in FY2025 to $134.10B, down from $143.29B in FY2024.
  • The trailing P/E ratio of 13.5x and price-to-sales ratio of 4.8x trade above the US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 12.1x and 3.2x.
  • Free cash flow dropped from $61.42B in FY2024 to $25.11B in FY2025.

What HSBC does

HSBC Holdings plc provides banking and financial services across three primary segments: Wealth and Personal Banking, Commercial Banking, and Global Banking and Markets. Wealth and Personal Banking offers retail accounts, mortgages, personal loans, credit and debit cards, payment services, insurance, asset management, and private wealth solutions. Commercial Banking provides credit and lending facilities, treasury and cash management, commercial insurance, international trade and receivables finance, and advisory services to small and medium enterprises, mid-market businesses, and corporate clients. Global Banking and Markets delivers financing, advisory, and transactional services to government entities, corporate clients, institutional clients, and private investors.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue increased from $73.95B in FY2021 to $143.29B in FY2024 before declining 6.4% to $134.10B in FY2025. Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue grew at a 5-year compound annual growth rate of 11.6%. Net income rose from $13.92B in FY2021 to $22.29B in FY2025, while diluted EPS reached $6.51 with a net margin of 16.6%. In the trailing twelve months, revenue was $67.43B with an operating margin of 58.8% and EPS of $7.00. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 25.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 2.6%.

HSBC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, HSBC held $632.76B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $132.90B, resulting in net cash of $499.87B. Total assets stood at $3.44T and shareholders' equity was $196.68B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.68 and a current ratio of 0.32. In FY2025, the company generated $29.77B in operating cash flow and $25.11B in free cash flow. Capital expenditures totaled $4.66B, while capital returns included $12.66B in share buybacks and $11.58B in dividends paid.

HSBC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At its last close of $94.57 on October 16, 2026, HSBC traded at a trailing P/E of 13.5x and a forward P/E of 10.7x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio was 4.8x against the peer median of 3.2x, and enterprise value was $916.88B with an EV-to-revenue multiple of 2.0x. Over the past year, HSBC gained 49.7% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500, and its 5-year return of 316.4% outpaced the index return of 83.0%.

HSBC key metrics →

HSBC dividend

HSBC pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $3.75 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.97%. The payout ratio is 48.6%, and the company has maintained dividend payments for 6 consecutive years. The most recent ex-dividend date was August 14, 2026.

HSBC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts cover HSBC with 1 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 1 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $106.08, which is 12.2% above the last close of $94.57. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $75.88B and EPS of $8.53, reflecting 13.0% EPS growth. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 27, 2026.

HSBC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The current ratio stood at 0.32 as of June 30, 2026, reflecting low short-term balance sheet liquidity.
  • Quarterly earnings growth slowed to 2.6% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Net profit margin contracted from 20.4% in FY2022 to 16.6% in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this HSBC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of HSBC Holdings plc (HSBC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: HSBC income statement, HSBC balance sheet, HSBC key metrics, HSBC analyst forecast, HSBC chart. See the HSBC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

HSBC AI stock analysis FAQ

What is HSBC's dividend yield and payout schedule?

HSBC pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $3.75, which equals a 3.97% dividend yield. The payout ratio is 48.6%, and the last ex-dividend date was August 14, 2026.

What are analysts forecasting for HSBC's earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $8.53 on revenue of $75.88B, representing 13.0% EPS growth. For the following fiscal year, consensus estimates forecast EPS of $9.51 and revenue of $80.33B.

How has HSBC stock performed relative to the broader market?

HSBC gained 49.7% over the past year and 316.4% over five years. By comparison, the S&P 500 returned 16.8% over the past year and 83.0% over five years.

What is HSBC's debt and cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, HSBC reported $632.76B in cash and short-term investments alongside $132.90B in total debt, yielding net cash of $499.87B. Total assets were $3.44T and shareholders' equity was $196.68B.

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