Cerence Inc. (CRNC) AI Stock Analysis
CRNC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCerence Inc. (CRNC) builds AI-powered virtual assistants and conversational solutions for the global mobility and transportation industry. In FY2025, revenue fell 24.0% to $251.8M, though annual free cash flow reached $46.8M. For the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $309.5M with a profit margin of -5.0%.
- Market cap
- $403.9M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $309.5M
- P/E
- — fwd 44.2x
- 1Y return
- -23.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $10.75 20.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow improved to $46.8M in FY2025, supported by $61.2M in operating cash flow.
- Quarterly revenue grew 11.8% year-over-year in the latest period ended June 30, 2026.
- The analyst mean price target of $10.75 implies 20.4% upside from the recent closing price of $8.93.
Bear case
- Revenue fell 24.0% in FY2025 to $251.8M, contributing to a 5-year revenue CAGR of -5.3%.
- Cerence remains unprofitable on a trailing basis, reporting a net profit margin of -5.0% and an EPS of -$0.36.
- The stock has lagged broader markets, declining -90.3% over five years while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.
What Cerence does
Cerence Inc. specializes in delivering AI-powered virtual assistants tailored specifically for the global mobility and transportation market. The company offers a suite of edge software components, cloud-connected components, toolkits, and applications designed to integrate into vehicles and connected devices. Its conversational artificial intelligence solutions encompass speech recognition, natural language understanding, speech signal enhancement, text-to-speech capabilities, and acoustic modeling. Cerence also provides virtual assistant coexistence solutions and professional services to optimize deployment for automotive manufacturers, technology integrators, and transportation service providers.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Cerence's annual revenue dropped from $387.2M to $251.8M, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of -5.3%. In FY2025, revenue fell 24.0%, while gross margin remained at 72.1% and operating margin was 5.2%. Net income improved to -$18.7M in FY2025 from -$588.1M in FY2024. Over the trailing twelve months through June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $309.5M with an operating margin of 4.5% and an EPS of -$0.36. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue grew 11.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 92.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Cerence held $127.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $187.1M, resulting in net debt of $59.4M. Shareholders' equity was $166.4M, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.12, while the current ratio was 2.08. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $61.2M and free cash flow was $46.8M. Cash was allocated to capital expenditures of $14.4M and share buybacks of $2.4M, with share count increasing 7.6% over five years.
Valuation and performance
Cerence carries a market capitalization of $403.9M and an enterprise value of $425.4M. Its forward P/E of 44.2x trades at a premium to the 18.8x median of its US-listed Technology peers. Conversely, its price-to-sales of 1.3x and EV-to-EBITDA of 10.8x sit below peer medians of 2.8x and 16.6x, respectively. The stock closed at $8.93 on October 16, 2026. Over the past year, CRNC returned -23.7% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500, and its 5-year return of -90.3% lagged the index's 83.0% gain.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 1 Strong Buy and 4 Hold ratings on Cerence. Their mean price target of $10.75 represents 20.4% upside relative to the last close of $8.93. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $312.7M and EPS of $0.73, an expected EPS growth of 39.0%. For the next fiscal year, 4 analysts anticipate revenue of $288.9M and EPS of $0.79. Cerence beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 18, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt of $187.1M exceeds cash reserves of $127.6M, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.12.
- Analysts project next fiscal year revenue to decline 7.6% to $288.9M.
- Market volatility is elevated, as reflected by a beta of 3.05 and short interest at 14.0% of float.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CRNC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Cerence Inc. (CRNC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CRNC income statement, CRNC balance sheet, CRNC key metrics, CRNC analyst forecast, CRNC chart. See the CRNC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CRNC AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Cerence's forward valuation multiple?
Cerence trades at a forward P/E of 44.2x and an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 10.8x, based on a market capitalization of $403.9M as of October 16, 2026.
Does Cerence pay a dividend?
Cerence does not pay a dividend. In FY2025, the company deployed capital toward $14.4M in capital expenditures and $2.4M in share buybacks.
What are analysts forecasting for Cerence's fiscal year ending September 30, 2026?
Analysts estimate full-year revenue of $312.7M and an EPS of $0.73, representing an estimated annual EPS growth of 39.0%.
How much cash and debt does Cerence have?
As of June 30, 2026, Cerence held $127.6M in cash and short-term investments against $187.1M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $59.4M.