PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: PBFAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

PBF AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

PBF Energy Inc. (NYSE: PBF) is an independent petroleum refiner and logistics provider with operations across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The stock gained 204.8% over the past year, trading at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 7.4x. For the trailing twelve months, PBF generated $34.37B in revenue and an EPS of $11.36.

Market cap
$10.02B
Revenue (TTM)
$34.37B
P/E
7.4x
fwd 8.4x
1Y return
204.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$80.00
-5.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 56.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • PBF trades at a forward P/E of 8.4x and EV/EBITDA of 3.7x, below the US-listed Energy peer medians of 12.7x and 8.0x.
  • The company beat EPS estimates in all 4 of the trailing four quarters, with FY2026 EPS projected to grow 680.3% to $23.97.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow was -$783.2M and operating cash flow was -$78.0M during FY2025.
  • Analysts forecast a 38.6% drop in EPS and an 8.7% drop in revenue for the next fiscal year.
  • The mean analyst price target of $80.00 sits 5.3% below the latest closing price of $84.52.

What PBF Energy does

PBF Energy Inc., founded in 2008 and based in Parsippany, New Jersey, refines and distributes petroleum products across North America. The company operates through two segments: Refining and Logistics. The Refining segment manufactures essential fuels and petrochemicals, including gasoline, ultra-low-sulfur diesel, jet fuel, lubricants, asphalt, petrochemical feedstocks, and blending components for markets in the Northeast, Midwest, Gulf Coast, West Coast, Canada, and Mexico. The Logistics segment provides terminaling services across rail, truck, and marine channels, supported by pipeline transportation and storage facilities that support regional supply chains.

Growth and profitability

PBF experienced significant volatility over the past five fiscal years, posting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 14.2% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue peaked in FY2022 at $46.83B with net income of $2.88B and a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue subsequently contracted for three consecutive years, declining 11.4% in FY2025 to $29.33B with a net loss of $158.5M and an operating margin of -0.2%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $34.37B with a profit margin of 3.9%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 56.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 69.9%.

PBF income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, PBF Energy held $894.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $2.52B, resulting in net debt of $1.62B. Shareholders' equity was $6.41B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39 and a current ratio of 1.33. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$78.0M and free cash flow was -$783.2M. Capital expenditures for FY2025 totaled $705.2M, while dividend payments consumed $126.5M. The company reduced its share count by 1.5% over five years.

PBF balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

PBF trades at a trailing P/E of 7.4x and a forward P/E of 8.4x, below the median of its US-listed Energy peers at 15.0x and 12.7x, respectively. Its enterprise value stands at $9.97B with an EV/EBITDA multiple of 3.7x, compared to 8.0x for the peer median. The stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.3x versus 1.8x for the peer group. Over the past year, PBF delivered a 204.8% return, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.

PBF key metrics →

PBF dividend

PBF Energy pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.10 per share, yielding 1.30%. The dividend payout ratio is 20.7%, and dividends have been paid for 5 consecutive years with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 29.7%. The last ex-dividend date was August 14, 2026.

PBF dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 0 Buys, 9 Holds, 1 Sell, and 3 Strong Sells. The mean price target of $80.00 stands 5.3% below the last close of $84.52. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $40.60B and EPS of $23.97, reflecting 680.3% earnings growth. PBF beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 29, 2026.

PBF forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating results show high volatility, swinging from a net income of $2.88B in FY2022 to a net loss of $158.5M in FY2025.
  • Net debt stood at $1.62B as of June 30, 2026, alongside negative free cash flow of -$783.2M in FY2025.
  • Earnings fell 69.9% year-over-year in the latest quarter despite 56.2% revenue growth.
  • Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float at 13.2%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this PBF AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of PBF Energy Inc. (PBF). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: PBF income statement, PBF balance sheet, PBF key metrics, PBF analyst forecast, PBF chart. See the PBF stock overview for the latest quote and news.

PBF AI stock analysis FAQ

What is PBF Energy's dividend yield and payout schedule?

PBF Energy pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.10 per share, offering a dividend yield of 1.30% with a 20.7% payout ratio.

How does PBF Energy's valuation compare to industry peers?

PBF trades at a trailing P/E of 7.4x and an EV/EBITDA of 3.7x, both below the US-listed Energy peer medians of 15.0x and 8.0x.

When is PBF Energy's next earnings report date?

PBF Energy is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 29, 2026.

What is the consensus analyst target price for PBF stock?

The mean analyst price target for PBF is $80.00, representing a 5.3% discount to its last close of $84.52.

More Energy AI stock analysis