Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: HBNCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

HBNC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC) operates as the bank holding company for Horizon Bank, providing regional banking services across Indiana and Michigan. In FY2025, revenue contracted by 71.0% to $103.2M alongside a net income of -$150.5M, though its 5-year revenue CAGR stands at -16.5%. Despite recent volatility, the bank maintains a 3.29% dividend yield and closed at $19.46 with a market capitalization of $999.2M.

Market cap
$999.2M
Revenue (TTM)
-$12.4M
P/E
—
fwd 11.0x
1Y return
33.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$23.10
18.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Wall Street sentiment is positive, with 5 analysts issuing Buy or Strong Buy ratings and a mean price target of $23.10 indicating 18.7% upside from $19.46.
  • Quarterly revenue grew 16.9% year-over-year in the period ending June 30, 2026, supported by an operating margin of 43.5% over the trailing twelve months.
  • The balance sheet maintains solid liquidity with $1.12B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net cash of $740.5M.

Bear case

  • Fiscal year 2025 results showed sharp deterioration, as revenue fell 71.0% to $103.2M with a net loss of -$150.5M.
  • The 5-year revenue CAGR stands at -16.5%, and trailing twelve-month revenue was negative at -$12.4M.
  • Shareholder dilution has occurred over the long term, with the share count expanding 17.3% over five years.

What Horizon Bancorp does

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. is the bank holding company for Horizon Bank, delivering commercial and retail banking services. Established in 1873 and based in Michigan City, Indiana, the bank operates 78 full-service offices throughout northern and central Indiana, as well as southern and central Michigan. Its product offerings include deposit services, commercial loans, residential real estate loans, mortgage warehouse loans, and consumer loans. Additionally, Horizon Bancorp provides corporate and individual trust services, investment management, real estate investment trust services, and insurance products. The bank also observes financial technology trends such as cryptocurrency.

Growth and profitability

Horizon Bancorp's revenue has seen significant shifts, rising to $355.4M in FY2024 before declining 71.0% to $103.2M in FY2025. Net margin plunged to -145.9% in FY2025 from 10.0% in FY2024, resulting in a net loss of -$150.5M, although EPS was reported at $3.16. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at -$12.4M with an operating margin of 43.5% and an EPS of -$2.99. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 16.9% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 3.7%.

HBNC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Horizon Bancorp held $1.12B in cash and short-term investments and $379.1M in total debt, yielding a net cash position of $740.5M. Total assets reached $6.57B against shareholders' equity of $726.2M, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52 and a current ratio of 0.21. During FY2025, operating cash flow was $79.2M and free cash flow was $74.3M. Cash deployment included $5.0M for capital expenditures and $29.5M paid in dividends, while the share count increased 17.3% over five years.

HBNC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Horizon Bancorp trades at a forward P/E of 11.0x, slightly above the 10.8x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 3.8x compared to the peer median of 3.2x, while price-to-book stands at 1.3x and PEG is 0.80. Over the past year, HBNC generated a return of 33.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, its return of 33.0% lagged the S&P 500's 83.0% gain.

HBNC key metrics →

HBNC dividend

Horizon Bancorp offers an annual forward dividend of $0.64 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.29% and a payout ratio of 20.3%. The company pays dividends quarterly and has maintained 33 consecutive years of dividend payments. Over the past five years, its annualized dividend growth rate was 5.9%, and its last ex-dividend date was October 2, 2026.

HBNC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy ratings, 2 Buy ratings, and zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $23.10, representing an 18.7% upside relative to the last close of $19.46. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $307.9M and an EPS of $2.13. Horizon Bancorp beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for October 21, 2026.

HBNC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Profitability metrics reflect recent headwinds, highlighted by a trailing twelve-month return on equity of -19.0% and return on assets of -2.0%.
  • Short-term liquidity ratios remain low, with a current ratio of 0.21 as of June 30, 2026.
  • FY2026 earnings are expected to decline, with analysts forecasting a 32.7% drop in annual EPS to $2.13.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this HBNC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: HBNC income statement, HBNC balance sheet, HBNC key metrics, HBNC analyst forecast, HBNC chart. See the HBNC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

HBNC AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Horizon Bancorp pay?

Horizon Bancorp pays an annual forward dividend of $0.64 per share, providing a 3.29% dividend yield. The company distributes dividends quarterly and has paid dividends for 33 consecutive years.

When is Horizon Bancorp's next earnings report?

Horizon Bancorp is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 21, 2026. Analysts project full-year FY2026 EPS of $2.13 on revenue of $307.9M.

How has HBNC stock performed compared to the broader market?

Over the past year, HBNC gained 33.3%, surpassing the S&P 500's return of 16.8%. However, its 5-year return of 33.0% trailed the S&P 500's return of 83.0%.

What is the balance sheet position of Horizon Bancorp?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $1.12B in cash and short-term investments against $379.1M in total debt, giving it net cash of $740.5M. Total assets stood at $6.57B with shareholders' equity of $726.2M.

More Financial Services AI stock analysis