First Bancorp (FBNC) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: FBNCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FBNC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

First Bancorp (FBNC) is a bank holding company for First Bank, operating across North Carolina and northeastern South Carolina. In FY2025, revenue reached $543.1M with net income of $111.0M, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 11.3%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 31.2% year-over-year while the company held $2.07B in cash and short-term investments.

Market cap
$2.50B
Revenue (TTM)
$410.7M
P/E
18.7x
fwd 14.6x
1Y return
32.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$69.00
14.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company delivered strong quarterly momentum with year-over-year revenue growth of 16.0% and earnings growth of 31.2% in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • First Bancorp maintains a solid liquidity profile with $1.99B in net cash and a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04.
  • The bank has demonstrated four decades of shareholder return consistency, having paid dividends for 40 consecutive years with a low payout ratio of 20.9%.

Bear case

  • The stock trades at a valuation premium with a trailing P/E of 18.7x compared to the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 12.1x.
  • Net income remains below historical peaks, standing at $111.0M in FY2025 compared to $146.9M achieved in FY2022.
  • Over a five-year horizon, the stock's return of 46.7% has significantly trailed the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

What First Bancorp does

Founded in 1934 and headquartered in Southern Pines, North Carolina, First Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for First Bank. It provides banking products and financial services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses across North Carolina and northeastern South Carolina. Offerings include checking, savings, money market accounts, time deposits, and retirement accounts. The company provides consumer and commercial lending, including real estate, personal, residential mortgages, automobile, and small business administration loans. Additional solutions comprise accounts receivable financing, factoring, inventory financing, credit and debit cards, cash management, mobile banking, and remote deposit capture.

Growth and profitability

Revenue grew from $324.9M in FY2021 to $543.1M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year CAGR of 11.3%. After rising 25.5% in FY2022 and 32.7% in FY2023, revenue fell 1.9% in FY2024 before increasing 2.3% in FY2025. Net income moved from $95.6M in FY2021 to $146.9M in FY2022, dropped to $76.2M in FY2024, and rebounded to $111.0M in FY2025 with a 20.4% net margin. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $410.7M with an operating margin of 51.2% and EPS of $3.22. In the latest quarter, revenue grew 16.0% and earnings increased 31.2% year-over-year.

FBNC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, First Bancorp held $2.07B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $74.7M, yielding a net cash position of $1.99B. Total assets stood at $13.04B and shareholders' equity was $1.72B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 and a current ratio of 0.19. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $203.1M and free cash flow was $198.9M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $4.2M in capital expenditures, $991,000 in share buybacks, and $37.3M in dividends paid.

FBNC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

First Bancorp has a market cap of $2.50B and trades at a trailing P/E of 18.7x and a forward P/E of 14.6x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 6.1x versus the peer median of 3.2x, and its price-to-book ratio is 1.5x. Over the past year, the stock returned 32.5%, outpacing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 46.7%, trailing the S&P 500 five-year return of 83.0%.

FBNC key metrics →

FBNC dividend

First Bancorp pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.96 per share, representing a 1.59% dividend yield. The payout ratio stands at 20.9%. The company has paid dividends for 40 consecutive years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 4.8%. Its most recent ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.

FBNC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy, 2 Buys, 2 Holds, and no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $69.00 represents a 14.3% upside compared to the last close of $60.36. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $513.3M and EPS of $4.72, representing 17.7% EPS growth. The company beat EPS estimates in all of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is October 28, 2026.

FBNC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.19 reflects a tight short-term liquidity balance typical of regional banking structures.
  • Operating margins have fluctuated over recent fiscal years, falling from 45.4% in FY2022 to 18.5% in FY2024 before recovering to 26.6% in FY2025.
  • Short interest represents 6.6% of float, indicating some bearish positioning among market participants.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FBNC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of First Bancorp (FBNC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FBNC income statement, FBNC balance sheet, FBNC key metrics, FBNC analyst forecast, FBNC chart. See the FBNC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FBNC AI stock analysis FAQ

What is First Bancorp's dividend yield and payout schedule?

First Bancorp offers an annual forward dividend of $0.96 per share, yielding 1.59% paid on a quarterly schedule. It maintains a payout ratio of 20.9% and has paid dividends for 40 consecutive years.

What are Wall Street analysts forecasting for FBNC?

Analysts set a mean price target of $69.00, implying a 14.3% upside from the last close of $60.36. Consensus forecasts estimate FY2026 EPS of $4.72 on revenue of $513.3M.

How strong is First Bancorp's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $2.07B in cash and short-term investments with total debt of $74.7M, giving it $1.99B in net cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04.

When does First Bancorp report its next quarterly earnings?

The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 28, 2026, having beat EPS estimates in each of the past 4 quarters.

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