CVR Energy, Inc. (CVI) AI Stock Analysis
CVI AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE: CVI) is a petroleum refiner and nitrogen fertilizer producer that operates as a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises L.P. The stock has delivered a strong 1-year return of 88.5%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark. However, trailing twelve months net profit margin remains slim at 0.8%, and the company carries a elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 3.43.
- Market cap
- $6.17B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.47B
- P/E
- 91.7x fwd 40.5x
- 1Y return
- 88.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $48.00 -21.8% vs last close
Bull case
- The stock has generated significant momentum with a 1-year return of 88.5% and a year-to-date return of 146.7%.
- Latest quarterly revenue showed strong expansion, rising 55.5% year-over-year.
- Earnings for FY2026 are projected to experience sharp recovery, with consensus estimates predicting EPS growth of 365.2% to $3.24.
Bear case
- Free cash flow turned negative at -$41.0M in FY2025, accompanied by an EPS loss of -$1.21.
- Valuation is elevated on an earnings basis, featuring a trailing P/E of 91.7x compared to the peer median of 15.0x.
- Analyst consensus price target of $48.00 sits 21.8% below the closing price of $61.42, with 4 out of 6 analysts rating the stock a Sell or Strong Sell.
What CVR Energy does
CVR Energy, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, operates within the petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing sectors across the United States. The company is structured into two main segments: Petroleum and Nitrogen Fertilizer. Under the Petroleum segment, CVR Energy refines and markets products including gasoline, diesel fuel, and other refined petroleum products, supported by crude oil refineries in southeast Kansas and Wynnewood, Oklahoma. In its Nitrogen Fertilizer segment, the company operates plants utilizing pet coke gasification in North America and a facility in East Dubuque, Illinois, producing ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) for agricultural and industrial customers.
Growth and profitability
Over the long term, CVR Energy generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 12.8% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue peaked at $10.90B in FY2022 before dropping for three consecutive years to $7.16B in FY2025, when revenue fell 5.9%. Operating margins tightened from a high of 12.1% in FY2023 to 2.3% in FY2025, with FY2025 net income coming in at $27.0M and EPS at -$1.21. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $8.47B with an operating margin of 2.9% and an EPS of $0.67. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue grew 55.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 68.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, CVR Energy held $737.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.80B, leaving net debt at $1.06B. Shareholders' equity was $525.0M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.43 and a current ratio of 1.42. In FY2025, operating cash flow dropped to $144.0M, and free cash flow was -$41.0M after accounting for $185.0M in capital expenditures. Share count showed 0.0% change over the 5-year period.
Valuation and performance
CVR Energy trades at a trailing P/E of 91.7x and a forward P/E of 40.5x, which both stand well above the median of its US-listed Energy peers at 15.0x and 12.7x, respectively. The company's EV/EBITDA of 8.0x is in line with the peer median of 8.0x, while its price-to-sales of 0.7x sits below the peer median of 1.8x. CVI stock has appreciated 88.5% over the past year and 336.6% over the past five years, outpacing the SPY returns of 16.8% and 83.0% over the same periods.
CVI dividend
CVR Energy pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $0.40 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.65%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 14.7%, and its last ex-dividend date was August 10, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage on CVI is cautious, with 0 Strong Buys, 0 Buys, 2 Holds, 1 Sell, and 3 Strong Sells. The mean price target of $48.00 implies a downside of 21.8% from the last close of $61.42. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $3.24 on revenue of $9.20B. CVI has beaten EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Balance sheet leverage is elevated with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.43 and net debt standing at $1.06B.
- Quarterly earnings fell 68.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
- Short interest is relatively high, with short percent of float at 19.1%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CVI AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of CVR Energy, Inc. (CVI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CVI income statement, CVI balance sheet, CVI key metrics, CVI analyst forecast, CVI chart. See the CVI stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CVI AI stock analysis FAQ
What is CVR Energy's dividend yield and payout?
CVR Energy pays an annual forward dividend of $0.40 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 0.65% with a payout ratio of 14.7%.
What is the consensus analyst target price for CVI?
The mean analyst price target is $48.00, which represents a 21.8% discount to the last close of $61.42.
How does CVI's valuation compare to other energy peers?
CVR Energy trades at a forward P/E of 40.5x, higher than the median of its US-listed Energy peers at 12.7x, but matches the peer median EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.0x.
When does CVR Energy report its next earnings?
CVR Energy's next scheduled earnings date is November 4, 2026.