Aegon N.V. (AEG) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: AEGAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AEG AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Aegon N.V. (AEG) provides insurance, pensions, and asset management services across the Americas, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom. In FY2025, the company delivered $26.86B in revenue and $977.0M in net income while generating $852.0M in free cash flow. Aegon currently trades at a forward P/E of 9.1x and offers a 5.83% dividend yield.

Market cap
$12.31B
Revenue (TTM)
$11.68B
P/E
12.1x
fwd 9.1x
1Y return
16.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$9.88
18.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Aegon generated $852.0M in free cash flow during FY2025 while reducing its 5-year share count by -39.5%.
  • The stock offers a 5.83% forward dividend yield with 15 consecutive years of dividend payments.
  • Aegon's forward P/E of 9.1x trades below the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x.

Bear case

  • Quarterly revenue fell 8.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • Revenue contracted at a 5-year CAGR of -8.0% between FY2020 and FY2025.
  • Aegon's trailing operating margin of 5.8% trades significantly below the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 37.7%.

What Aegon does

Established in 1983 and headquartered in The Hague, the Netherlands, Aegon N.V. delivers insurance, pensions, and asset management services across the Americas, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom. Its product portfolio includes life insurance, accident and health insurance, property and casualty insurance, annuities, and retirement plans. Aegon also offers investment management services through mutual funds and stable value products. Additionally, the company focuses on digital banking solutions and mortgage loans, while evaluating potential opportunities in blockchain technology and digital currencies within financial services.

Growth and profitability

Aegon's annual revenue rose from $12.98B in FY2023 to $19.52B in FY2024 and reached $26.86B in FY2025, which represented 37.6% growth in FY2025. Between FY2020 and FY2025, 5-year revenue had a CAGR of -8.0%. Net income increased from -$179.0M in FY2023 to $688.0M in FY2024 and $977.0M in FY2025, ending the year with a net margin of 3.6%. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $11.68B with a profit margin of 8.6%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 8.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 7.9%.

AEG income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Aegon reported $3.51B in cash and short-term investments against $3.83B in total debt, leaving net debt at $319.9M. Shareholders' equity was $8.91B and total assets stood at $337.59B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $891.4M and free cash flow was $852.0M after capital expenditures of $39.4M. Capital returns in FY2025 included $527.3M in share buybacks and $572.5M in dividends paid.

AEG balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Aegon carries a trailing P/E of 12.1x, matching the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its forward P/E of 9.1x trades below the peer median of 10.8x, and its price-to-sales ratio of 1.1x is lower than the peer median of 3.2x. Aegon has an enterprise value of $13.56B and a market capitalization of $12.31B. Over the past year, Aegon returned 16.4%, closely tracking the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year period, Aegon's return of 111.6% outperformed the 83.0% return of the S&P 500.

AEG key metrics →

AEG dividend

Aegon pays a semiannual dividend with an annualized forward dividend of $0.49, representing a dividend yield of 5.83%. The company maintains a payout ratio of 61.5% and has paid dividends for 15 consecutive years. Over the past five years, Aegon's annualized dividend growth was 44.1%, and its most recent ex-dividend date was September 3, 2026.

AEG dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts cover Aegon with 1 Buy rating and 1 Hold rating, and zero Strong Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $9.88, representing an 18.7% upside to the October 16, 2026 close of $8.32. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.88, reflecting 25.2% earnings growth, on revenue of $9.20B. Over the past four quarters, Aegon achieved 1 EPS beat.

AEG forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Analysts estimate FY2026 revenue of $9.20B, which is below the trailing twelve-month revenue of $11.68B.
  • Aegon carries total debt of $3.83B compared to $3.51B in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • The company's dividend payout ratio stands at 61.5%, which requires sustained earnings stability to support continued payouts.
  • Aegon recorded only 1 EPS beat over the last 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AEG AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Aegon N.V. (AEG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AEG income statement, AEG balance sheet, AEG key metrics, AEG analyst forecast, AEG chart. See the AEG stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AEG AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Aegon's dividend yield and payment frequency?

Aegon pays a semiannual dividend with an annualized forward dividend of $0.49, which equates to a 5.83% dividend yield as of October 16, 2026.

How does Aegon's valuation compare to its industry peers?

Aegon's forward P/E of 9.1x is lower than the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x, and its price-to-sales ratio of 1.1x is below the peer median of 3.2x.

What is Aegon's debt position as of the latest quarter?

As of June 30, 2026, Aegon had total debt of $3.83B and cash and short-term investments of $3.51B, yielding net debt of $319.9M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43.

What are analysts forecasting for Aegon's earnings in FY2026?

Analysts project Aegon to achieve EPS of $0.88 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, representing an estimated EPS growth rate of 25.2%.

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