Global Industrial Company (GIC) AI Stock Analysis
GIC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGlobal Industrial Company is a North American distributor of industrial and MRO supplies with a market capitalization of $1.68B. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.44B in revenue with an operating margin of 7.3%. Its balance sheet carries $86.7M in cash against $98.9M in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $1.68B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.44B
- P/E
- 20.0x fwd 17.7x
- 1Y return
- 33.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $40.50 -8.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly net earnings increased 48.4% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
- Balance sheet leverage remains low with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29 and net debt of $12.2M.
- Trailing EV/EBITDA of 12.1x trades at a discount to the US-listed Industrials peer median of 13.9x.
Bear case
- Analysts forecast next fiscal year EPS to fall 6.2% to $2.16 from the current year estimate of $2.31.
- The 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is -16.5%, despite a payout ratio of 61.5%.
- The mean analyst price target of $40.50 sits 8.3% below the stock's closing price of $44.15.
What Global Industrial does
Global Industrial Company operates as an industrial distributor specializing in value-added products and services across North America. The company distributes industrial and maintenance, repair, and operation (MRO) products under brand names including Global, GlobalIndustrial.com, Nexel, Paramount, and Interion. Product categories span storage and shelving, safety equipment, HVAC, furniture, material handling, tools, lighting, electrical items, plumbing, and raw materials. It serves businesses, educational institutions, and government agencies through dedicated relationship marketers, e-commerce platforms, and catalogs.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Global Industrial expanded annual revenue from $1.06B to $1.38B, producing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.0%. Gross margin was 35.5% in FY2025, while operating margin finished at 7.1%, compared with 8.3% in FY2021. Annual net income was $72.1M in FY2025 with diluted EPS of $1.86, recovering from $61.0M and $1.57 in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 7.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 48.4%. Trailing twelve month net profit margin stands at 6.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $86.7M in cash and short-term investments alongside $98.9M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $12.2M. Debt-to-equity was 0.29 and the current ratio was 2.24, based on $342.7M in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $77.7M and free cash flow was $74.6M after capital expenditures of $3.1M. Cash distributions during FY2025 included $40.3M in dividends paid and $9.1M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At a closing price of $44.15, Global Industrial trades at a trailing P/E of 20.0x and an EV/EBITDA of 12.1x, below the US-listed Industrials peer group medians of 24.8x and 13.9x, respectively. Its forward P/E of 17.7x compares to 17.2x for the peer median, with a price-to-sales multiple of 1.2x. Over the past year, GIC delivered a return of 33.8%, exceeding the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. However, its 5-year return of 32.4% trailed the index return of 83.0%.
GIC dividend
Global Industrial pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.10 per share forward, which corresponds to a 2.49% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 11 consecutive years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth rate was -16.5%. The trailing payout ratio stands at 61.5%, and the most recent ex-dividend date was August 17, 2026.
What analysts expect
Consensus coverage shows 2 Hold ratings, with 0 Buys and 0 Sells. The mean price target is $40.50, representing an 8.3% discount to the last close of $44.15. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $2.31 on revenue of $1.47B. For the following fiscal year, 3 analysts project revenue of $1.54B and EPS of $2.16, implying a 6.2% decline in earnings. The next earnings date is October 27, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Consensus estimates project net earnings to fall 6.2% in the next fiscal year.
- Operating margin of 7.3% over the trailing twelve months trails the US-listed Industrials median of 11.7%.
- The company has topped quarterly EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
- Insider ownership stands at 51.9%, concentrating voting power among existing insiders.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GIC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Global Industrial Company (GIC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GIC income statement, GIC balance sheet, GIC key metrics, GIC analyst forecast, GIC chart. See the GIC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GIC AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Global Industrial Company's dividend yield and payout schedule?
Global Industrial pays an annualized forward dividend of $1.10 per share on a quarterly schedule, resulting in a dividend yield of 2.49%. The company's dividend payout ratio is 61.5%.
How much debt does Global Industrial carry?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $98.9M in total debt and $86.7M in cash and short-term investments, leaving net debt at $12.2M. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.29.
What are analysts forecasting for GIC's earnings?
Analysts project current fiscal year EPS of $2.31 on revenue of $1.47B, followed by an EPS estimate of $2.16 on revenue of $1.54B for the next fiscal year.
When is Global Industrial's next earnings report?
Global Industrial is scheduled to report its next financial results on October 27, 2026.