D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: DHIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

DHI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

D.R. Horton, Inc. is a major US residential homebuilder operating across 106 markets in 33 states. In FY2025, revenue contracted 6.9% to $34.25B and net income fell to $3.59B, down from $4.76B in FY2024. Despite this contraction, the company maintained a solid balance sheet with $2.08B in cash and returned $4.28B to shareholders through share buybacks in FY2025.

Market cap
$38.99B
Revenue (TTM)
$33.35B
P/E
12.9x
fwd 11.9x
1Y return
-7.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$152.93
9.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • DHI has maintained a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30 and held $2.08B in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • The company generated $3.28B in free cash flow in FY2025 and has reduced its share count by 19.9% over five years.
  • DHI trades at a forward P/E of 11.9x, which is lower than the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers at 15.7x.

Bear case

  • FY2025 revenue declined 6.9% to $34.25B, and operating margin dropped to 12.9% from 16.6% in FY2024.
  • Analysts project FY2026 EPS to decline 9.9% to $10.43 on revenue of $32.75B.
  • The stock underperformed the broader market over the past year, falling 7.8% while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.

What D.R. Horton does

Founded in 1978 and headquartered in Arlington, Texas, D.R. Horton, Inc. operates in the residential construction industry across 106 markets in 33 states. The company acquires and develops land, constructing single-family detached homes as well as attached options including townhomes, duplexes, and triplexes. It markets homes under brands including D.R. Horton, America's Builder, Express Homes, Emerald Homes, and Freedom Homes. Complementary services include mortgage financing, title insurance, and closing services, alongside residential lot development. Additionally, the company has diversified into multi-family and single-family rental properties and non-residential real estate assets like ranch land.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, D.R. Horton grew revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 11.0%, peaking at $36.80B in FY2024 before contracting 6.9% to $34.25B in FY2025. Gross margin decreased from 31.4% in FY2022 to 23.7% in FY2025, while operating margin fell from 23.0% to 12.9% over the same period. Net income peaked at $5.86B in FY2022 and settled at $3.59B in FY2025, with diluted EPS of $11.59. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $33.35B with a 9.2% profit margin. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings declined 4.8% year-over-year.

DHI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, D.R. Horton held $2.08B in cash and short-term investments against $7.18B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $5.10B. Its current ratio stood at 9.84, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30 against $23.82B in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, the company generated $3.42B in operating cash flow and $3.28B in free cash flow. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $137.4M in capital expenditures, $494.8M in dividends paid, and $4.28B in share buybacks, which helped reduce share count by 19.9% over five years.

DHI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $139.39 as of October 16, 2026, D.R. Horton trades at a trailing P/E of 12.9x and a forward P/E of 11.9x, both below the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers of 20.1x and 15.7x, respectively. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio of 11.3x and price-to-sales ratio of 1.2x also trail peer medians of 13.8x and 2.0x. Over the past year, the stock fell 7.8% while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned 68.7% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

DHI key metrics →

DHI dividend

D.R. Horton pays a forward annual dividend of $1.80 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.29% as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid dividends for 30 consecutive years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 17.9%. Its payout ratio is 17.1%, and payments are made on a quarterly frequency, with the last ex-dividend date on August 6, 2026.

DHI dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 4 Strong Buy, 14 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $152.93 reflects a 9.7% upside compared to the October 16, 2026 close of $139.39. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $32.75B and EPS of $10.43, a 9.9% decrease. D.R. Horton beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 29, 2026.

DHI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Quarterly earnings declined 4.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, indicating continued profit pressure.
  • Gross margins have contracted from 31.4% in FY2022 to 23.7% in FY2025.
  • With a beta of 1.35, the stock exhibits higher volatility than the overall market.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this DHI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: DHI income statement, DHI balance sheet, DHI key metrics, DHI analyst forecast, DHI chart. See the DHI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

DHI AI stock analysis FAQ

What is D.R. Horton's dividend yield and track record?

D.R. Horton offers a forward dividend yield of 1.29% based on an annual dividend of $1.80 per share. It has paid dividends for 30 consecutive years and has a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 17.9%.

How does D.R. Horton's valuation compare to its peers?

DHI trades at a trailing P/E of 12.9x and EV/EBITDA of 11.3x. Both multiples are below the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers, which stand at 20.1x and 13.8x, respectively.

When is D.R. Horton's next earnings report?

D.R. Horton is scheduled to report earnings on October 29, 2026. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, analysts expect EPS of $10.43.

How strong is D.R. Horton's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, D.R. Horton held $2.08B in cash and short-term investments against $7.18B in total debt, yielding a net debt of $5.10B. It maintained a current ratio of 9.84 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30.

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