Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) AI Stock Analysis
AXTA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAxalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) is a global manufacturer of performance and mobility liquid and powder coatings. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $5.15B in revenue with an operating margin of 15.2% and EPS of $1.63. While its 1-year return of 20.5% outperformed the S&P 500, quarterly earnings dropped 18.0% year-over-year in the period ending June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $7.16B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.15B
- P/E
- 20.5x fwd 11.3x
- 1Y return
- 20.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $39.18 17.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Axalta's forward P/E of 11.3x and EV/EBITDA of 9.6x sit below the US-listed Basic Materials peer medians of 13.4x and 10.5x.
- Free cash flow grew to $453.0M in FY2025, providing capital that supported $165.0M in share repurchases.
- The mean analyst price target of $39.18 indicates an upside of 17.2% from the last close of $33.44.
Bear case
- Total debt reached $3.07B as of June 30, 2026, leaving net debt at $2.44B and debt-to-equity at 1.22.
- Quarterly earnings dropped 18.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
- Annual revenue contracted 3.0% in FY2025 to $5.12B, following peak revenue of $5.28B in FY2024.
What Axalta Coating Systems does
Headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. manufactures, markets, and distributes high-performance coating systems worldwide. The company operates through two main segments: Performance Coatings and Mobility Coatings. Performance Coatings delivers liquid and powder systems for refinish body shops, architectural cladding, industrial equipment, flooring, and energy applications, featuring brands like Voltatex, AquaEC, Alesta, and Nap-Gard. Mobility Coatings supplies light and commercial vehicle OEMs with electrocoat, primer, basecoat, and clearcoat systems under brands including Imron, Centari, and Corlar, serving applications across automotive, bus, heavy-duty truck, and rail transit markets.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Axalta achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.5%, though annual sales peaked at $5.28B in FY2024 before dipping 3.0% to $5.12B in FY2025. Operating margins expanded over this stretch, moving from 10.5% in FY2021 to 14.9% in FY2025, lifting FY2025 EPS to $2.49 alongside net income of $378.0M. For the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $5.15B with a 6.8% profit margin. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 3.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 18.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Axalta held $633.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.07B, resulting in net debt of $2.44B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.22. Working capital is supported by a current ratio of 1.53 against total assets of $7.70B. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $649.0M and free cash flow stood at $453.0M. Cash deployment included $196.0M in capital expenditures and $165.0M for share buybacks, which helped lower the share count by 6.2% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
Axalta trades at a trailing P/E of 20.5x, slightly above the 19.7x median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers. However, its forward P/E of 11.3x and EV/EBITDA of 9.6x trade below the peer medians of 13.4x and 10.5x, respectively. The stock's price-to-sales multiple is 1.4x versus the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, Axalta's stock returned 20.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 6.8% lagged the broader index return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Axalta is tracked by 18 analysts covering next fiscal year, with current recommendations consisting of 6 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 10 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $39.18 implies a 17.2% premium over the last close of $33.44. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts anticipate EPS of $2.63 on $5.24B in revenue. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings report is scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A debt load of $3.07B creates ongoing leverage risk, represented by a 1.22 debt-to-equity ratio.
- The company demonstrated volatility in bottom-line performance, evidenced by an 18.0% year-over-year earnings decline in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Axalta's beta of 1.26 signals higher price volatility than the broader equity market.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AXTA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AXTA income statement, AXTA balance sheet, AXTA key metrics, AXTA analyst forecast, AXTA chart. See the AXTA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AXTA AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Axalta Coating Systems pay a dividend?
Axalta does not currently pay a dividend. Capital allocation has favored share repurchases, including $165.0M spent on buybacks in FY2025.
What is Axalta's net debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, Axalta reported $633.0M in cash and short-term investments against $3.07B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $2.44B.
What are Wall Street's expectations for Axalta's full-year earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.63, representing 5.6% growth, on projected revenue of $5.24B.
When does Axalta release its next earnings report?
Axalta's next earnings release date is scheduled for October 29, 2026.