PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) AI Stock Analysis
PHM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchPulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) is an S&P 500 residential construction company operating brands including Centex, Pulte Homes, and Del Webb. In FY2025, the company generated $17.31B in revenue and $2.22B in net income, with free cash flow of $1.75B. However, quarterly revenue for the period ending June 30, 2026, contracted 9.6% year-over-year as net income faced housing market headwinds.
- Market cap
- $21.63B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $16.41B
- P/E
- 11.6x fwd 11.2x
- 1Y return
- -7.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $135.35 19.2% vs last close
Bull case
- PulteGroup trades at an attractive valuation with a trailing P/E of 11.6x and an EV/EBITDA of 8.8x, both below the S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peer medians of 20.1x and 13.8x.
- The balance sheet exhibits strong financial stability, featuring a current ratio of 5.27 and low net debt of $412.8M as of June 30, 2026.
- Shareholder return programs have been aggressive, reducing the 5-year share count by 23.1% alongside $1.22B in share buybacks in FY2025.
Bear case
- Near-term demand has weakened, evidenced by quarterly revenue contracting 9.6% and quarterly earnings declining 18.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The stock has underperformed broader equity markets over the past year, posting a return of -7.6% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500.
- Analysts project current fiscal year earnings to decline 9.7% to an EPS estimate of $10.04.
What PulteGroup does
Founded in 1950 and headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, PulteGroup, Inc., acquires and develops residential land and builds homes across the United States. Its housing portfolio covers single-family detached homes, townhomes, condominiums, and duplexes marketed under brands such as Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb, DiVosta Homes, American West, and John Wieland Homes and Neighborhoods. As of December 31, 2022, the company controlled 211,112 lots, consisting of 108,848 owned outright and 102,264 under land option agreements. PulteGroup also provides financial services, including mortgage loan origination, sales of servicing rights, and title examination and closing services.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2020 and FY2025, PulteGroup achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.4%. Revenue climbed from $13.93B in FY2021 to $16.23B in FY2022, remained at $16.06B in FY2023, and peaked at $17.95B in FY2024 with a net margin of 17.2%. In FY2025, revenue declined 3.5% to $17.31B, while net income fell to $2.22B, delivering diluted EPS of $11.44 and an operating margin of 17.3%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $16.41B with a profit margin of 11.6%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue dropped 9.6% year-over-year and quarterly earnings fell 18.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, PulteGroup held $1.89B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $2.30B, resulting in net debt of $412.8M. Total assets stood at $18.26B and shareholders' equity was $13.01B, supporting a current ratio of 5.27 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18. In FY2025, the company generated $1.87B in operating cash flow, directing $122.7M toward capital expenditures. Capital allocation prioritized shareholder returns, with $1.22B spent on share buybacks and $176.7M on dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $113.55 on October 16, 2026, PulteGroup had a market capitalization of $21.63B and an enterprise value of $23.03B. PHM trades at a trailing P/E of 11.6x and a forward P/E of 11.2x, lower than the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers of 20.1x and 15.7x, respectively. Its EV/EBITDA of 8.8x is also below the peer median of 13.8x. Over the past year, PHM delivered a return of -7.6%, lagging the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 145.8% outpaced SPY's 83.0%.
PHM dividend
PulteGroup pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $1.04 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 0.92%. The payout ratio is 10.3%, and the company has paid dividends for 14 consecutive years. Over the past 5 years, the dividend has grown at an annualized rate of 13.0%. The most recent ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 8 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 7 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $135.35, representing an upside of 19.2% above the last close of $113.55. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $10.04 on revenue of $16.32B. For the next fiscal year, 14 analysts expect EPS of $10.85 on revenue of $16.79B. PulteGroup beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date set for October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Cyclical downturns in housing could further pressure revenue, which declined 3.5% in FY2025 to $17.31B.
- The stock exhibits market volatility with a beta of 1.16 and trades 8.3% below its 200-day average.
- Net profit margins compressed from 17.2% in FY2024 to 12.8% in FY2025, highlighting susceptibility to cost pressures and pricing shifts.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this PHM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: PHM income statement, PHM balance sheet, PHM key metrics, PHM analyst forecast, PHM chart. See the PHM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
PHM AI stock analysis FAQ
What is PulteGroup's ticker and exchange?
PulteGroup trades on the NYSE under the ticker PHM and is an S&P 500 index member.
What is PulteGroup's dividend yield and payout ratio?
PulteGroup pays an annual forward dividend of $1.04, which yields 0.92% with a payout ratio of 10.3%.
How much debt does PulteGroup have?
As of June 30, 2026, PulteGroup reported total debt of $2.30B and cash and short-term investments of $1.89B, leaving net debt at $412.8M with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18.
What is the consensus analyst price target for PHM?
The mean price target for PHM is $135.35, representing a 19.2% upside relative to its last close of $113.55.
When does PulteGroup report its next quarterly earnings?
PulteGroup's next earnings date is October 22, 2026.