Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. (DSGR) AI Stock Analysis
DSGR AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchDistribution Solutions Group, Inc. (DSGR) is an industrial specialty distribution company serving MRO, OEM, and industrial technologies markets. Trailing twelve month revenue reached $2.05B with an operating margin of 5.5%, while net margin remained narrow at 0.4%. The company carries $845.5M in total debt against $75.5M in cash, trading at a trailing P/E of 184.5x.
- Market cap
- $1.62B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.05B
- P/E
- 184.5x fwd 19.6x
- 1Y return
- 22.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $35.00 -0.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded at a 41.3% 5-year CAGR through FY2025, reaching $2.05B on a trailing twelve month basis.
- Quarterly earnings grew 66.9% year-over-year for the period ended June 30, 2026, supported by 11.0% quarterly revenue growth.
- Free cash flow improved from -$31.1M in FY2022 to positive $43.4M in FY2025.
Bear case
- Trailing net profit margin remains thin at 0.4%, leading to a high trailing P/E ratio of 184.5x.
- Net debt stands at $770.0M as of June 30, 2026, with total debt of $845.5M exceeding shareholders' equity of $654.7M.
- The 5-year share count increased by 127.0%, reflecting substantial equity dilution.
What Distribution Solutions does
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. is a specialty distribution company offering tailored supply chain solutions across multiple industrial sectors. Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, and founded in 1952, the company services maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) industries, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and industrial technologies markets. Its operations provide products and services focused on operational efficiency, inventory optimization, logistics, and timely delivery through an extensive distribution network and strategic partnerships.
Growth and profitability
Revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 41.3% from FY2020 to FY2025, rising from $520.3M in FY2021 to $1.98B in FY2025. Annual net income has fluctuated, shifting from -$5.1M in FY2021 to $7.4M in FY2022, -$9.0M in FY2023, -$7.3M in FY2024, and $8.3M in FY2025. Gross margin was 33.4% and operating margin was 4.0% in FY2025. In the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $2.05B with diluted EPS of $0.19 and an operating margin of 5.5%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 11.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 66.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Distribution Solutions Group held $75.5M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $845.5M, resulting in net debt of $770.0M. Shareholders' equity stood at $654.7M, giving a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.29, while the current ratio was 2.54. In FY2025, the company generated $83.8M in operating cash flow and $43.4M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $40.5M, and share buybacks totaled $24.4M in FY2025.
Valuation and performance
At $35.06 per share, Distribution Solutions Group has a market capitalization of $1.62B and an enterprise value of $2.40B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 184.5x, well above the 24.8x median of its US-listed Industrials peers. Its forward P/E of 19.6x and EV to EBITDA of 16.0x also compare to peer medians of 17.2x and 13.9x, respectively. The company's price-to-sales multiple is 0.8x compared to the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, the stock returned 22.8%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 35.5% trailed the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Consensus coverage shows 2 Hold ratings, with 0 Buy and 0 Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $35.00, representing a 0.2% decline from the last close of $35.06. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.53 on revenue of $2.13B. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts project EPS of $1.75 and revenue of $2.23B, reflecting 4.6% revenue growth. Over the last 4 quarters, the company beat EPS estimates 1 time. The next earnings release date is October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.29 and total debt of $845.5M create financial leverage exposure against $75.5M in cash.
- The company has reported negative annual net income in three of the past five fiscal years, including -$7.3M in FY2024.
- Earnings execution has been inconsistent, with only 1 EPS beat over the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this DSGR AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. (DSGR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: DSGR income statement, DSGR balance sheet, DSGR key metrics, DSGR analyst forecast, DSGR chart. See the DSGR stock overview for the latest quote and news.
DSGR AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Distribution Solutions Group's net debt?
As of June 30, 2026, the company reported $75.5M in cash and short-term investments and $845.5M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $770.0M.
Does DSGR pay a dividend?
No, Distribution Solutions Group does not currently pay a dividend based on the latest reported data.
What are analysts forecasting for DSGR's revenue and earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.53 on revenue of $2.13B. For the next fiscal year, consensus estimates project EPS of $1.75 on revenue of $2.23B.
How has DSGR performed relative to the S&P 500?
Over the past 1 year, DSGR returned 22.8% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over 5 years, the stock returned 35.5%, lagging the S&P 500's 83.0% return.