Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: ALRSAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ALRS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Alerus Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: ALRS) is a regional financial services company operating across banking, retirement, wealth management, and mortgage segments. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $241.9M in revenue with an operating margin of 36.5%. While net margin moderated from 22.3% in FY2021 to 5.3% in FY2025, the stock delivered a 54.9% 1-year return.

Market cap
$781.2M
Revenue (TTM)
$241.9M
P/E
29.0x
1Y return
54.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$35.20
12.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • The stock delivered a 54.9% 1-year return, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
  • Alerus has maintained dividend distributions for 32 consecutive years, supported by a conservative 27.0% payout ratio.
  • The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and analysts expect FY2026 EPS to grow 8.5% to $3.02.

Bear case

  • ALRS trades at a trailing P/E of 29.0x, higher than the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 12.1x.
  • Net income of $17.4M in FY2025 remains substantially lower than the $52.7M achieved in FY2021.
  • Analysts project next fiscal year EPS to fall 6.8% to $2.81 on modest revenue growth of 2.6%.

What Alerus Financial does

Founded in 1879 and based in Grand Forks, North Dakota, Alerus Financial Corporation operates through its subsidiary, Alerus Financial, National Association. The company provides a diversified suite of financial services across Banking, Retirement and Benefit Services, Wealth Management, and Mortgage segments. Its banking offerings include demand deposits, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, treasury management, commercial lending, lines of credit, and residential construction financing. In Wealth Management, Alerus provides investment advisory, trust services, retirement planning, and estate administration. The Retirement and Benefit Services segment administers retirement plans, employee stock ownership plans, and health savings accounts.

Growth and profitability

Alerus Financial grew revenue from $235.8M in FY2021 to a peak of $338.3M in FY2024 before dipping 3.1% to $327.9M in FY2025, generating a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.5%. Net income declined from $52.7M in FY2021 to $17.4M in FY2025, bringing net margin down from 22.3% to 5.3%. Operating margin stood at 6.9% in FY2025 and 36.5% over the trailing twelve months. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 7.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 3.8%.

ALRS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Alerus Financial held $109.0M in cash and short-term investments against $447.0M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $338.0M. Total assets stood at $5.29B and shareholders' equity reached $583.1M, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77 and a current ratio of 0.37. In FY2025, the company generated $67.5M in operating cash flow and $58.8M in free cash flow. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $8.7M in capital expenditures, $20.8M in dividends paid, and $737,000 in share buybacks.

ALRS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $31.34, Alerus Financial trades at a trailing P/E of 29.0x, above the median of 12.1x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. The stock's price-to-sales ratio is 3.2x, matching the peer group median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 1.4x. Over the past year, ALRS returned 54.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, however, its 19.3% return lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

ALRS key metrics →

ALRS dividend

Alerus Financial pays an annual forward dividend of $0.88 per share, representing a 2.81% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 32 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 6.7%. Its payout ratio stands at 27.0%, and dividends are distributed quarterly, with the last ex-dividend date on September 25, 2026.

ALRS dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 2 Buy and 3 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $35.20, implying a 12.3% upside compared to the last close of $31.34. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $3.02, up 8.5%, on revenue of $311.1M. For the following fiscal year, 5 analysts expect revenue of $319.1M and EPS of $2.81. Alerus beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 28, 2026.

ALRS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $338.0M and total debt of $447.0M exceed the company's cash and short-term investments of $109.0M.
  • Share count increased by 45.3% over the past 5 years, resulting in shareholder dilution.
  • Quarterly revenue growth of 7.2% trails the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.1%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ALRS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ALRS income statement, ALRS balance sheet, ALRS key metrics, ALRS analyst forecast, ALRS chart. See the ALRS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ALRS AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Alerus Financial pay a dividend?

Yes, Alerus Financial pays a quarterly dividend of $0.88 annualized, resulting in a 2.81% dividend yield with a payout ratio of 27.0%.

What are analysts' price targets for ALRS?

Analysts have an average price target of $35.20 for ALRS, representing a 12.3% upside from the recent close of $31.34.

When does Alerus Financial report earnings next?

Alerus Financial is scheduled to release its next quarterly earnings report on October 28, 2026.

How does Alerus Financial's valuation compare to its industry peers?

ALRS trades at a trailing P/E of 29.0x, compared to the US-listed Financial Services peer group median of 12.1x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 3.2x matches the peer median.

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