First Business Financial Services, Inc. (FBIZ) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: FBIZAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FBIZ AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

First Business Financial Services, Inc. (NASDAQ: FBIZ) is a bank holding company operating First Business Bank, focusing on commercial solutions for small and medium-sized enterprises. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $169.4M with a profit margin of 32.8% and return on equity of 15.0%. Over the past year, the stock returned 51.3%, while trading at a forward P/E of 9.0x.

Market cap
$590.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$169.4M
P/E
10.8x
fwd 9.0x
1Y return
51.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$78.80
11.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly net income growth reached 36.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, alongside a trailing twelve-month return on equity of 15.0%.
  • Valuation multiples remain discounted to peers, with a forward P/E of 9.0x versus the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x.
  • Shareholder distributions are sustained by 22 consecutive years of dividend payments and a conservative payout ratio of 20.4%.

Bear case

  • Annual top-line results have shown volatility, including a 40.8% revenue contraction in FY2023.
  • Total debt stood at $595.2M as of June 30, 2026, contributing to a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.51.
  • Gross margin moderated from 100.0% in FY2023 to 57.3% in FY2025, and operating margin declined from 37.9% in FY2021 to 21.6% in FY2025.

What First Business Financial Services does

First Business Financial Services, Inc. is a bank holding company that oversees First Business Bank, providing commercial banking solutions tailored for small and medium-sized enterprises, business owners, executives, professionals, and high net worth individuals. The firm offers deposit products, including transaction accounts, money market accounts, time deposits, and certificates of deposit. Its lending portfolio spans commercial real estate loans, commercial and industrial loans, small business administration loans, and consumer loans. Additional services include asset-based lending, equipment financing, accounts receivable financing, vendor financing, floorplan financing, and treasury management, alongside trust administration, financial planning, private banking, and company retirement plans.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue expanded at a five-year compound annual growth rate of 18.7%, despite a revenue decline of 40.8% in FY2023 to $89.2M. Revenue rebounded to $262.4M in FY2024 and reached $279.2M in FY2025, when operating margin was 21.6% and net income totaled $50.3M. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 16.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 36.3%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue stands at $169.4M, with an operating margin of 39.5%, a profit margin of 32.8%, and diluted earnings per share of $6.55.

FBIZ income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $531.1M in cash and short-term investments against $595.2M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $64.1M. Shareholders' equity was $395.3M out of $4.41B in total assets, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.51 and a current ratio of 17.05. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $61.7M and free cash flow was $61.1M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $595,000 for capital expenditures, $1.4M for share buybacks, and $10.6M in dividend payments.

FBIZ balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $70.52, FBIZ trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 10.8x and a forward P/E of 9.0x, both below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers, which sit at 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.5x compares to the peer median of 3.2x, while price-to-book stands at 1.6x and PEG is 1.24. Over the past year, FBIZ returned 51.3%, outperforming the SPY return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 179.5% versus 83.0% for SPY.

FBIZ key metrics →

FBIZ dividend

FBIZ pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $1.36 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.92%. The payout ratio is 20.4%, supported by 22 consecutive years of dividend payments and a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 11.9%. Its last ex-dividend date was August 12, 2026.

FBIZ dividend history →

What analysts expect

Five analysts cover FBIZ, comprising 2 Strong Buy ratings, 3 Buy ratings, and no Hold or Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $78.80, representing an 11.7% upside from the last close of $70.52. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $185.3M and earnings per share of $6.55, reflecting 10.3% earnings growth. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for October 29, 2026.

FBIZ forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Revenue growth is projected to moderate, with consensus estimates pointing to 7.1% revenue expansion and 5.0% EPS growth in FY2027.
  • The stock is trading 15.5% above its 200-day moving average and near its 52-week high of $73.74, potentially limiting short-term multiple expansion.
  • Total debt of $595.2M against $395.3M in equity leaves the firm exposed to credit or refinancing shifts.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FBIZ AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of First Business Financial Services, Inc. (FBIZ). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FBIZ income statement, FBIZ balance sheet, FBIZ key metrics, FBIZ analyst forecast, FBIZ chart. See the FBIZ stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FBIZ AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does First Business Financial Services pay?

FBIZ pays an annual forward dividend of $1.36 per share, which equates to a 1.92% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 22 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 20.4%.

When is the next earnings report for FBIZ?

First Business Financial Services is scheduled to report its next financial results on October 29, 2026.

What are analysts' price targets for FBIZ stock?

The consensus mean price target among five analysts is $78.80, which is 11.7% above the last close price of $70.52.

How has FBIZ performed compared to the S&P 500?

FBIZ returned 51.3% over the past year and 179.5% over the past five years, exceeding the S&P 500 (SPY) returns of 16.8% and 83.0% over the same periods.

More Financial Services AI stock analysis