LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: LYBAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LYB AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) is a global basic materials and refining company headquartered in Houston, Texas. FY2025 marked a challenging period as revenue dropped to $30.15B and net income fell to -$743.0M. However, momentum improved in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, with quarterly revenue growing 19.8% year-over-year and quarterly earnings surging 396.0%.

Market cap
$20.68B
Revenue (TTM)
$31.19B
P/E
—
fwd 9.1x
1Y return
48.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$67.61
5.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 19.8% and quarterly earnings surged 396.0% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock offers a 4.31% dividend yield supported by 16 consecutive years of regular dividend payments.
  • At 9.1x forward earnings, the stock trades at a lower multiple than the median of its S&P 500 Basic Materials peers of 15.3x.

Bear case

  • Revenue fell 25.2% to $30.15B in FY2025, producing a net loss of -$743.0M and a negative operating margin of -1.1%.
  • Net debt stood at $11.59B as of June 30, 2026, supported by $10.67B in equity for a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.33.
  • Analysts project next fiscal year EPS to fall 30.9% to $6.29 alongside a 2.8% decline in revenue.

What LyondellBasell does

Organized into six operating segments, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. produces and distributes chemical products globally. Its segments encompass Olefins and Polyolefins across the Americas, Europe, Asia, and International regions, alongside Intermediates and Derivatives, Advanced Polymer Solutions, Refining, and Technology. The company manufactures olefins, polyethylene, polypropylene, propylene oxide derivatives, oxyfuels, and intermediate chemicals such as styrene monomers and ethylene glycols. It also offers engineered plastics, composites, masterbatches, and specialized powders. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, the company refines crude oil into gasoline and distillates while licensing chemical process technologies and manufacturing polyolefin catalysts.

Growth and profitability

Revenue contracted from $50.45B in FY2022 to $41.11B in FY2023, $40.30B in FY2024, and $30.15B in FY2025, which represented a 25.2% decline in FY2025. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue grew at a CAGR of 1.7%. Operating margin declined from 14.7% in FY2021 to -1.1% in FY2025, and net income swung from $5.61B in FY2021 to -$743.0M in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 19.8% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 396.0%. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $31.19B, with an operating margin of 17.9% and diluted EPS of -$0.83.

LYB income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, LyondellBasell held $2.63B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $14.22B, resulting in net debt of $11.59B. Shareholders' equity was $10.67B, giving a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.33 and a current ratio of 1.64. During FY2025, the company generated $2.26B in operating cash flow and $384.0M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $1.88B in capital expenditures, $1.76B in dividends paid, and $201.0M in share buybacks.

LYB balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

LyondellBasell trades at a forward P/E of 9.1x, below the median of its S&P 500 Basic Materials peers of 15.3x. Its price-to-sales ratio is 0.7x, compared to the peer median of 2.5x, while its EV-to-EBITDA multiple is 16.2x versus the peer median of 14.0x. The company has an enterprise value of $30.96B and a market cap of $20.68B. Over the past year, the stock returned 48.4%, outpacing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, although its 5-year return of -9.0% lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

LYB key metrics →

LYB dividend

LyondellBasell pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $2.76 per share, representing a 4.31% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 5.3%. The payout ratio stands at 62.1%, with $1.76B paid in dividends during FY2025. The most recent ex-dividend date was August 24, 2026.

LYB dividend history →

What analysts expect

Consensus coverage includes 2 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 11 Hold, 1 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $67.61, representing 5.6% upside over the last close of $64.01. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $9.11 on revenue of $33.25B. For the following fiscal year, 17 analysts forecast EPS to decline 30.9% to $6.29 on revenue of $32.32B. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings expected on October 30, 2026.

LYB forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Free cash flow of $384.0M in FY2025 was substantially lower than the $1.76B distributed in dividends that year.
  • Trailing twelve-month diluted EPS remained negative at -$0.83 despite recent quarterly operational improvements.
  • The balance sheet carries total debt of $14.22B compared to cash and short-term investments of $2.63B as of June 30, 2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LYB AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LYB income statement, LYB balance sheet, LYB key metrics, LYB analyst forecast, LYB chart. See the LYB stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LYB AI stock analysis FAQ

What is LyondellBasell's dividend yield and payment frequency?

LyondellBasell pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward rate of $2.76 per share, which reflects a 4.31% dividend yield.

When is LyondellBasell's next earnings report scheduled?

The company's next earnings date is scheduled for October 30, 2026.

What is the consensus analyst target price for LYB stock?

The mean analyst price target is $67.61, which is 5.6% above the last closing price of $64.01.

How much debt does LyondellBasell have?

As of June 30, 2026, the company reported $14.22B in total debt and $2.63B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $11.59B.

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