Sasol Limited (SSL) AI Stock Analysis
SSL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSasol Limited is an integrated chemical and energy company operating across mining, gas, fuels, and chemical production segments. In FY2026, revenue increased 7.0% to $266.46B, with net income expanding to $11.90B. The stock delivered a 1-year return of 178.4% through October 16, 2026, trading at a trailing P/E of 14.7x.
- Market cap
- $10.47B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $272.12B
- P/E
- 14.7x fwd 7.8x
- 1Y return
- 178.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $16.88 3.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings increased 447.5% year-over-year in the period ended September 30, 2026.
- Free cash flow reached $11.76B in FY2026, sustaining liquidity alongside $49.12B in cash and short-term investments.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 7.8x, below the US-listed Basic Materials peer median of 13.4x.
Bear case
- Total debt stood at $110.20B as of June 30, 2026, resulting in net debt of $61.08B.
- FY2026 gross margin fell to 30.8%, down from 42.5% in FY2025 and 49.7% in FY2022.
- Analyst projections indicate next fiscal year revenue may decline 7.1% to $263.18B with EPS falling 7.6%.
What Sasol does
Sasol Limited is an integrated chemical and energy company headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa. It operates through six segments: Mining, Gas, Fuels, Chemicals Africa, Chemicals America, and Chemicals Eurasia. The company manufactures and distributes chemicals including acetate, ammonia, glycol ether, polymers, and waxes for industries such as automotive, construction, and pharmaceuticals. It also produces synthetic fuels, lubricants, and natural gas, supported by its own coal mining operations and extensive pipeline infrastructure, while advancing lower carbon solutions and engineering services globally.
Growth and profitability
Sasol posted a 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.7% from FY2021 to FY2026. Annual revenue fluctuated from $272.75B in FY2022 to a peak of $289.70B in FY2023, before declining 5.0% in FY2024 to $275.11B and 9.5% in FY2025 to $249.10B. In FY2026, revenue rebounded 7.0% to $266.46B. Net income shifted from -$44.27B in FY2024 to positive $6.77B in FY2025 and $11.90B in FY2026, with FY2026 operating margin reaching 20.9%. For the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2026, revenue reached $272.12B, with quarterly revenue up 17.9% and quarterly earnings up 447.5% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Sasol held $49.12B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $110.20B, yielding net debt of $61.08B. The company closed the period with a current ratio of 1.79 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.68 on shareholders' equity of $161.76B. Operating cash flow stood at $32.31B in FY2026, supporting capital expenditures of $20.55B and free cash flow of $11.76B. Its five-year share count change was -2.9%.
Valuation and performance
Sasol carries a market cap of $10.47B and an enterprise value of $12.45B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 14.7x and a forward P/E of 7.8x, compared to medians of 19.7x and 13.4x, respectively, for the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers. Its EV/EBITDA is 4.9x, below the peer median of 10.5x. Over the past year, Sasol gained 178.4%, outpacing the S&P 500's 16.8% return, while its 5-year return stands at -0.8% versus 83.0% for the index.
What analysts expect
One analyst covers Sasol, maintaining a Strong Buy rating. The mean price target is $16.88, which is 3.3% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $16.34. For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, the consensus forecasts EPS of $3.02, representing 28.7% growth, on revenue of $283.33B. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst projects EPS of $2.79 and revenue of $263.18B. Over the last four quarters, the company delivered 1 EPS beat.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company incurred a substantial net loss of -$44.27B in FY2024, showing historical earnings volatility.
- Sasol carries $110.20B in total debt relative to $161.76B in shareholders' equity.
- Consensus forecasts project an EPS decline of 7.6% for the fiscal year ending after June 30, 2027.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SSL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Sasol Limited (SSL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SSL income statement, SSL balance sheet, SSL key metrics, SSL analyst forecast, SSL chart. See the SSL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SSL AI stock analysis FAQ
What were Sasol's FY2026 revenue and net income?
For FY2026, Sasol reported revenue of $266.46B, an increase of 7.0%, and net income of $11.90B.
What is the consensus analyst target price for SSL?
The mean analyst price target is $16.88, which is 3.3% higher than its last close of $16.34 on October 16, 2026.
How much debt does Sasol carry?
As of June 30, 2026, Sasol had $110.20B in total debt and $49.12B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $61.08B.
How does Sasol's valuation compare to industry peers?
Sasol trades at an EV/EBITDA of 4.9x and a forward P/E of 7.8x, both below the US-listed Basic Materials peer medians of 10.5x and 13.4x.