Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) AI Stock Analysis
CVCO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) is a US manufacturer and retailer of factory-built homes with an integrated financial services arm. In FY2026, revenue increased 11.4% to $2.24B while net income reached $190.6M. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with $221.7M in net cash and generated $232.1M in free cash flow in FY2026.
- Market cap
- $4.01B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.30B
- P/E
- 22.7x fwd 29.5x
- 1Y return
- -3.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $665.00 27.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Cavco maintains a strong liquidity profile with $221.7M in net cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 as of June 30, 2026.
- The business generated $232.1M in free cash flow in FY2026, supporting $159.9M in share repurchases and a 5-year share count reduction of 16.0%.
- Analyst consensus expects next fiscal year EPS to grow 27.6% to $28.82 on revenue of $2.65B.
Bear case
- Quarterly earnings fell 15.4% year-over-year for the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Cavco trades at a forward P/E of 29.5x, well above the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 14.1x.
- Consensus estimates project EPS to decline 5.8% to $22.59 in the current fiscal year ending March 31, 2027.
What Cavco Industries does
Cavco Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, and retails factory-built homes across the United States. Operating through Factory-Built Housing and Financial Services segments, the company distributes homes under brands such as Cavco, Fleetwood, Palm Harbor, Nationwide, and Fairmont. Its product lineup encompasses single-family residences, multi-family units, vacation cabins, commercial structures, park model RVs, and modular homes. Cavco sells homes through 45 company-owned retail stores in states including Oregon, Arizona, Nevada, Texas, and Florida, as well as independent distributors, planned community operators, and residential developers. Its financial services operations offer conforming and non-conforming mortgages, home-only loans, and property and casualty insurance.
Growth and profitability
Cavco expanded revenue from $1.63B in FY2022 to $2.24B in FY2026, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 15.2%. Over that period, annual revenue rose 31.7% in FY2023, fell 16.2% in FY2024, and rebounded 12.3% in FY2025 and 11.4% in FY2026. Operating margin stood at 12.4% in FY2022, 13.8% in FY2023, 10.0% in FY2024, 9.4% in FY2025, and 10.2% in FY2026. In FY2026, net income reached $190.6M with EPS of $23.97. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 9.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 15.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Cavco held $261.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $39.8M, resulting in net cash of $221.7M. Liquidity remains supported by a current ratio of 2.23 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 alongside shareholders' equity of $1.11B. In FY2026, operating cash flow reached $267.5M and free cash flow was $232.1M. Capital allocation in FY2026 included $35.4M in capital expenditures and $159.9M in share buybacks, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -16.0%.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $521.96 on October 16, 2026, Cavco had a market cap of $4.01B and an enterprise value of $3.94B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 22.7x and a forward P/E of 29.5x, above the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. Its EV to EBITDA ratio is 15.1x compared to the peer median of 11.1x, and its price to sales is 1.7x against the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock returned -3.4% compared to 16.8% for SPY, while its 5-year return of 127.8% surpassed SPY's 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy, and zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $665.00, which is 27.4% above the last close of $521.96. For the current fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, analysts estimate EPS of $22.59, representing an earnings decline of 5.8%, and revenue of $2.45B. Cavco recorded 2 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Quarterly earnings fell 15.4% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, signaling potential margin and profit pressures.
- The stock has a beta of 1.27 and has declined 11.6% year-to-date while trading 5.9% below its 200-day average.
- Historical results demonstrate revenue volatility, including a 16.2% revenue decline in FY2024 to $1.79B.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CVCO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CVCO income statement, CVCO balance sheet, CVCO key metrics, CVCO analyst forecast, CVCO chart. See the CVCO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CVCO AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Cavco Industries do?
Cavco designs, manufactures, and retails factory-built homes, including modular houses, park model RVs, and commercial units under brands such as Fleetwood and Palm Harbor. The company also provides mortgage financing and insurance services, generating $2.24B in FY2026 revenue.
Does Cavco Industries pay a dividend?
Cavco does not pay a dividend. Capital is returned to shareholders primarily through share repurchases, which totaled $159.9M in FY2026.
How strong is Cavco's balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, Cavco held $261.5M in cash and short-term investments against $39.8M of debt, resulting in $221.7M in net cash. The company had a current ratio of 2.23 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04.
When is Cavco's next earnings report?
Cavco is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 29, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, analysts project revenue of $2.45B and EPS of $22.59.