Dropbox, Inc. (DBX) AI Stock Analysis
DBX AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchDropbox, Inc. (DBX) provides a global cloud content collaboration and file storage platform. In FY2025, the company generated $2.52B in revenue with a 20.2% net profit margin and $930.8M in free cash flow. While its trailing operating margin was 26.1%, quarterly revenue growth was 0.9% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $7.73B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.53B
- P/E
- 19.7x fwd 10.8x
- 1Y return
- 25.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $31.80 -10.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Dropbox generated $930.8M in free cash flow in FY2025 with an operating margin of 27.4%.
- Share buybacks totaled $1.71B in FY2025, helping drive a 41.3% decrease in share count over five years.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 10.8x, below the US-listed Technology peer median of 18.8x.
Bear case
- Annual revenue contracted 1.1% in FY2025, and quarterly revenue growth was limited to 0.9% in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Dropbox carries total debt of $3.98B and reported negative shareholders' equity of -$2.19B as of June 30, 2026.
- The analyst mean price target of $31.80 implies 10.6% downside from the last close of $35.57.
What Dropbox does
Dropbox, Inc. operates a global content collaboration platform designed to facilitate collaboration for individuals, families, teams, and organizations. The platform offers free sign-up options through its website and app, with the ability to upgrade to paid subscription plans for enhanced features. As of December 31, 2021, Dropbox had approximately 700 million registered users. Headquartered in San Francisco, California, and founded in 2007, the company caters to clients across professional services, technology, media, education, industrial, retail, and financial services sectors, providing file sharing, storage, and digital workspace solutions across multiple devices and operating systems.
Growth and profitability
Dropbox's revenue grew from $2.16B in FY2021 to $2.55B in FY2024 before contracting 1.1% to $2.52B in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.7%. Net income increased from $335.8M in FY2021 to $508.4M in FY2025, while EPS climbed from $1.53 to $2.61. Operating margin improved from 12.7% in FY2021 to 27.4% in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $2.53B with an operating margin of 26.1% and a net profit margin of 17.5%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 0.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 6.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Dropbox held $1.11B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.98B, resulting in net debt of $2.86B. Shareholders' equity was -$2.19B, and total assets were $2.83B, with a current ratio of 1.07. In FY2025, the company generated $951.8M in operating cash flow and $930.8M in free cash flow while spending $21.0M on capital expenditures. Cash was deployed into $1.71B of share buybacks in FY2025, contributing to a 41.3% reduction in share count over five years.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $35.57 on October 16, 2026, Dropbox had a market cap of $7.73B and an enterprise value of $10.30B. Its trailing P/E of 19.7x and forward P/E of 10.8x sit below the median of its US-listed Technology peers at 28.1x and 18.8x, respectively. The stock's EV/EBITDA of 12.3x is below the peer median of 16.6x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 3.1x compares to the peer median of 2.8x. Over the past year, DBX returned 25.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 17.4% trailed the index's 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analyst coverage consists of 0 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 3 Hold, 1 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $31.80, which is 10.6% below the last close of $35.57. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.06 on revenue of $2.52B. For the following fiscal year, 7 analysts project EPS of $3.30 and revenue of $2.51B, a 0.3% revenue decline. Dropbox beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Net debt totaled $2.86B as of June 30, 2026, alongside negative equity of -$2.19B.
- Quarterly earnings fell 6.7% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float at 29.9%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this DBX AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Dropbox, Inc. (DBX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: DBX income statement, DBX balance sheet, DBX key metrics, DBX analyst forecast, DBX chart. See the DBX stock overview for the latest quote and news.
DBX AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Dropbox pay a dividend?
No, Dropbox does not pay a dividend. In FY2025, capital returns were directed to $1.71B in share buybacks alongside $21.0M in capital expenditures.
What were Dropbox's financial results in FY2025?
In FY2025, Dropbox generated $2.52B in revenue, net income of $508.4M, and EPS of $2.61, producing $930.8M in free cash flow.
When is Dropbox's next earnings report?
Dropbox is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 5, 2026.
How much debt does Dropbox have?
As of June 30, 2026, Dropbox held $3.98B in total debt and $1.11B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $2.86B.