HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) AI Stock Analysis

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company focused on producing and marketing refined petroleum products and specialty chemicals. Its offerings include gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, specialty chemicals, and modified asphalt. The company operates a network of refineries in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming, serving markets in the Southwest, Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and Plains states. Additionally, it supplies fuel to approximately 1,300 independent Sinclair-branded stations and licenses the brand to roughly 300 more. It also provides transportation, terminalling, and storage logistics, while producing base oils and expanding into renewables.

Over a five-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, HF Sinclair achieved a revenue compound annual growth rate of 19.2%. After peaking at $38.20B in FY2022, annual revenue dropped to $31.96B in FY2023, $28.58B in FY2024, and $26.87B in FY2025, when revenue fell 6.0%. Net income recovered from $177.0M in FY2024 to $579.0M in FY2025, generating EPS of $5.07. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $31.23B with an operating margin of 11.7% and a net profit margin of 6.1%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue surged 53.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings jumped 350.2%.

As of June 30, 2026, HF Sinclair held $2.26B in cash and short-term investments against $2.86B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $599.0M. Shareholders' equity stood at $10.29B, supporting a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 and a current ratio of 1.97. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $1.31B and free cash flow was $866.0M. During that fiscal year, capital expenditures totaled $449.0M, share buybacks absorbed $354.0M, and dividends paid accounted for $376.0M.

HF Sinclair trades at a trailing P/E of 11.9x and a forward P/E of 10.0x, both sitting below the median of its US-listed Energy peers (15.0x trailing and 12.7x forward). Its EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 5.6x is also lower than the peer group median of 8.0x, while price-to-sales of 0.7x compares to the peer median of 1.8x. The stock closed at $125.29 on October 16, 2026, near its 52-week high of $129.37. Over the trailing 1-year period, the stock gained 155.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.

HF Sinclair pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $2.10 per share, yielding 1.68%. The payout ratio is 21.0%, supported by 39 consecutive years of dividend payments. Over the past five years, the dividend has grown at an annualized rate of 7.4%. Its most recent ex-dividend date was August 11, 2026.

Wall Street coverage includes 5 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 8 Hold, 0 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $116.80, which sits 6.8% below the last closing price of $125.29. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $18.38 on revenue of $35.23B. For the subsequent year, 15 analysts expect EPS of $14.57. HF Sinclair has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for October 28, 2026.

This page is an AI-written research summary of HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

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