Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) AI Stock Analysis
ALTO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAlto Ingredients, Inc. is a producer and distributor of specialty alcohols, essential ingredients, and biofuels across the United States. The company generated $943.3M in trailing twelve-month revenue, returned to annual profitability with $13.3M in net income in FY2025, and carries a net debt position of $59.0M.
- Market cap
- $267.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $943.3M
- P/E
- 5.1x fwd 13.6x
- 1Y return
- 202.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $8.33 141.5% vs last close
Bull case
- Alto Ingredients demonstrated a return to positive annual free cash flow of $8.6M in FY2025 following three consecutive years of negative free cash flow.
- Trailing twelve-month return on equity reached 22.2%, paired with a low price-to-earnings ratio of 5.1x.
- The 1-year stock return of 202.6% substantially outperformed the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
Bear case
- Quarterly earnings fell 66.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The company's five-year revenue compound annual growth rate stands at 0.5%, reflecting stagnant long-term sales expansion.
- Alto Ingredients closed at $3.45 on October 16, 2026, which is 18.4% below its 200-day average.
What Alto Ingredients does
Alto Ingredients, Inc., based in Pekin, Illinois, manufactures and markets specialty alcohols, essential ingredients, and renewable fuels across three reportable segments: Marketing and Distribution, Pekin Production, and Other Production. The company supplies specialty alcohols and grain neutral spirits used in mouthwash, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, hand sanitizers, cleaners, alcoholic beverages, and flavor extracts. It also manufactures essential feed ingredients, such as dried yeast, corn gluten meal, corn gluten feed, and distillers grains for commercial animal and pet food. In addition, the firm produces fuel-grade ethanol for transportation fuels and distillers corn oil for biodiesel feedstocks through a network of five production facilities located across the Midwest and Western United States.
Growth and profitability
Alto Ingredients experienced top-line volatility over recent years, with revenue climbing to $1.34B in FY2022 before dropping to $965.3M in FY2024 and $917.9M in FY2025. Net margins swung from 3.8% in FY2021 to -6.1% in FY2024, rebounding to 1.5% in FY2025 as net income reached $13.3M. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 12.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 66.2%. Trailing twelve-month revenue stands at $943.3M with an operating margin of 3.5% and a profit margin of 5.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Alto Ingredients held $24.0M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $82.9M, resulting in net debt of $59.0M. The company maintains a current ratio of 3.19 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32 against $259.9M in shareholders' equity. Operating cash flow improved to $13.2M in FY2025, supporting free cash flow of $8.6M after capital expenditures of $4.6M. Capital allocation in FY2025 also included $1.3M in dividends paid, while share count expanded 6.7% over five years.
Valuation and performance
Alto Ingredients trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 5.1x and an enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiple of 4.1x, both lower than the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers at 19.7x and 10.5x, respectively. The stock's price-to-sales ratio of 0.3x also sits below the peer median of 1.8x, while its forward price-to-earnings multiple of 13.6x is near the peer median of 13.4x. Over the past 12 months, the stock returned 202.6%, compared with a 16.8% return for the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
Consensus coverage from 3 analysts reflects 3 Strong Buy ratings with zero Buy, Hold, or Sell ratings. The mean price target of $8.33 represents a 141.5% premium to the last closing price of $3.45. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.38 on revenue of $966.8M, followed by an EPS estimate of $0.33 on $977.4M in revenue for the next fiscal year. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating margins have experienced significant volatility, registering at -5.4% in FY2024 and 0.8% in FY2025.
- Total debt of $82.9M exceeds cash reserves of $24.0M, resulting in net debt of $59.0M.
- Short interest stands at 8.0% of the public float, indicating notable short positioning.
- Consensus estimates forecast next fiscal year EPS to fall 13.2% to $0.33.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this ALTO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: ALTO income statement, ALTO balance sheet, ALTO key metrics, ALTO analyst forecast, ALTO chart. See the ALTO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ALTO AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Alto Ingredients do?
Alto Ingredients produces and markets specialty alcohols, grain neutral spirits, essential animal feed ingredients, fuel-grade ethanol, and distillers corn oil across five production facilities.
How did Alto Ingredients perform financially in FY2025?
In FY2025, the company generated $917.9M in revenue, $13.3M in net income, and $8.6M in free cash flow, recovering from a net loss of $59.0M in FY2024.
What is the consensus analyst target price for ALTO stock?
The mean analyst price target is $8.33, which is 141.5% above the last close of $3.45, with all 3 covering analysts maintaining a Strong Buy rating.
When is Alto Ingredients' next earnings announcement?
The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 4, 2026.