Fold Holdings, Inc. (FLD) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: FLDAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FLD AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Fold Holdings, Inc. (FLD) is a bitcoin consumer financial services company operating through the Fold mobile application. In FY2025, revenue increased 33.9% to $31.8M, while net income fell to -$69.6M alongside free cash flow of -$16.1M. As of June 30, 2026, the company maintained $28.4M in cash and short-term investments against $12.4M in total debt.

Market cap
$28.0M
Revenue (TTM)
$28.2M
P/E
—
1Y return
-86.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$2.10
311.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Wall Street analysts hold 3 Strong Buy ratings with an average price target of $2.10, indicating 311.0% upside from the last close.
  • The balance sheet held $15.9M in net cash with a current ratio of 1.84 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Annual gross margin improved from -23.7% in FY2022 to 44.4% in FY2025.

Bear case

  • Net income dropped to -$69.6M in FY2025 alongside -$16.1M in operating cash flow.
  • The 1-year stock return was -86.6%, lagging the 16.8% gain of the S&P 500.
  • The company's share count grew 4637.2% over a 5-year period, reflecting significant equity dilution.

What Fold does

Fold Holdings, Inc. is a bitcoin financial services company that provides access to bitcoin through consumer financial products in the United States. Its platform allows consumers to accumulate, save, and use bitcoin through the Fold mobile application. The company offers an FDIC insured checking account, a Visa prepaid debit card, bill payment services, and merchant reward offers. In addition, it partners with third-party providers for bitcoin exchange and custody services, while investing in and accumulating bitcoin for its corporate treasury. Fold was founded in 2019, is based in Phoenix, Arizona, and employs 43 people.

Growth and profitability

Fold Holdings generated a 3-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 3.3% between FY2022 and FY2025. Annual revenue shifted from $28.9M in FY2022 to $21.5M in FY2023, $23.8M in FY2024, and reached $31.8M in FY2025. Gross margin expanded from -23.7% in FY2022 to 44.4% in FY2025. However, FY2025 operating margin was -87.2%, leading to net income of -$69.6M and EPS of -$0.78. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $28.2M with a net profit margin of -258.6%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 25.5% year-over-year.

FLD income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Fold Holdings held $28.4M in cash and short-term investments and $12.4M in total debt, leaving net cash of $15.9M. Total assets were $52.5M and shareholders' equity was $31.3M, supporting a current ratio of 1.84 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was -$16.1M, and free cash flow was -$16.1M. Capital expenditures were $951,669 for FY2025, while the company's 5-year share count increased by 4637.2%.

FLD balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

FLD has a market capitalization of $28.0M and an enterprise value of $15.1M. Its price-to-sales ratio is 1.0x and EV to EBITDA is 4.0x, both below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers, which report 3.2x price-to-sales and 11.7x EV to EBITDA. Its price-to-book ratio is 1.0x. Over the past year, FLD returned -86.6%, trailing the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%. The stock traded at $0.51 on October 16, 2026, which is 52.0% below its 200-day moving average.

FLD key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 3 Strong Buy ratings on FLD, with 0 Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $2.10, indicating 311.0% upside compared to the last close of $0.51. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $29.1M and an EPS of -$0.98. For the following fiscal year, analysts forecast revenue of $45.6M and an EPS of -$0.42. Over the last four quarters, the company beat EPS estimates 1 time. The next earnings date is November 9, 2026.

FLD forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Trailing twelve-month net profit margin was -258.6% and return on equity was -121.8%, reflecting ongoing operational losses.
  • Quarterly revenue fell 25.5% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock traded at $0.51 on October 16, 2026, sitting 52.0% below its 200-day moving average.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FLD AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Fold Holdings, Inc. (FLD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FLD income statement, FLD balance sheet, FLD key metrics, FLD analyst forecast, FLD chart. See the FLD stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FLD AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Fold Holdings' stock ticker and exchange?

Fold Holdings, Inc. trades on the NASDAQ exchange under the ticker symbol FLD.

Does FLD pay a dividend?

Fold Holdings does not pay a dividend.

What is Fold Holdings' cash and debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Fold Holdings had $28.4M in cash and short-term investments, $12.4M in total debt, and net cash of $15.9M.

What are analysts forecasting for FLD's FY2026 financial results?

Analysts project FY2026 revenue of $29.1M and an EPS of -$0.98 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.

When is the next earnings release for FLD?

The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 9, 2026.

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