Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: HWMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

HWM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) manufactures engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation markets. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $9.12B with an operating margin of 28.5% and diluted EPS of $4.64. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 47.6x while generating $1.43B in free cash flow in FY2025.

Market cap
$88.12B
Revenue (TTM)
$9.12B
P/E
47.6x
fwd 36.0x
1Y return
15.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$324.55
46.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 24.1% and earnings rose 33.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow expanded from $250.0M in FY2021 to $1.43B in FY2025 as operating margins reached 25.8%.
  • Consensus estimates project EPS to climb 41.6% in FY2026 to $5.34, supported by an undefeated 4-quarter earnings beat streak.

Bear case

  • Valuation multiples remain elevated, including a trailing P/E of 47.6x and EV/EBITDA of 34.6x against sector peer medians of 28.4x and 17.2x.
  • The balance sheet carries total debt of $4.51B and net debt of $3.95B relative to cash and short-term investments of $563.0M.
  • The stock is trading 11.3% below its 200-day average and down from its 52-week high of $310.00.

What Howmet does

Howmet Aerospace Inc. specializes in delivering engineered solutions tailored for the aerospace and transportation sectors across global markets including the United States, Europe, and Asia. Formerly known as Arconic Inc., the Pittsburgh-based company is organized into four main segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. Its products include airfoils, seamless rolled rings, rotating parts, aerospace-grade fastening systems, titanium mill products, aluminum and nickel forgings, and forged aluminum wheels designed for heavy-duty commercial transportation.

Growth and profitability

Howmet Aerospace expanded annual revenue from $4.97B in FY2021 to $8.25B in FY2025, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.4%. Profitability improved steadily over this timeframe, as gross margin rose from 22.8% to 30.7%, operating margin advanced from 17.4% to 25.8%, and net income increased from $258.0M to $1.51B. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $9.12B with a profit margin of 20.5%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue grew 24.1% year-over-year while quarterly earnings climbed 33.0%.

HWM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Howmet Aerospace held $563.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $4.51B, yielding net debt of $3.95B. Total assets stood at $13.25B and shareholders' equity was $5.73B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79 and a current ratio of 1.82. In FY2025, the company generated $1.88B in operating cash flow, allocating $453.0M to capital expenditures, $755.0M to share buybacks, and $181.0M to dividends paid.

HWM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Howmet Aerospace trades at a trailing P/E of 47.6x and a forward P/E of 36.0x, compared to medians of 28.4x and 20.1x for its S&P 500 Industrials peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 34.6x and price-to-sales of 9.7x also sit above peer medians of 17.2x and 3.1x, respectively, alongside a PEG ratio of 0.80. The stock has gained 15.5% over the past year and 615.5% over the past 5 years, compared to returns of 16.8% and 83.0% for the S&P 500.

HWM key metrics →

HWM dividend

Howmet Aerospace pays a forward annual dividend of $0.56 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.25% and a payout ratio of 11.4%. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly frequency, with the company maintaining 11 consecutive years of payments and a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 95.7%. The last ex-dividend date was November 6, 2026.

HWM dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 15 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings on Howmet Aerospace, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $324.55, representing 46.9% upside versus the last close of $220.96. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $10.11B and EPS of $5.34, representing 41.6% earnings growth. The company has beaten EPS expectations in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 29, 2026.

HWM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A total debt load of $4.51B requires ongoing cash allocation, with debt-to-equity standing at 0.79 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Share price volatility may persist given a beta of 1.20 and a 1-year trailing gain of 15.5% that lagged the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
  • Forward valuation risk exists if the company fails to meet consensus FY2027 revenue growth expectations of 14.1% to $11.54B.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this HWM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: HWM income statement, HWM balance sheet, HWM key metrics, HWM analyst forecast, HWM chart. See the HWM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

HWM AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Howmet Aerospace's ticker and primary exchange?

Howmet Aerospace Inc. trades under the ticker symbol HWM on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).

What dividend does Howmet Aerospace pay?

The company pays a forward annual dividend of $0.56 per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 0.25% and a payout ratio of 11.4%.

How did Howmet Aerospace perform financially in FY2025?

In FY2025, Howmet Aerospace generated $8.25B in revenue, up 11.1% year-over-year, alongside net income of $1.51B and free cash flow of $1.43B.

What is the consensus analyst target for HWM stock?

The mean analyst price target is $324.55, which represents a 46.9% premium over the October 16, 2026 closing price of $220.96.

More Industrials AI stock analysis