Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: DRVNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

DRVN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) provides automotive services and parts distribution across retail and commercial markets. In FY2025, the company generated $1.86B in revenue and returned to profitability with net income of $140.2M and free cash flow of $107.8M. However, balance sheet leverage remains elevated with total debt of $2.22B as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$1.97B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.93B
P/E
12.0x
fwd 8.6x
1Y return
-25.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$16.09
35.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company returned to annual profitability in FY2025 with net income of $140.2M and positive free cash flow of $107.8M.
  • Driven Brands trades at a forward P/E of 8.6x, below the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 14.1x.
  • Analysts maintain a mean price target of $16.09, implying 35.0% upside from the last closing price of $11.92.

Bear case

  • The company carries significant leverage with total debt of $2.22B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.66 as of June 30, 2026.
  • In the quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings fell 37.0% year-over-year.
  • Short interest represents 17.9% of the float, reflecting meaningful market skepticism.

What Driven Brands does

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. provides automotive services for retail and commercial customers in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Its operations encompass paint, collision repair, glass replacement, vehicle maintenance, car wash, oil change, and general vehicle repair. The company also distributes automotive parts, such as radiators, air conditioning components, exhaust products, windshields, oil filters, and wiper blades, through an extensive distribution network. Additionally, it offers technical training for repair facilities. Driven Brands delivers its offerings across various branded networks, including Take 5 Oil Change, IMO Car Wash Group, CARSTAR, ABRA Auto Body Repair of America, Fix Auto, Maaco, Meineke Car Care Centers, Uniban, and 1-800-Radiator & A/C.

Growth and profitability

Driven Brands achieved a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 15.5% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue grew 6.3% in FY2025 to $1.86B, following $1.75B in FY2024 and $1.71B in FY2023. Gross margin reached 50.8% and operating margin was 13.9% in FY2025. After net losses of -$798.9M in FY2023 and -$297.5M in FY2024, net income rebounded to $140.2M in FY2025, delivering EPS of $1.31. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $1.93B with an operating margin of 16.8%. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 6.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 37.0%.

DRVN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Driven Brands held $184.0M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $2.22B, resulting in net debt of $2.04B. Total assets stood at $3.54B against shareholders' equity of $833.3M, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.66 and a current ratio of 1.47. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $330.5M, while capital expenditures were $222.8M, supporting positive free cash flow of $107.8M. The company's share count increased 1.4% over five years.

DRVN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Driven Brands trades at a trailing P/E of 12.0x and a forward P/E of 8.6x, both below the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. Its enterprise value of $4.07B represents an EV to EBITDA multiple of 10.5x, compared to the peer median of 11.1x. The company's price-to-sales multiple of 1.0x compares to the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock fell 25.5%, lagging the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of -59.3% trailed the S&P 500 gain of 83.0%.

DRVN key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage comprises 5 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 6 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target of $16.09 represents an upside of 35.0% over the last close of $11.92. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.01B and EPS of $1.20. For the following fiscal year, 12 analysts anticipate revenue of $2.19B and EPS of $1.44, representing 19.5% earnings growth. Driven Brands beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for November 3, 2026.

DRVN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $2.22B and net debt of $2.04B leave the company sensitive to borrowing costs and debt service obligations.
  • Quarterly earnings dropped 37.0% in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, posing a risk to projected FY2026 EPS of $1.20.
  • The stock is down 25.5% over the past year and trades 11.4% below its 200-day moving average.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this DRVN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: DRVN income statement, DRVN balance sheet, DRVN key metrics, DRVN analyst forecast, DRVN chart. See the DRVN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

DRVN AI stock analysis FAQ

What does Driven Brands Holdings Inc. do?

Driven Brands is an automotive services company operating brands such as Take 5 Oil Change, CARSTAR, Meineke, and Maaco. It provides collision repair, maintenance, car wash, glass replacement, and parts distribution.

Does DRVN pay a dividend?

Driven Brands does not report an active dividend payment.

What is Driven Brands' debt load?

As of June 30, 2026, Driven Brands had $2.22B in total debt and $184.0M in cash, resulting in net debt of $2.04B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.66.

What are analysts' price targets for DRVN?

Analysts have established a mean price target of $16.09, representing a 35.0% premium over its last closing price of $11.92.

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