First Merchants Corporation (FRME) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: FRMEAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FRME AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

First Merchants Corporation (FRME) is a regional bank holding company operating across Indiana, Illinois, Ohio, and Michigan. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $642.2M in revenue with a net profit margin of 29.0%. As of October 16, 2026, the stock trades at $39.60, representing a trailing P/E multiple of 12.7x alongside a forward dividend yield of 3.74%.

Market cap
$2.49B
Revenue (TTM)
$642.2M
P/E
12.7x
fwd 11.1x
1Y return
16.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$46.50
17.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company maintains a strong capital cushion, with $3.91B in cash and short-term investments against $1.60B in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
  • First Merchants has paid dividends for 38 consecutive years, supported by a 3.74% forward yield and a sustainable 39.0% payout ratio.
  • Analysts maintain a positive outlook with 5 Buy or Strong Buy ratings and an average price target of $46.50, which is 17.4% above the current share price.

Bear case

  • Earnings growth declined 28.7% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • Full-year revenue growth slowed from 5.4% in FY2024 to a decrease of 0.3% in FY2025.
  • The bank's 5-year share price return of 10.9% significantly lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

What First Merchants does

First Merchants Corporation serves as the financial holding company for First Merchants Bank, offering community banking services throughout Indiana, Illinois, Ohio, and Michigan. Headquartered in Muncie, Indiana, the bank operates 109 banking locations. It offers time, savings, and demand deposits, as well as consumer, commercial, agri-business, and real estate mortgage loans, in addition to public finance solutions. The company serves both individual and corporate clients with personal and corporate trust services, brokerage, private wealth management, and corporate banking solutions. It also provides electronic and mobile banking, letters of credit, and repurchase agreements.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, First Merchants delivered a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 13.5%. Revenue reached $1.05B in FY2024 and remained flat at $1.05B in FY2025, though revenue growth fell 0.3%. Net income rose to $226.0M in FY2025 from $201.4M in FY2024, resulting in a net margin of 21.5% and EPS of $3.89. In the trailing twelve months through June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $642.2M with EPS of $3.11. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 2.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 28.7%.

FRME income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, First Merchants held $3.91B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.60B, yielding net cash of $2.30B. Total assets stood at $21.35B and shareholders' equity was $2.70B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.59 and a current ratio of 0.24. In FY2025, the company generated $283.6M in operating cash flow and free cash flow. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $84.8M in dividends paid and $46.9M in share buybacks.

FRME balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $39.60, First Merchants has a market cap of $2.49B and an enterprise value of $3.50B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 12.7x and a forward P/E of 11.1x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 3.9x compared to the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 0.9x. Over the past year, the stock returned 16.4%, closely tracking the S&P 500's 16.8% return, while its 5-year return of 10.9% trailed the S&P 500's 83.0% return.

FRME key metrics →

FRME dividend

First Merchants provides an annual forward dividend of $1.48 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 3.74% as of October 16, 2026. The company maintains a payout ratio of 39.0% and has paid dividends for 38 consecutive years. Over the past 5 years, the dividend has grown at an annualized rate of 6.6%. Its last ex-dividend date occurred on September 4, 2026.

FRME dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 6 analysts, consisting of 2 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $46.50, representing an upside of 17.4% above the last close of $39.60. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $805.1M and EPS of $3.86. First Merchants has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for October 21, 2026.

FRME forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The bank holds a low current ratio of 0.24 as of June 30, 2026, which warrants attention regarding short-term liquidity management.
  • Earnings per share for FY2026 are projected to decline 0.9% to $3.86 compared to $3.89 achieved in FY2025.
  • Quarterly revenue growth of 2.8% trails the US-listed Financial Services peer group median growth rate of 10.1%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FRME AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of First Merchants Corporation (FRME). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FRME income statement, FRME balance sheet, FRME key metrics, FRME analyst forecast, FRME chart. See the FRME stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FRME AI stock analysis FAQ

What is the dividend yield and payout schedule for FRME?

First Merchants pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.48 annually, resulting in a forward yield of 3.74% with a payout ratio of 39.0%. The company has sustained dividend payments for 38 consecutive years.

What is First Merchants Corporation's valuation relative to its peers?

FRME trades at a trailing P/E of 12.7x and a forward P/E of 11.1x, slightly higher than its US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 12.1x and 10.8x. Its price-to-book ratio is 0.9x.

When is the next earnings release for FRME?

First Merchants Corporation is scheduled to report its next financial results on October 21, 2026.

How does the analyst community rate FRME stock?

Out of 6 analyst ratings, 2 are Strong Buy, 3 are Buy, and 1 is Hold. The consensus price target is $46.50, which is 17.4% above the $39.60 close on October 16, 2026.

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