The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (HIG) AI Stock Analysis
HIG AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchThe Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (HIG) is an S&P 500 provider of commercial lines, personal lines, group benefits, and investment management services. Over the trailing twelve months, the company produced $29.32B in revenue with a net profit margin of 14.9% and a return on equity of 22.1%. Valuation multiples remain below industry averages, with a trailing P/E of 9.6x alongside a forward dividend yield of 1.78%.
- Market cap
- $36.60B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $29.32B
- P/E
- 9.6x fwd 9.2x
- 1Y return
- 10.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $146.86 8.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Trailing twelve month return on equity is strong at 22.1% with quarterly earnings growing 36.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter.
- Valuation multiples remain discounted to peers, with a trailing P/E of 9.6x versus the S&P 500 Financial Services peer median of 14.2x.
- Shareholder returns are supported by a low payout ratio of 16.7%, 31 consecutive years of dividends, and an 18.0% drop in share count over 5 years.
Bear case
- Current fiscal year consensus estimates project EPS to decline 4.2% to $12.85 compared to FY2025 EPS of $13.44.
- Trailing twelve month operating margin of 17.6% is well below the S&P 500 Financial Services peer median of 33.8%.
- One-year share price return of 10.9% lagged the broader market return of 16.8% for the S&P 500.
What The Hartford does
The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. is a provider of insurance and financial services across the United States, the United Kingdom, and globally. Founded in 1810 and based in Hartford, Connecticut, the company operates across several core segments. Commercial Lines provides workers' compensation, property, automobile, liability, marine, reinsurance, professional liability, and specialty casualty coverages. Personal Lines offers automobile, homeowners, and umbrella policies. Property & Casualty Other Operations provides specialized coverage for asbestos and environmental risks. Group Benefits delivers life, disability, and underwriting services for employer groups, while Hartford Funds offers investment and exchange-traded products for retail and retirement accounts.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue rose from $21.65B in FY2021 to $28.26B in FY2025, recording a 5-year compound annual growth rate of 6.8%. Net income expanded from $2.37B to $3.84B over the same period, taking EPS from $6.17 to $13.44. In FY2025, gross margin reached 46.1% and operating margin rose to 16.8%, supporting free cash flow of $5.75B. Trailing twelve month revenue stood at $29.32B with an operating margin of 17.6% and EPS of $14.13. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, revenue increased 8.1% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 36.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, cash and short-term investments totaled $3.99B against total debt of $4.37B, resulting in net debt of $383.0M. Shareholders' equity was $19.63B and total assets were $87.98B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 and a current ratio of 18.15. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $5.92B. Capital allocation included $169.0M in capital expenditures, $1.61B spent on share buybacks, and $613.0M in dividends paid, contributing to an 18.0% reduction in share count over five years.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $135.12, The Hartford Financial Services Group had a market capitalization of $36.60B and an enterprise value of $38.87B. The stock traded at a trailing P/E of 9.6x and a forward P/E of 9.2x, below the median of its S&P 500 Financial Services peers (14.2x trailing and 12.6x forward). Price-to-sales was 1.2x compared to the peer median of 3.1x, and price-to-book was 1.8x. Over the past year, the stock returned 10.9% versus 16.8% for the S&P 500, though its 5-year return of 107.0% exceeded the index's 83.0%.
HIG dividend
The company pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $2.40 per share, representing a 1.78% dividend yield. Dividends have been paid for 31 consecutive years, supported by a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.7%. The payout ratio stands at 16.7%, and the most recent ex-dividend date was September 1, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 6 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 16 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $146.86 represents 8.7% upside compared to the last close of $135.12. For FY2026 ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $12.85 on revenue of $28.92B. For next fiscal year, 24 analysts estimate EPS will grow 7.3% to $13.78 on $29.98B in revenue. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for October 26, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Earnings progression may slow given consensus expectations of a 4.2% EPS decline in FY2026.
- Quarterly revenue growth of 8.1% in the latest quarter sits below the S&P 500 Financial Services peer median of 10.3%.
- Net debt stands at $383.0M alongside total debt of $4.37B that requires ongoing capital allocation.
- The Property & Casualty Other Operations segment carries continued responsibility for specialized asbestos and environmental exposures.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HIG AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (HIG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HIG income statement, HIG balance sheet, HIG key metrics, HIG analyst forecast, HIG chart. See the HIG stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HIG AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does HIG pay?
HIG pays an annual forward dividend of $2.40 per share, distributed quarterly, yielding 1.78% with a payout ratio of 16.7%.
How do analysts rate HIG stock?
Analysts hold 6 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 16 Hold ratings, with a mean price target of $146.86, representing an 8.7% premium over the last close of $135.12.
How does HIG's valuation compare to industry peers?
HIG trades at a trailing P/E of 9.6x and a price-to-sales of 1.2x, below the S&P 500 Financial Services peer medians of 14.2x and 3.1x, respectively.
When is HIG's next earnings report?
The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 26, 2026.