Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) AI Stock Analysis
EMN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchEastman Chemical Company is a global specialty materials producer operating across basic materials and chemical segments. Recent results show a recovery in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, with quarterly revenue growing 9.9% and earnings rising 32.5% year-over-year. The stock offers a 5.39% dividend yield and trades at a forward P/E of 9.2x.
- Market cap
- $7.13B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.87B
- P/E
- 16.3x fwd 9.2x
- 1Y return
- 8.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $75.44 21.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Trailing quarterly earnings grew 32.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, signaling operational recovery.
- The forward P/E of 9.2x and PEG ratio of 0.51 place the stock at a discount relative to its US-listed Basic Materials peer median forward P/E of 13.4x.
- Eastman Chemical offers income stability backed by 33 consecutive years of dividend payments and a 5.39% dividend yield.
Bear case
- Net income dropped from $905.0M in FY2024 to $474.0M in FY2025 as revenue fell 6.7%.
- Total debt remains elevated at $5.22B as of June 30, 2026, leaving net debt at $4.53B.
- Long-term performance has lagged broader markets, with shares down 29.6% over the last 5 years compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
What Eastman Chemical does
Eastman Chemical Company is a specialized materials provider operating across four main segments. Additives & Functional Products manufactures hydrocarbon and rosin resins, organic acid-based solutions, specialty polymers, and rubber chemicals for transportation, agriculture, personal care, and electronics. The Advanced Materials segment produces copolyesters, cellulosic biopolymers, and polyvinyl butyral sheets, along with aftermarket applied film solutions. Chemical Intermediates offers methylamines, solvents, and plasticizers for industrial, agrochemical, and health applications. Additionally, the Fibers segment supplies cellulose acetate tow, acetate yarns, and nonwoven media for filtration, industrial, and aerospace uses.
Growth and profitability
Eastman Chemical's revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 0.7% from FY2020 to FY2025. In FY2025, revenue fell 6.7% to $8.75B, down from $9.38B in FY2024 and $10.54B in FY2022. Gross margin contracted to 21.1% in FY2025 from 24.4% in FY2024, while net income declined to $474.0M, resulting in a net margin of 5.4%. However, for the latest trailing twelve months, revenue reached $8.87B with an operating margin of 12.9%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 9.9% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 32.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Eastman Chemical held $691.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.22B, leading to net debt of $4.53B. Shareholders' equity stood at $6.10B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86 and a current ratio of 1.50. In FY2025, the business generated $970.0M in operating cash flow and $424.0M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $546.0M for capital expenditures, $381.0M in dividends paid, and $100.0M for share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
Eastman Chemical trades at a trailing P/E of 16.3x and a forward P/E of 9.2x, compared to medians of 19.7x and 13.4x for its US-listed Basic Materials peers. The stock's price-to-sales multiple of 0.8x and EV/EBITDA of 9.5x also stand below the peer medians of 1.8x and 10.5x, respectively. Over the past year, the shares gained 8.8%, underperforming the SPY return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, the stock declined 29.6%, trailing the SPY return of 83.0%.
EMN dividend
Eastman Chemical pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $3.36 per share, representing a 5.39% dividend yield. The payout ratio is 67.9%. The company has paid dividends for 33 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 4.5%. The last ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 6 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 8 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $75.44, representing a 21.0% premium over the last close of $62.33. Analysts estimate FY2026 EPS of $6.32 on revenue of $9.24B, and FY2027 EPS of $6.67 on revenue of $9.42B across 16 analysts. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A 5-year revenue CAGR of just 0.7% highlights persistent top-line growth challenges.
- The FY2025 free cash flow of $424.0M leaves a narrow margin over the $381.0M paid out in dividends.
- Short interest stands at 7.8% of float, indicating lingering skepticism in the market.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this EMN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Eastman Chemical Company (EMN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: EMN income statement, EMN balance sheet, EMN key metrics, EMN analyst forecast, EMN chart. See the EMN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
EMN AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Eastman Chemical pay?
Eastman Chemical pays an annualized forward dividend of $3.36 per share, which equates to a 5.39% dividend yield. The company has maintained a payout track record of 33 consecutive years.
When does Eastman Chemical report earnings next?
The company's next earnings report is scheduled for October 29, 2026. Eastman Chemical has topped analyst EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.
What is the Wall Street target price for EMN?
The consensus mean price target among analysts is $75.44, which is 21.0% above the last closing price of $62.33.
How leveraged is Eastman Chemical's balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, Eastman Chemical carried $5.22B in total debt and $691.0M in cash, resulting in net debt of $4.53B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86.