Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) AI Stock Analysis
AVBC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAvidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) is a Hudson, Massachusetts-based bank holding company offering retail, commercial, and payment processing services. In FY2025, revenue reached $147.6M despite net income of -$3.3M, while trailing twelve month revenue stands at $108.2M with a profit margin of 16.3%. The stock has gained 54.0% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
- Market cap
- $405.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $108.2M
- P/E
- 23.1x fwd 14.6x
- 1Y return
- 54.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $25.50 16.1% vs last close
Bull case
- The company demonstrated strong recent momentum with quarterly earnings growth of 100.1% and quarterly revenue growth of 16.9% for the period ended June 30, 2026.
- Avidia Bancorp generated robust free cash flow of $24.1M in FY2025 while returning $16.1M to shareholders through share buybacks.
- Wall Street analysts hold a mean price target of $25.50, implying 16.1% potential upside from the last close of $21.96.
Bear case
- The company posted net income of -$3.3M and an operating margin of -3.9% in FY2025, down from net income of $11.5M in FY2024.
- AVBC trades at a trailing P/E of 23.1x and a forward P/E of 14.6x, well above the US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 12.1x and 10.8x.
- Total debt stood at $187.9M against $19.2M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026, creating net debt of $168.7M.
What Avidia Bancorp does
Avidia Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Avidia Bank, providing financial services to individual and corporate customers. Its offerings include checking, savings, certificates of deposit, money market, individual retirement, and health savings accounts. The company provides consumer lending such as mortgages, home equity, and auto loans, alongside commercial mortgages, working capital lines of credit, and small business banking partnerships. In addition, Avidia Bancorp delivers cash management, merchant services, and payment processing, while investing in U.S. Treasury, government agency, municipal, and mortgage-backed securities.
Growth and profitability
Avidia Bancorp generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 15.1% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $87.1M in FY2021 to $124.6M in FY2023, $140.8M in FY2024, and $147.6M in FY2025. However, net income moved from $17.4M in FY2021 and $11.5M in FY2024 to net income of -$3.3M in FY2025, with operating margin falling to -3.9% and net margin to -2.2%. Profitability rebounded over the trailing twelve months, producing revenue of $108.2M, operating margin of 34.4%, profit margin of 16.3%, and EPS of $0.95. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 16.9% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 100.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Avidia Bancorp held $19.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $187.9M, resulting in net debt of $168.7M. Shareholders' equity was $389.5M, supporting total assets of $2.78B with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48. In FY2025, the company generated $28.4M in operating cash flow and $24.1M in free cash flow, while deploying capital toward $4.3M in capital expenditures and $16.1M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
Avidia Bancorp trades at a trailing P/E of 23.1x and a forward P/E of 14.6x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 3.8x versus the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 1.0x. The company has an enterprise value of $528.4M and an EV-to-revenue multiple of 5.3x. Over the past year, the stock returned 54.0%, outpacing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, and is up 31.7% year-to-date.
AVBC dividend
Avidia Bancorp pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $0.16 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.73%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 16.8%, and the company's most recent ex-dividend date was August 18, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, 0 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $25.50, representing an upside of 16.1% compared to the last close of $21.96. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.44 and revenue of $118.9M. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Avidia Bancorp maintains net debt of $168.7M with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48 on $389.5M of shareholders' equity.
- Earnings consistency remains volatile, as the company beat EPS estimates in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
- Gross margin narrowed over several consecutive years, dropping from 100.0% in FY2022 to 62.9% in FY2024 and 55.6% in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AVBC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AVBC income statement, AVBC balance sheet, AVBC key metrics, AVBC analyst forecast, AVBC chart. See the AVBC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AVBC AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Avidia Bancorp pay a dividend?
Yes, Avidia Bancorp pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $0.16 per share, yielding 0.73% with a payout ratio of 16.8%.
What is Avidia Bancorp's valuation compared to peers?
AVBC trades at a trailing P/E of 23.1x and forward P/E of 14.6x, higher than the median of 12.1x trailing P/E and 10.8x forward P/E for its US-listed Financial Services peers.
What are analysts' expectations for AVBC earnings?
Analysts forecast full-year EPS of $1.44 on revenue of $118.9M for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, followed by EPS of $1.51 on revenue of $126.8M for the next fiscal year.
How has AVBC stock performed recently?
AVBC has risen 31.7% year-to-date and 54.0% over the trailing one-year period, trading 9.6% above its 200-day moving average as of October 16, 2026.