Citi Trends, Inc. (CTRN) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: CTRNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CTRN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Citi Trends, Inc. (CTRN) is a value retailer specializing in apparel, accessories, and home goods for diverse communities across 33 states. In FY2026, the company generated $820.0M in revenue, reflecting an 8.9% rebound, while delivering net income of $5.2M. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $870.0M with quarterly revenue growing 10.9% year-over-year.

Market cap
$406.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$870.0M
P/E
58.0x
fwd 3.6x
1Y return
34.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$91.00
86.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings surged 739.3% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending July 31, 2026, alongside 10.9% revenue growth.
  • Wall Street analysts hold 2 Strong Buy ratings with an average price target of $91.00, implying 86.9% upside potential from the last close.
  • The company trades at a forward P/E of 3.6x, well below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 14.1x.

Bear case

  • The company carries total debt of $224.8M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.80 as of July 31, 2026.
  • Citi Trends generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of just 0.9% from FY2021 to FY2026, while gross margin declined from 41.1% in FY2022 to 37.3% in FY2026.
  • Short interest is significant, with short percent of float standing at 25.7%.

What Citi Trends does

Citi Trends, Inc. operates as a value retailer specializing in fashion apparel, accessories, and home goods. Established in 1946 and based in Savannah, Georgia, the company serves African American and Latinx families through 609 stores in 33 states across urban and rural markets. Offerings include sportswear, footwear, and accessories for men, women, and children of all ages, as well as sleepwear, lingerie, scrubs, and uniforms. The retailer also provides home goods for bedrooms, bathrooms, and kitchens, alongside food items, tech gadgets, team sports gear, health products, seasonal goods, books, and toys.

Growth and profitability

Citi Trends experienced volatile top-line results over recent years, with revenue decreasing from $991.6M in FY2022 to $747.9M in FY2024 before climbing 8.9% to $820.0M in FY2026. Gross margin compressed from 41.1% in FY2022 to 37.3% in FY2026. The company posted net income of -$12.0M in FY2024 and -$43.2M in FY2025, returning to positive profitability with net income of $5.2M and an operating margin of -0.9% in FY2026. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue stood at $870.0M with a profit margin of 0.8%. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 10.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings surged 739.3%.

CTRN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of July 31, 2026, Citi Trends held $55.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $224.8M, resulting in net debt of $169.0M. The company reported shareholders' equity of $124.6M, a current ratio of 1.13, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.80. In FY2026, operating cash flow turned positive to $21.0M, generating free cash flow of $624,000. Capital expenditures were $20.3M and share buybacks totaled $6.3M during FY2026.

CTRN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Citi Trends trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 58.0x, above the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 18.0x. However, its forward P/E of 3.6x and price-to-sales of 0.5x sit below the peer medians of 14.1x and 0.7x, respectively. The enterprise value stands at $590.0M, resulting in an EV to EBITDA ratio of 22.1x compared to the peer median of 11.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 34.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of -30.3% lags the index return of 83.0%.

CTRN key metrics →

What analysts expect

Citi Trends carries 2 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy, 0 Hold, and 0 Sell ratings from analysts. The mean price target is $91.00, representing an 86.9% upside from the last close of $48.70. Analysts project FY2027 revenue of $909.7M and EPS of $1.93, representing EPS growth of 391.8%. For FY2028, revenue is estimated at $988.7M with EPS of $2.81 based on 2 analysts. Citi Trends beat EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for December 1, 2026.

CTRN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • With a beta of 1.82, the stock is subject to elevated market volatility.
  • Operating margin remains thin at -0.9% for both FY2026 and the trailing twelve months, leaving little buffer against cost increases.
  • The current ratio of 1.13 and net debt of $169.0M present liquidity considerations if retail demand slows.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CTRN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Citi Trends, Inc. (CTRN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CTRN income statement, CTRN balance sheet, CTRN key metrics, CTRN analyst forecast, CTRN chart. See the CTRN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CTRN AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Citi Trends' core business model?

Citi Trends operates 609 value retail stores across 33 states, selling apparel, footwear, accessories, and home goods tailored primarily to African American and Latinx families.

Does Citi Trends pay a dividend?

Citi Trends does not currently pay a dividend, focusing its capital allocation on operational investments and share buybacks, which totaled $6.3M in FY2026.

What are analysts' price targets for CTRN?

The mean analyst price target is $91.00, which is 86.9% above its last close of $48.70 as of October 16, 2026.

When does Citi Trends report its next earnings?

Citi Trends is scheduled to report its next earnings on December 1, 2026.

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