Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) AI Stock Analysis
BSRR AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSierra Bancorp is the bank holding company for Bank of the Sierra, providing retail and commercial banking services in California. Over FY2025, the company delivered revenue of $202.0M and net income of $42.3M, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.7%. With a trailing P/E of 11.6x and a dividend yield of 2.72%, recent performance showed quarterly revenue fell 3.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $513.2M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $151.8M
- P/E
- 11.6x fwd 11.4x
- 1Y return
- 50.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $43.00 8.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Annual revenue increased from $131.4M in FY2021 to $202.0M in FY2025, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.7%.
- Net cash reached $829.4M as of June 30, 2026, with cash and short-term investments of $1.04B well exceeding total debt of $208.0M.
- The 1-year stock return of 50.3% significantly outperformed the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
Bear case
- Quarterly revenue fell 3.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, while quarterly earnings dropped 1.3%.
- Operating margin narrowed from 43.5% in FY2021 to 27.9% in FY2025, falling below the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 37.7%.
- Current fiscal year revenue estimates of $156.6M represent a decrease from the $202.0M reported in FY2025.
What Sierra Bancorp does
Sierra Bancorp serves as the bank holding company for Bank of the Sierra, catering to individuals and businesses across California. Established in 1977 and headquartered in Porterville, California, the company offers retail and commercial banking products. Its offerings include checking, savings, money market demand, time deposit, retirement, and sweep accounts. Its lending portfolio covers agricultural, commercial, consumer, real estate, construction, and mortgage loans. Sierra Bancorp also provides ATMs, electronic point-of-sale payment options, online and automated telephone banking, remote deposit capture, and automated payroll services.
Growth and profitability
Sierra Bancorp expanded annual revenue from $131.4M in FY2021 to $202.0M in FY2025, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.7%. Net income rose from $43.0M in FY2021 to $42.3M in FY2025, after dipping to $33.7M in FY2022. Operating margin was 27.9% in FY2025, compared to 43.5% in FY2021. Diluted EPS reached $3.12 in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $151.8M with a profit margin of 29.7% and EPS of $3.40. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 3.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 1.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Sierra Bancorp held $1.04B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $208.0M, resulting in net cash of $829.4M. Shareholders' equity was $366.9M, total assets stood at $3.72B, and the debt-to-equity ratio was 0.57. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $33.7M and free cash flow was $32.2M after capital expenditures of $1.5M. The bank deployed capital toward $31.8M in share buybacks and paid $13.7M in dividends, reducing share count by 14.8% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $39.59, Sierra Bancorp has a market capitalization of $513.2M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 11.6x, compared to the median of 12.1x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its forward P/E of 11.4x is slightly above the peer median of 10.8x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 3.4x compares to the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, BSRR generated a 50.3% return, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over 5 years, the stock returned 96.8% versus 83.0% for the index.
BSRR dividend
Sierra Bancorp pays an annual forward dividend of $1.08 per share, representing a dividend yield of 2.72%. The bank has paid dividends for 33 consecutive years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 4.6%. Its payout ratio stands at 30.4%, and distributions are paid quarterly, with the most recent ex-dividend date on August 3, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy and 4 Hold ratings among 5 analysts covering next fiscal year. The mean price target is $43.00, representing an 8.6% upside from the close of $39.59 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $3.55 (up 14.3%) and revenue of $156.6M. Sierra Bancorp has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is October 26, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Revenue momentum softened recently, marked by a 3.2% year-over-year quarterly decline in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Free cash flow dropped from $56.0M in FY2024 to $32.2M in FY2025, reducing cash generated from operations.
- Earnings consistency has been mixed, with EPS beating analyst estimates in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this BSRR AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Sierra Bancorp (BSRR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: BSRR income statement, BSRR balance sheet, BSRR key metrics, BSRR analyst forecast, BSRR chart. See the BSRR stock overview for the latest quote and news.
BSRR AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Sierra Bancorp pay?
Sierra Bancorp pays an annual forward dividend of $1.08 per share, which equates to a 2.72% yield. It has maintained regular quarterly dividend payments for 33 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 30.4%.
What are analysts' price targets for BSRR?
The mean analyst price target is $43.00, which implies an 8.6% upside from the last close of $39.59. The stock has 1 Strong Buy rating and 4 Hold ratings.
How did Sierra Bancorp perform in FY2025?
In FY2025, Sierra Bancorp generated $202.0M in revenue, up 5.7% from FY2024, and net income of $42.3M, resulting in diluted EPS of $3.12.
What is Sierra Bancorp's debt and cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, Sierra Bancorp held $1.04B in cash and short-term investments and $208.0M in total debt, yielding a net cash position of $829.4M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57.