AGI Inc (AGBK) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: AGBKAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AGBK AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

AGI Inc provides technology-powered specialized financial services in Brazil. The company posted a 3-year revenue CAGR of 47.7% through FY2025, reaching $10.69B in annual revenue, though quarterly revenue fell 15.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026. AGBK trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 7.1x with a market capitalization of $1.92B.

Market cap
$1.92B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.49B
P/E
7.1x
fwd 3.3x
1Y return
—
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$12.40
69.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Annual net income grew from $168.9M in FY2022 to $1.04B in FY2025, reflecting a 3-year revenue CAGR of 47.7%.
  • Analysts set a mean price target of $12.40, which is 69.0% above the last close price of $7.34.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 3.3x and a PEG ratio of 0.20, below the forward P/E median of 10.8x for US-listed Financial Services peers.

Bear case

  • In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 15.2% year-over-year and quarterly earnings dropped 27.8%.
  • In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$409.6M and free cash flow stood at -$572.0M.
  • Total debt reached $6.29B as of June 30, 2026, contributing to a current ratio of 0.06.

What AGI does

Founded in 1999 and based in Campinas, Brazil, AGI Inc provides technology-powered specialized financial services. The company offers social security benefits, severance fund benefits, and public or private sector payrolls through secured lending solutions. In addition, it delivers complementary banking, credit, and insurance products. AGI Inc serves its clients through cloud-based software, AI-driven automation, and mobile applications, operating with 4,700 employees.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2022 and FY2025, AGI Inc expanded annual revenue from $3.32B to $10.69B, achieving a 3-year revenue CAGR of 47.7%. Revenue grew 50.1% in FY2023, 45.8% in FY2024, and 47.0% in FY2025. Annual net income increased from $168.9M in FY2022 to $422.0M in FY2023, $791.0M in FY2024, and $1.04B in FY2025, bringing net margin to 9.7% and EPS to $1.34. Over that period, gross margin moved from 49.8% in FY2022 to 44.6% in FY2025, while operating margin rose from 7.4% to 12.5%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $3.49B with net profit margin of 23.3%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue declined 15.2% year-over-year and quarterly earnings declined 27.8%.

AGBK income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, AGI Inc held $892.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $6.29B, resulting in net debt of $5.40B. Shareholders' equity was $4.80B out of total assets of $51.11B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.31 and a current ratio of 0.06. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$409.6M and free cash flow was -$572.0M, with capital expenditures of $162.4M.

AGBK balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close price of $7.34 on October 16, 2026, AGI Inc has a market capitalization of $1.92B and an enterprise value of $17.95B. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 7.1x and a forward P/E of 3.3x, compared to 12.1x and 10.8x for the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.5x sits below the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 1.0x. Over the past year, the S&P 500 returned 16.8%, while AGBK has traded between a 52-week low of $5.28 and a 52-week high of $12.21.

AGBK key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts coverage includes 8 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $12.40, which stands 69.0% above the last close price of $7.34. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $6.17B and EPS of $6.49, representing an estimated EPS decline of 0.9%. For the next fiscal year, 7 analysts project revenue of $8.27B and EPS of $9.16. The next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

AGBK forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt stood at $5.40B with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.31 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Revenue for the trailing twelve months fell to $3.49B after reaching $10.69B in FY2025.
  • The current ratio was 0.06 as of June 30, 2026, indicating low liquid coverage relative to short-term obligations.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AGBK AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of AGI Inc (AGBK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AGBK income statement, AGBK balance sheet, AGBK key metrics, AGBK analyst forecast, AGBK chart. See the AGBK stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AGBK AI stock analysis FAQ

When is AGI Inc's next earnings date?

AGI Inc is scheduled to report earnings on November 4, 2026.

What is the consensus analyst price target for AGBK?

The mean analyst price target is $12.40, representing a 69.0% premium over the last close price of $7.34.

Does AGI Inc pay a dividend?

AGI Inc has no dividend payment data reported.

How does AGBK's valuation compare to its peer group?

AGBK trades at a trailing P/E of 7.1x and a forward P/E of 3.3x, compared to median figures of 12.1x and 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers.

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