ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) AI Stock Analysis
CNOB AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. is a bank holding company operating ConnectOne Bank across Northern New Jersey, the New York Metropolitan area, and South Florida. The bank generated $606.5M in revenue in FY2025 and holds $1.19B in net cash as of June 30, 2026. For the trailing twelve months, CNOB produced an operating margin of 55.2% and EPS of $3.09.
- Market cap
- $1.53B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $443.3M
- P/E
- 9.9x fwd 10.2x
- 1Y return
- 34.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $36.75 20.7% vs last close
Bull case
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue surged 134.2% year-over-year alongside a 47.5% increase in quarterly earnings.
- ConnectOne Bancorp maintains strong liquidity with $1.19B in net cash and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 as of June 30, 2026.
- The bank has sustained dividend payouts for 33 consecutive years with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 14.9% and a modest payout ratio of 23.7%.
Bear case
- Annual net income declined from $130.4M in FY2021 to $80.4M in FY2025 as operating margins compressed from 55.3% to 18.6%.
- The stock's 5-year return of 8.9% significantly lagged the S&P 500 5-year return of 83.0%.
- ConnectOne Bancorp expanded its share count by 20.6% over the past 5 years.
What ConnectOne Bancorp does
ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company overseeing ConnectOne Bank across Northern New Jersey, the New York Metropolitan area, and South Florida. It focuses on commercial banking services tailored for small to mid-sized businesses, local professionals, and individuals. Deposit products include personal and business checking accounts, retirement savings options, money market accounts, and time deposits. Lending solutions cover consumer and commercial loans, lines of credit, commercial mortgages, residential mortgages, home equity loans, bridge loans, and commercial construction loans. The company maintains traditional banking operations and does not offer cryptocurrencies.
Growth and profitability
ConnectOne Bancorp grew revenue from $316.8M in FY2021 to $606.5M in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 13.5%. Revenue fell 1.8% in FY2021 before expanding 22.2% in FY2022, 30.3% in FY2023, 6.1% in FY2024, and 13.4% in FY2025. Operating margin shifted from 55.3% in FY2021 to 18.6% in FY2025, while net income moved from $130.4M to $80.4M over the same timeframe. Diluted EPS was $2.59 in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 134.2% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 47.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, ConnectOne Bancorp held $1.22B in cash and short-term investments and $32.9M in total debt, yielding net cash of $1.19B. Total assets reached $14.41B against shareholders' equity of $1.63B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 and a current ratio of 38.88. In FY2025, the company generated $106.4M in operating cash flow and $101.0M in free cash flow, while deploying $5.4M toward capital expenditures, $2.2M for share buybacks, and $38.0M for dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $30.44 on October 16, 2026, ConnectOne Bancorp trades at a trailing P/E of 9.9x and a forward P/E of 10.2x, compared to the median of 12.1x and 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. The stock has a price-to-sales multiple of 3.5x versus the peer median of 3.2x, alongside a price-to-book ratio of 1.0x. Over the past year, CNOB gained 34.2%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 8.9% trails the S&P 500 5-year gain of 83.0%.
CNOB dividend
ConnectOne Bancorp provides a forward annual dividend of $0.78 per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 2.56%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 23.7%, backed by 33 consecutive years paid and a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 14.9%. The most recent ex-dividend date occurred on August 14, 2026, with distributions made quarterly.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with zero Sell ratings. The mean price target is $36.75, representing a 20.7% upside relative to the last close of $30.44. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $3.27 on revenue of $483.3M. The bank has beaten EPS estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Gross margins declined each year from 89.5% in FY2021 down to 44.2% in FY2025, which could pressure profitability if funding costs remain elevated.
- Revenue is projected to decline to $483.3M for the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, down from $606.5M achieved in FY2025.
- With a beta of 1.07 and a 52-week trading range spanning from $23.20 to $34.14, the stock experiences market volatility.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CNOB AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CNOB income statement, CNOB balance sheet, CNOB key metrics, CNOB analyst forecast, CNOB chart. See the CNOB stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CNOB AI stock analysis FAQ
What is ConnectOne Bancorp's dividend yield and payout schedule?
ConnectOne Bancorp pays an annual forward dividend of $0.78 per share on a quarterly basis, reflecting a dividend yield of 2.56%. The dividend payout ratio is 23.7%, and the bank has paid dividends for 33 consecutive years.
When is ConnectOne Bancorp reporting its next earnings?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for October 22, 2026. ConnectOne Bancorp has beaten consensus EPS estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters.
What are analysts' price targets for CNOB stock?
Analysts have established a mean price target of $36.75 for CNOB, indicating a potential upside of 20.7% from the last close of $30.44. Out of 5 analyst ratings, 2 are Strong Buy, 2 are Buy, and 1 is Hold.
How strong is ConnectOne Bancorp's balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, the bank held $1.22B in cash and short-term investments against $32.9M in total debt, creating a net cash position of $1.19B. Its debt-to-equity ratio sits at 0.02 with total assets of $14.41B.